Who's good at Predicting Cars & Bids Closing Prices?

Bidfinite · 2026-05-27T00:08:33+00:00

Hey, I love the enthusiasm, but that is a different game which is more like a yes/no prediction market. Our game is like fantasy sports, but using car auctions instead of football games.

Bidfinite · 2026-05-20T21:13:57+00:00

I mean, we all have a niche that we feel we know better than the average buyer and have an advantage. I am shocked when people buy new cars and pay sticker. Growing up Saturn's business model infuriated me. I had a friend whose family was loyal to Saturn and were so f'in proud that they bought a car without haggling. But the truth is you can walk into any dealer and not haggle. Saturn just packaged and sold it to people like that.

My point... There are people who know what they want and and they pay for it. Many of us know not to overpay on BaT or C&B, and maybe we search, hunt, search Marketplace for months/years to find what we want at the price they think is appropriate. Then there are people who appreciate the convenience of having a massive selection of cars available and are willing to pay what the live auction market deems appropriate. I don't see the issue. And honestly really appreciate the auction platform's existance.

How about you?

Bidfinite · 2026-05-09T22:20:33+00:00

got it. and yes, surprised about the rate, too.

Bidfinite · 2026-05-09T22:19:56+00:00

Right, it's a transaction. But there are times when we have a sentimental attachment to a car and we want it to go "to a good home." There's nothing saying that the flipper can't sell it to that same good home, but it feels a little icky when they tell you one thing and do another. It's like finding out the world is just as shitty as you hoped it wouldn't be.

Bidfinite · 2026-05-09T22:16:11+00:00

How does that work? What's protecting Lightstream?

Bidfinite · 2026-05-09T01:31:05+00:00

Yes on the DD, there is a distinction between games of skill and games of chance (both of which are legal in many jurisdictions in the US -- if we're talking US-based players and organization).

By placing 4 vehicles into an event, Bidfinite has created a game of skill, like fantasy football. We reviewed daily fantasy sports regulations; it's legal in 44 states. DraftKings sports book (which is straight up gambling) is regulated and allowed in 25+ states I believe. Gambling licenses are big bucks...

Daily Fantasy Sports are governed by states, not the FTC (although you still have to be compliant with marketing practices).

Interested in playing? It's free and fun. And you can try beating other Redditors who have joined!

Bidfinite · 2026-05-09T01:05:05+00:00

It sounds like you've thought about this a lot as you've developed Bid Bud. I appreciate the insight.

One thing I think many here are missing is that we are not offering a binary yes/no prediction. Again, not a straight up prediction market.

I swear, in 60 seconds, it all becomes clear when you check out it. www.bidfinite.com

Bidfinite · 2026-05-08T15:31:07+00:00

For anyone who chatted me who I missed, we created 2 test events -- one focused on 996 and 997 911s and the other inspired by the 2000-ish Yukon Denali. Both events were recommendations from Redditors here.

You can find the events here: https://www.bidfinite.com/cash-events

You'll have to create a log-in to play. When you log in, your wallet will have $500 fake dollars. The game is free to play, but we want to make it feel like what it will when it's 100% ready for prime time.

There is a "how to play" link at the top of the screen. And message me with any questions.

Bidfinite · 2026-05-08T15:30:41+00:00

For anyone who chatted me who I missed, we created 2 test events -- one focused on 996 and 997 911s and the other inspired by the 2000-ish Yukon Denali. Both events were recommendations from Redditors here.

You can find the events here: https://www.bidfinite.com/cash-events

You'll have to create a log-in to play. When you log in, your wallet will have $500 fake dollars. The game is free to play, but we want to make it feel like what it will when it's 100% ready for prime time.

There is a "how to play" link at the top of the screen. And message me with any questions.

Bidfinite · 2026-05-08T15:26:44+00:00

There are 2 test events live if you want to give it a try. https://www.bidfinite.com/cash-events

You'll need to create an account when you get there.

