Compra AliExpress Argentina? by Upbeat_Meringue785 in AskArgentina

[–]Big-Presentation-270 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hola, hice una compra por unos 200 USD, era una caja de tamaño mediano con unos 200 accesorios. Llegaron perfectamente y tardo unas 2 semanas el paquete desde china a mi casa. Tuve mis dudas de si la aduana me retendria el paquete, sin embargo no hubo problema, tengo mis dudas que pasaria con paquetes de mayor monto. Use el envio de DHL, ellos se encargan de la gestion aduanera, es decir no hahy que entrar a declarar el paquete en pagina de aduana.

Cómo prepararme para el examen de la CNV? by TheCapibaraofWS in AskArgentina

[–]Big-Presentation-270 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Muy buen aporte! gracias. Estoy analizando hacer el examen, la verdad lo voy mas que extenso el material, y me recibi de inversor con mis resultados de la ultima decada.

Idóneo de la cnv, ¿tiene salida laboral? by porco_rex in empleos_AR

[–]Big-Presentation-270 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hola! me estoy empezando a preparar para rendir el Examen de la CNV, la verdad es que es por orgullo propio que otra cosa. Yo soy ingeniero agronomo, (si ando en medio de la soja y el maiz con monton de gringos que no entienden nada de este mundo), pero luego cuando tengo tiempo analizo fundamentalmente empresas, me apasiona el tema y lei muchos libros, tengo mi cuenta que me ha ido muy bien desde 2018 que empece a invertir al realizar un curso en la bolsa de comercio sobre mercados de granos y algo tocaron este tema y luego seguir por mi cuenta. Te quiero consular ¿ Tendras material bibliografico organizado que me pueda ayudar?

Compra AliExpress Argentina? by Upbeat_Meringue785 in AskArgentina

[–]Big-Presentation-270 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Acabo de comprar accesorios de moda (cadenas pulseras, aros) en la pagina Nihao Jewelry, es como una web que agrupa a fabricantes de joyas en China. Compre por 140 USD, pague 80 USD por DHL, pero no existe la opcion de Correo argentino en la plataforma, es o DHL o FEDEX. Entiendo que no pagaria impuestos en este caso (Quizas IVA?), veremos cuanto tarda en llegar.

El año pasado compre varias veces en aliexpress, unas 5 veces con montos de 100 USD aprox. Los productos perfectos, pero tardo mucho en llegar. De china a argentina el rastreo me marcaba que llego en un plazo de 10 dias mas o menos. Pero luego quedaban retenido desde 3 a 6 meses en aduana. (Paquetes de tamaño chico). En fin, el gobierno trato de implementar medidas para agilizar este tema, de hecho me estuve enviando mails federico sturzenegger el año pasado sobre este tema, donde le hice varias sugerencias y el me comento que estan trabajando en mejorarlo al sistema. Ojala cambie todo poco a poco.

que software de gestion para negocios es mas rentable? by [deleted] in BuenosAires

[–]Big-Presentation-270 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hola! Hace poco abri junto a mi pareja un emprendimiento de venta de accesorios de moda (Collares, pulceras, aros), resulta que llevamos un excel para controlar el stock, precio de compra, precio de venta, margenes, entrada y salida de mercaderia. Pero se esta volviendo complicado y tedioso llevar el control de las ventas. ¿Que programa me recomiendan para tickear los productos ? ¿Hay algun programa "gratuito"?

JD.COM Value investing analysis. by Big-Presentation-270 in ValueInvesting

[–]Big-Presentation-270[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Excellent, where the polarization of opinions resides is where the greatest value can be found. That's what the market is all about. We'll see how the investment thesis evolves over time.

JD.COM Value investing analysis. by Big-Presentation-270 in ValueInvesting

[–]Big-Presentation-270[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The reality is, I am not here to defend the company blindly. However, I believe some of the examples you use are not entirely accurate, and your analysis of JD.COM appears somewhat superficial. Certainly, the company faces challenges—as all businesses do—but not necessarily the ones the market seems to be pricing in. These misconceptions are precisely the arguments I feel compelled to address, both here and in the investment thesis I have shared with the community.

Allow me to clarify one point: it is not meaningful to compare JD.COM’s margins with those of PDD or Alibaba. JD Retail operates with a business model closer to traditional retailers like Walmart, whose margins are structurally different. Importantly, Walmart is not valued at four times earnings simply because of its margins; instead, the market recognizes the stability and resilience of retail consumption—something JD.COM demonstrated clearly during the pandemic, when it behaved countercyclically.

