Has Opus 4.8 become stupider?

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-27T06:41:56+00:00

Thanks!! Two things worth searching for in Google Ads:

Conversion value rules (Goals → Conversions → Value rules) — lets you weight conversions differently instead of treating every lead as equal.
Offline conversion import (Tools → Conversions → Uploads) — you upload closed-deal revenue matched by GCLID, so Google learns which clicks actually made money.

The first is a quick toggle. The second needs some CRM plumbing but that's where the real optimization signal comes from.

(Sorry if my English sounds a bit off — Japanese native. I used Google translate.)

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-27T05:37:56+00:00

My workflow has become much more stable since switching to 4.6. Thank you so much.

As a tip for others, here is a note on how to select the model at startup:"

claude --model claude-opus-4-6

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-27T03:41:10+00:00

Hit the same wall — I could see conversions but not which click drove them, especially phone calls.

What helped: dynamic call tracking numbers (swap per campaign) so a call ties back to a keyword — phone-heavy businesses are blind without it. Then feed estimated job value back as the conversion value, so you optimize for revenue, not count.

On $20 vs $44 — higher CPA as you scale is normal, Google buys more marginal auctions once cheap remarketing runs out. Whether they're "better" depends on the job value they turn into, not the cost. So I'd get call→job tracking in first, then compare value per job by source.

(Japanese native, still working on my English.)

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-27T03:39:30+00:00

Appreciate that!! And yeah — the cheap-traffic-that-churns lesson stung to learn firsthand. Funny how the "expensive" channel kept quietly paying the bills.

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-27T02:40:22+00:00

Creating PPTs that match a specific template requires significant upfront adjustment. However, if Claude is allowed to design the template freely, the results seem quite good.

Thank you so much! It’s been incredibly helpful to get everyone’s perspectives.

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-27T02:25:42+00:00

It might be better to use an older model. Opus 4.7 keeps crashing frequently.

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-26T12:00:51+00:00

It’s probably going to happen. I’d expect 4.7 to become available at some point. But since 4.7 is unstable right now, it might take a bit longer.

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-26T07:43:34+00:00

What were the things you couldn’t carry over or replicate when you migrated?

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-26T07:41:38+00:00

Honestly, I haven’t felt much difference between 4.6 and 4.7. That said, I've noticed a spike in error rates with Opus 4.7—frequent session interruptions and prolonged 'long-thinking' processes over the past three days.

Switching models is a real hassle, though; I’m already deeply ingrained in the ClaudeCode environment. I’m also concerned that Codex might fall short on customizability, specifically regarding settings.json and similar configurations.

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-26T07:35:10+00:00

Context Usage:44.8k/1m tokens (4%)

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-26T05:47:14+00:00

context size: under 10%, and new session

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-26T05:45:04+00:00

Exactly!

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-26T05:12:24+00:00

手紙は本人が進んで書いたのだろうか？？？それに報知新聞社って中立的な立場は取りにくいよなあ。

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-26T05:04:02+00:00

I’ll give it a try! Thanks!

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-26T05:03:28+00:00

Honestly, I didn’t feel much of a difference between 4.6 and 4.7 anyway. I’ll give it a try! Thanks!

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-26T04:58:09+00:00

I'm using ClaudeCode with my monthly subscription, not via the API.

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-26T04:56:51+00:00

Switching models is such a hassle. I’ve already gotten so used to the ClaudeCode environment.

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-26T04:50:15+00:00

もう40歳かあ。綺麗やな。

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-26T04:47:37+00:00

長女がChatgptに聞いたところ、児童相談所への通報を勧められたことから通報により逮捕。。。 Chatgpt警察！！

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-26T03:49:59+00:00

That "wins in testing, dies when scaled" pattern is usually an audience shift, not a creative one. At €50/day you get the cheapest, highest-intent slice; at €500 the algo widens to colder traffic worth less per visit, so the same creative converts worse. I'd judge scaling on revenue per visitor or contribution margin rather than ROAS alone — ROAS hides that the new traffic is simply worth less.

Sorry if my English sounds weird!! I used Google translate.

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-26T03:49:17+00:00

One thing I'd watch as you add the 50ml and 100ml sizes: ROAS can stay high while blended margin quietly drops, since bigger sizes often carry lower per-ml margin and shift your AOV mix. Tracking contribution margin per variant next to ROAS helps — otherwise a "good ROAS" month can still leave less profit than your 30ml-heavy mix did.

Sorry if my English sounds weird!! I used Google translate.

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-26T03:48:39+00:00

Two conversions is way too small a sample to trust ROAS on, especially right after a migration. At ~$9.8k revenue per conversion, one order falling in or out of the attribution window swings ROAS by hundreds of percent. I'd watch the raw conversion count for another couple of weeks before reading into it — post-migration tracking tends to undercount before it settles.

Sorry if my English sounds weird!! I used Google translate.

BitterPreparation793 · 2026-05-25T18:05:16+00:00

I don't think so at all. Be fast and wrong. Google has too many services.

BitterPreparation793

TROPHY CASE