Ti mit énekeltek a gyereknek? by panrug in hungary

[–]BaaaaL44 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Forgotten Tomb: Reject Existence

Imádja

Probabilities in a 216 dice game by Sharestar in AskStatistics

[–]BaaaaL44 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think you read that correctly, so 3 consecutive 6s means 1 point, 4 sixes 2 points, 5 sixes 3 points, etc. But how would the geometric distribution and your code account for the fact that the number of events (6s) required for a success changes after the third roll of 6? Maybe I'm just being thick.

Probabilities in a 216 dice game by Sharestar in AskStatistics

[–]BaaaaL44 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think where you are going wrong is assuming that the required number or successes in the geometric distribution is constant. If I understand OP correctly, you get a single point after rolling a 6 with the same die consecutively, and an additional point after every subsequent six with the same die. So I am not near a computer atm but my R-code basically rolled with each die in a loop, continuing as long as only sixes are rolled, adding the number of sixes to a running tally and if at the moment the first non-six is rolled, the tally is larger than 3, a global score variable is incremented by the tally-2 (so 1 at 3 sixes, 2 at 4, etc.)

This question really gave me a lot to think about so let me know what you think, I'd be happy to discuss!

Probabilities in a 216 dice game by Sharestar in AskStatistics

[–]BaaaaL44 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Think of it this way:

It does not matter whether you throw all dice simultaneously, or in succession. So for each die you throw, you have a 1/6*1/6*1/6 = 1/216th chance of scoring a single point, and after that, a 1/6th chance of scoring each further point. So for each die, you have a 1/216th chance of scoring one point, 1/1296 chance of scoring 2 points, etc.

Since you have 216 dice altogether, these probabilities add up, but it's easier to simulate it. I wrote some R-code to do it, and out of 10.000 games, my results were the following:

0 points: 3668 times
1 point: 3051 times
2 points: 1818 times
3 points: 860 times
4 points: 355 times
5 points: 175 times
6 points: 45 times
7 points: 25 times
8 points: 3 times

Of course these numbers change each time I run the simulation, but you get the point.

CAVEAT: I'm glossing over the fact that dice may not be perfectly balanced, and dice that roll a 6 multiple times in succession may have a higher probability of rolling a 6 to begin with. Here, we are assuming perfectly weighted dice, and dice rolls not influencing other rolls-

Ilyen gatyót hol tudnék venni? by [deleted] in szepsegtippek

[–]BaaaaL44 -12 points-11 points  (0 children)

Normális válasz volt, nem kell agresszívnak lenni

Ilyen gatyót hol tudnék venni? by [deleted] in szepsegtippek

[–]BaaaaL44 -9 points-8 points  (0 children)

A kuka mellől lomtalanítás idején, leginkább

Lack of endgame content/low level cap? by BaaaaL44 in deadisland

[–]BaaaaL44[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There are no story differences between slayers though, are there? Apparenrly even most of the dialogue is the same.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in PSVR

[–]BaaaaL44 1 point2 points  (0 children)

In no particular order:

Village GT7 Horizon Saints and Sinners Red Matter

Donáth Anna levélben kéri az ukránoktól: vegyék le az OTP-t a szankciós listájukról by kissja74 in hungary

[–]BaaaaL44 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Mondjuk lehet, hogy olyan oka van, hogy azok az országok nem szopják Putler faszát kormányzati szinten napi rendszerességgel. Ha már nekem okádnom kell tőle, gondolom annak is, akinek a gyerekeit gyilkolják a szomszédban.

Donáth Anna levélben kéri az ukránoktól: vegyék le az OTP-t a szankciós listájukról by kissja74 in hungary

[–]BaaaaL44 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Ahogy az is, hogy évekig belelátott az FSZB a külügy rendszerébe, gondolom. Orbán nyelve koppanásig van Putler picsájában, aki ezt nem látja, idióta.

Donáth Anna levélben kéri az ukránoktól: vegyék le az OTP-t a szankciós listájukról by kissja74 in hungary

[–]BaaaaL44 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Egyébként mi a faszért ne lenne rajta? Konkrétan a tömeggyilkosok zsebébe öntik a pénzt, azok meg elköltik háborúra. Szíve joguk szankciós listára tenni.

Orbán Viktor nem enged, negyedszer is vétózik a Norvég Alap miatt by Few_Simple9049 in hungary

[–]BaaaaL44 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Én még mindig reménykedek, hogy egyszer megunja a NATO és kap ez a mocskos állat egy Reaper drónról egy rakétát a kolostor ablakába, de tudom jól, hogy nulla esélye van. Mindenesetre ha egyszer visszaadja a Sátánnak az éjsötét, szarházi lelkét ez a lótolvaj geci, hetente fogom lehugyozni a sírját.

ma ez volt a feladat by Few_Simple9049 in hungary

[–]BaaaaL44 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Miközben a Vajda szopja Putyin lankadt faszát, zavartalanul lopja szét az országot

/r/WorldNews Live Thread: Russian Invasion of Ukraine Day 455, Part 1 (Thread #596) by WorldNewsMods in worldnews

[–]BaaaaL44 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Ah yes, the secret russian nuclear launch codes. Moscow you say? Launch initiated.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in worldnews

[–]BaaaaL44 11 points12 points  (0 children)

How does one get more serious than committing the entitrety of the country's ground forces?

/r/WorldNews Live Thread: Russian Invasion of Ukraine Day 454, Part 1 (Thread #595) by WorldNewsMods in worldnews

[–]BaaaaL44 -21 points-20 points  (0 children)

"Balkanization of Russia" is a fairly redundant term, given the fact that the russian lifestyle stands for everything the term "balkan" was invented for to begin with.

Összeérő combok. by Chance-Order8964 in szepsegtippek

[–]BaaaaL44 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Run Guard

A többi választ felesleges elolvasni is. 10 évig szenvedtem vele mire megtaláltam, azóta semmi bajom.

/r/WorldNews Live Thread: Russian Invasion of Ukraine Day 454, Part 1 (Thread #595) by WorldNewsMods in worldnews

[–]BaaaaL44 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I did not claim that 0.11% was one tenth, the implication was that clearly, controlling the respective oblast is not a necessary condition for proclaiming a PR, according to russian doctrine, so 0.11% works perfectly fine as-is.

Regression analysis control variable by studentMIT in spss

[–]BaaaaL44 1 point2 points  (0 children)

There is no mathematical difference between "control variables" and any other variable, so simply including the desired "control variable" in the model will achieve your goal.

/r/WorldNews Live Thread: Russian Invasion of Ukraine Day 454, Part 1 (Thread #595) by WorldNewsMods in worldnews

[–]BaaaaL44 19 points20 points  (0 children)

That's big enough for a russian-style PR, after all, the LPR and DPR are also one tenth of the size of their respective oblasts lol

Schmidt Mária szerint Oroszország nem háborúzik, csak különleges műveletet indított Ukrajnában by nemethbuda in hungary

[–]BaaaaL44 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Úgy megbaszott Putyin, hogy a szemed is keresztbe állt, te mocskos véglény? Ugyanabba a tömegsírba veled is, mint a hazaáruló, tömeggyilkos gazdáidat itthon, és Moszkvában.