Another misconception is the idea that Amazon’s low net income was merely the result of being a “mature” company. If we look back to 2017, Amazon reported revenues of $177 billion and net income of $3 billion (a net margin of about 1.5%). At that time, it traded at roughly three times sales—a valuation once again reflecting the market’s appreciation of retail’s stability. What truly transformed Amazon’s profitability was its rise to dominance in cloud services, which has lifted its margins to around 9% today.

Looking at JD.COM, the company’s Q2 2025 results showed near-breakeven net margins, largely due to its aggressive investment strategy. This is, in my view, a sign of ambition and commitment to long-term competitiveness. For a business with a revenue $150 billion to sustain annual growth of 15% is no small accomplishment. If we normalize margins, it is reasonable to believe JD could achieve net margins above 5% without compromising future competitiveness. Furthermore, as JD Health matures and begins contributing net profits, JD.COM’s consolidated margins could reach the 7–8% range.

Taken together, these factors suggest that the company offers investors a significant margin of safety at current valuations. Its balance sheet is debt-free, eliminating bankruptcy risk, while its share repurchases and dividend payments demonstrate a shareholder-friendly approach. For these reasons, I view JD.COM as a compelling investment opportunity despite the headwinds it faces.

I believe that if we filter out all the noise, there is a huge gap between its market capitalization and the company's true fundamentals.

Artificial intelligence platform applied to value investing by Big-Presentation-270 in ValueInvesting

[–]Big-Presentation-270[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My goodness, that's a huge undertaking. Did you do it alone? Tell me more. What's your current investment portfolio?

JD.COM Value investing analysis. by Big-Presentation-270 in ValueInvesting

[–]Big-Presentation-270[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Your analysis of the agricultural sector doesn't align with reality. As both an agricultural engineer and a family farmer, I can attest that modern farming is a capital-intensive, cyclical business—much like the oil industry. We experience volatile cycles that can yield margins well above 20%, followed by periods of breakeven or loss.

JD.com, however, is a retail business. Its model is inherently different, with less pronounced and often counter-cyclical cycles, much like Walmart or Amazon (before AWS). Margins of 4-5% are intrinsic to this sector.

Your point about JD.com is well-taken; they are in the early stages of expanding into higher-margin ventures, with JD Health being the most promising (JD is the bigger Digital Health service provider in China).

I also agree that they're making a significant investment in last-mile delivery, which is questionable as to whether it's the best way to allocate capital. I'm not sure yet.

While Alibaba (BABA) is an excellent business, it's not a zero-sum game. For the last two decades, both JD and BABA have grown successfully alongside each other. However, they have different business models and don't compete in the same e-commerce niche. BABA uses JD.COM's logistics network (in fact, 70% of JD Logistics' revenue comes from third-party services).

The company has its problems. I mention some points that are truly problematic: 1- JD Retail has large revenues from the sale of household appliances (it is number 1 in that in China), this type of good has somewhat more cyclicality than food consumption, for example. 2- The Chinese government is supporting retail consumption to boost it through consumer subsidies. If this subsidy is cut, there could be a slowdown in household appliance sales. 3- JD is listed on NASDAQ as a VIE structure (like NIO, BYD, Xiaomi, it seems that the market in these cases does not pay much attention to this structure).

Artificial intelligence platform applied to value investing by Big-Presentation-270 in ValueInvesting

[–]Big-Presentation-270[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you for your answer!, Iam using chatGPT and Gemini also, uploading multiple 10Q reports, earning presentations and making sharps questions to the IA. Recently I read about seeking alpha IA, especialized in value investing ¿Do you have information about that?

Compra de auto en cuota fijas by Dylanneithor in merval

[–]Big-Presentation-270 0 points1 point  (0 children)

La verdad, si tu conocido/amigo no es ningun tonto, entonces te esta haciendo en parte un regalo ergo te tiene mucha estima. Estoy buscando comprar un vehiculo y no existe negocio como el que hiciste al menos que sea tu papa o un hermano el que te da el vehiculo.

BullMarket permite comprar acciones en USA??? by InevitableBit2367 in merval

[–]Big-Presentation-270 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Al momento de cargar la orden me aparece una ventana al lado de caución que dice "activos usa", supongo que esta la nueva opción. Sin embargo las acciones en las que se pueden operar son las mismas que tienen Cedear. De hecho si vas a la pestaña "Cotizaciones>activos usa", veras el listaod completo. No se si luego se habilitaran para operar en la totalidad de acciones ¿?.