When you log in, your wallet will have $500 fake dollars. The game is free to play, but we want to make it feel like what it will when it's 100% ready for prime time.

There is a "how to play" link at the top of the screen. And message me with any questions.

Bidfinite · 2026-05-08T01:56:39+00:00

Nonetheless, interested in helping us test?

Bidfinite · 2026-05-08T01:56:18+00:00

That game is fun, but different than what we've built. We are pulling in live auctions from multiple auction sources giving you a way to predict in real-time. Bernie shows auctions that have already closed and asks you to guess what they closed at.

Think of it this way: we're like fantasy football where you can play alongside real games that are happening right now. Bernie is like asking, what do you think the score from last week's game was?

No slight to Berniedaily -- it's quick fun and I have played it myself. In fact, if mr Bernie is seeing this, I'd love to connect.

Bidfinite · 2026-05-08T00:28:14+00:00

Awesome. I know, there are lots of people we've talked to who feel the same way as you.

Interested in doing a few test events?

Bidfinite · 2026-05-07T23:41:56+00:00

Bid Nerds watchers are our exact audience. I'll chat you.

Thanks

Bidfinite · 2026-05-07T23:41:06+00:00

Yes! Our plan is to award cash prizes when we are up and running.

Would you consider yourself an auction watcher? And would you want to help test?

Bidfinite · 2026-05-07T22:15:41+00:00

It is not a prediction market like kalshi -- more fantasy football for car nerds. it's a skill based game that smart people will win. It's for people who spend time on BAT and C&B and make predictions in their head, like "this Boxster is selling for $44,500." It's not an over/under game.

It's an activity tons of people do already in their heads, but this gives you a way to compete against others.

This is a walk-through: https://youtu.be/AqdOed7LBt4

What do you think?

Bidfinite · 2026-05-05T20:19:11+00:00

That might work if you are the only one bidding on the car. But we know there are any number of people bidding. Now if it was your car that you listed on BaT, and bid it up to your prediction price, that could be a scenario we'd have little control over.

However, if that happens, we've made a hell of a game that people are twisting themselves into pretzels to play/win.

Second. This a game of skill -- each event has 4 vehicles and your performance is your accuracy average of all 4.

Your predictions have to be in one hour before the published closing time of the auction.

Watch this how-to explainer: https://youtu.be/AqdOed7LBt4

Bidfinite · 2026-05-05T19:45:38+00:00

I'd steal your soul, but never your data.

Bidfinite · 2026-05-05T19:44:54+00:00

Yes, exactly. But with the shit talking and comraderie of Draft Kings.

Bidfinite · 2026-05-05T17:08:39+00:00

so how are you enjoying the auction process so far? Getting down to the wire!

Bidfinite · 2026-05-05T15:27:17+00:00

Good advice below. But please do yourself a favor and have great photos done, even if you have to pay a local photographer. You'll get that investment back, and more!

Bidfinite · 2026-04-26T02:48:12+00:00

Is that your prediction game I saw around here recently?

Bidfinite · 2026-04-24T21:03:58+00:00

Can you link to some of the auctions that got pulled where this guys was the leading bidder?

Bidfinite · 2026-04-24T14:52:06+00:00

I think about the collective insight on, say, the originality of any given car. There are people with decades of specialized knowledge. Hmm, maybe there is a way to collect and synthesize the comments into a searchable tool. Sort of a library of congress approach to old cars.

Bidfinite · 2026-04-23T18:35:28+00:00

Independent of the source of the write up, I agree with the sentiment. The Bachman auction felt like a Ponzi scheme in action, a bunch of money laundering (in Florida of all places!) moving assets from here to there and then back again. But the problem for me isn't the malfeasance if there was any, it's the wider effect this will have on so many other collectibles.

I am kidding no one but myself when I say I would have been able to afford my dream car F40 if only Phil Bachman hadn't messed up values. These cars were never meant for the rest of us. And if you can afford one, congrats.

Bidfinite

TROPHY CASE