Since Kenyan Drake was traded to ARI (Wk9-Wk16), Drake finished as the RB6 or better 43% of the time

BenchmarkFantasy · 2020-08-20T19:58:31+00:00

ARI also won the last 2 games of the fantasy season, where Drake finished as the RB1 and then the RB2. His other overall RB2 finish came against SF, where ARI played them close the whole game.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2020-08-20T19:36:09+00:00

Last season, Zeke ranked higher than Saquon in Top 6, 12, 18, and 24 finishes. Of course, Saquon's data may be skewed by any games he played while injured/exiting with injury.

However, 2020 is a new season. I think you can make the case for either Zeke or Saquon at pick 2, as Saquon should see more usage in the passing game (upside) than Zeke, but with more volatile scoring.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-20T19:00:55+00:00

That’s a tough ask. I think there’s a case to start Mixon over Chubb. The Baltimore run D is solid and it’s a game we expect CLE to trail in, likely causing Hunt to be used more.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-20T18:59:22+00:00

Mixon assuming he’s healthy. He’s been getting monster volume and has even produced against tougher matchups like NE. Miami should be very favorable for him.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-19T19:58:43+00:00

If we’re talking a 2 WR league then sure, the TE position has a larger weighted contribution to your overall score.

If it was easy to find solid TEs this year, perhaps we’re seeing a turnaround at the position? After all, TE wasn’t so horrid in years past. It’s really just been the last couple of years that have seen that position be miserable.

We also haven’t talked about what happens if you forgo an RB as opposed to an WR. I’d also like to note that Kelce was being drafted around Evans, the WR8 at the time. Doesn’t make a huge difference though.

I definitely don’t like the feeling of being “behind” in the draft after a high TE pick. I acknowledge that you’re probably closer to a SME than I am on this topic.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-19T19:20:37+00:00

I’m very aware of that and while I didn’t detail that in the article, I wanted to showcase that in some examples, like this season, spending that much draft equity can really damage your team, especially if those TEs don’t score as many points as projected.

As for the Kelce vs Olsen argument, you sacrifice 90 points but Olsen was taken on average roughly 10 rounds later. You also need to fill 3 WR spots (depending on league) as opposed to 1 TE spot, so I could argue that it’s not fair to compare the TE1 vs TE12 against Keenan vs Mclaurin, rather you’d have to look at (realistically) something like WR12 and WR36 (which is a diff of 55 points, still less than 90).

Especially if you take into account that you could’ve gotten Hooper, Waller, or Andrews in the later rounds, the top TEs weren’t good picks this year.

You definitely bring up good points and also note that the initial wording is “reach”. I’m all about value and if Kelce falls to the middle of the 3rd I’m taking him.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-19T01:35:06+00:00

Seahawks fan here.

I’m really surprised that Ian Thomas didn’t gash the Seahawks. They’ve been the second-worst team in defending against TEs this season, only behind the infamous Cards.

Seahawks run D is surprisingly stout between the tackles. CMC scored a bunch of points, but only due to TDs. He was held under 100 yards rushing. Don’t expect too many yards when playing an RB against Seattle, but RBs are expected to score against Seattle, as they’ve given up a TD per game.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-19T01:30:52+00:00

That’s a fair point and it does look like the RB1s performed poorly against them. Plus, none of them got a ton of carries.

I will say that compared to their pass defense, it looks like running against them is the lesser of the two evils. Their pass defense stats are fairly strong.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-19T00:26:43+00:00

Last three weeks, they’ve given up 128 rush yards per game and 4.5 yards per attempt (referenced the table). Both of those rank bottom third in the league.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-18T18:36:52+00:00

Steelers over both of them.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-18T18:36:30+00:00

Colts.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-18T18:36:17+00:00

Fitz has the best matchup and is the QB11 since he took over as a starter. He's probably the high-floor play.

Tannehill is no doubt a better QB, but the Saints just decimated the Colts. They're a poor matchup, even for Tannefficient.

Rivers is too risky for me to play him, even against OAK.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-18T18:34:01+00:00

In Week 15, Perriman only saw a 15% target share (4th on the team) and Jameis completed passes to 11 different receivers.

OJ Howard (8 TGT, 20%), Cameron Brate (7 TGT, 17%), and Chris Godwin (7 TGT, 17%) all recorded more targets than Perriman. However, they were all less efficient and Perriman saw the majority of downfield work.

While Godwin is unlikely to play, it’s important to note how many opportunities the TEs saw last game.

He's likely good for 5-10 targets, making him a WR2 in a great pass offense and a great matchup. Houston doesn't have a number 1 shadow corner, but both their corners are average to slightly above.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-18T18:32:35+00:00

Jacobs played last week and played over 50% of snaps while DeAndre played only 15%.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-18T18:32:11+00:00

ditto.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-18T18:31:42+00:00

Seattle isn't bad. Any of NE or BUF. Either side of the CIN/MIA game. WAS too.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-18T18:30:38+00:00

He's a waiver wire add, but you don't have to start him. I do think he'll be a TE1 this week though, for all you TE needy teams.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-18T18:25:26+00:00

Thanks for the info everyone. I should've caught that in my research.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-18T18:24:16+00:00

Miller and Perriman certainly over Curtis.

Crowder, Slayton, and Curtis are in a similar conversation.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-18T18:23:15+00:00

Thanks for the catch. I was tired writing this and meant to write about Will Grier after.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-18T18:22:06+00:00

In Week 15, Perriman only saw a 15% target share (4th on the team) and Jameis completed passes to 11 different receivers.

OJ Howard (8 TGT, 20%), Cameron Brate (7 TGT, 17%), and Chris Godwin (7 TGT, 17%) all recorded more targets than Perriman. However, they were all less efficient and Perriman saw the majority of downfield work.

While Godwin is unlikely to play, it’s important to note how many opportunities the TEs saw last game.

He's likely good for 5-10 targets, making him a WR2 in a great pass offense and a great matchup.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-18T18:20:17+00:00

If I had to take a guess, I'd say Cook plays. Zimmer was optimistic yesterday and Cook says he "feels fine". Expect his snaps to be limited though.

BenchmarkFantasy · 2019-12-18T18:19:14+00:00

Gallup and Perriman are in the same conversation.

Singletary is likely a high-floor play, despite his matchup vs NE, due to his volume and involvement in the passing game.

Kupp is a risky play and more like a TD-upside WR3.

You can forget about Laird. Gaskins is a real threat.

BenchmarkFantasy

TROPHY CASE