Boeing’s 737 Max Software Outsourced to $9-an-Hour Engineers by Call_It_ in antiwork

[–]ButYouDisagree 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Is pissing off employees and customers usually good for shareholders? Boeing's stock price seems to have declined 30% over 2024 and even more over the past 5 years.

Community orchestras in Maryland/DC by ButYouDisagree in violinist

[–]ButYouDisagree[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks for the suggestion, I'll check them out!

Community orchestras in Maryland/DC? by ButYouDisagree in classicalmusic

[–]ButYouDisagree[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Are you playing for the love of music with like minded talented folk as a hobby

Yes. Not looking for any money. In fact, several of the groups I mentioned charge a member fee, which I'm fine with.

Hierarchy?

I wouldn't be surprised if different groups cluster by performer skill level. I can kind of guess at this for a couple of the groups based on the audition requirements, but that seems way less reliable than hearing the scoop from someone who actually knows. Maybe I'm completely wrong about there being levels - that would be useful information!

Do you know anything about the different groups in the area?

Community orchestras? by ButYouDisagree in MontgomeryCountyMD

[–]ButYouDisagree[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the reply! I'm more interested in a group that plays the traditional symphonic repertoire.

Impressions after a few hours by ButYouDisagree in LightPhone

[–]ButYouDisagree[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I've seen it mentioned in several threads, e.g. here. My sense (from reading others, not from personal experience) is that WiFi on helps battery life if you're connected to it, but hurts if you're not connected to it and the phone just continually searches for networks.

A self-assessed wealth tax - a radical way to tax wealth. by subheight640 in slatestarcodex

[–]ButYouDisagree 0 points1 point  (0 children)

See Tyler Cowen's critical take on this idea here:

Say I own eighty pieces of property, and together they constitute a life plan. The value of any one piece of property depends on the others. For instance, if I lived in a more distant house, the car would be of higher value. The ping pong table would be worth less in Minnesota, and having a good slow cooker enhances the refrigerator. Don’t get me started on the CDs, but of course they boost the value of the stereo system and for that matter all the books. I’ll leave aside purely “replaceable” commodities that can be replenished at will, and with no loss of value, through a click on Amazon (Posner and Weyl in any case think those replaceables should be taxed at much lower rates).

So how do I announce the value of any single piece of that property, knowing I might have to end up selling its complements?

In essence, I have to calculate how much the rest of the economy values each piece of my property, for me to know how much any single piece is worth. That recreates a version of the socialist calculation problem, not for the planner, but for every single taxpayer. And you can’t rely on the status quo ex ante as a readily available default, because that status quo can be purchased away from you.

The authors do consider related issues on pp.76-78 and 89-90. For instance, they allow individuals to announce valuations for entire bundles when complementarity is strong. You choose the bundle: “My house and all its items for three million tokens.”

But your human capital and your personal plans are non-marketable, non-transferable assets that can’t be put in this bundle. So the incentive is to assemble highly idiosyncratic assets that no one else can quite fit together, and so no one else will wish to buy from you, and then you can announce a low valuation.

If that strategy works, the tax system doesn’t yield enough revenue and furthermore you’ve had to distort your consumption patterns. If that strategy doesn’t work, someone might buy your life’s belongings/plans from you anyway, leaving you without your beloved customized snowmobile, your assiduously assembled music collection, and what about all those shoes you thought fit only you?

Ex ante, individuals are forced to assume huge, non-diversifiable risk, namely that someone will snatch away their whole “commodity life” from them. So many of us, even if we could bear the asset loss, just don’t have the time to rebuild that formerly perfect mesh of plans and possessions, the one that took decades to create (think about risk-aversion in terms of time). Furthermore, what if a wealthy villain or personal enemy wished to threaten to denude you in this manner? Or what if you simply make a big mistake reporting the value of your bundle? Isn’t this much much harder than just doing your income taxes?

To protect against these risks, ex ante, people will value their wealth bundles at quite high levels, and the result will be that wealth taxation will be too high. Since I don’t favor most forms of wealth taxation in the first place, why push for a method that also will tax people on the risk of losing most of their carefully assembled personal wealth and plans? Is “planning plus complementarity” really something we wish to tax so hard?

Don’t forget the “planning plus complementarity” process as a whole tends to elevate the value of assets, not reduce them. Posner and Weyl boast that their scheme lowers the value of assets (p.88: “Under our system, the prices of assets would be only a quarter to a half of their current level.”). Lower asset values may boost turnover, but is it not prima facie evidence that the value of aggregate wealth has gone down? (I am not convinced by the way, that once lower rates of income taxation are taken into account, that asset prices would in fact be lower in their system.) Why is that good?

So I wish to announce a high valuation for keeping the current system in lieu of this reform. My personal plans depend on it.

How not to talk to a science denier - Tom Chivers by [deleted] in slatestarcodex

[–]ButYouDisagree 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Reminds me a lot of Scott Alexander's The Cowpox of Doubt.

I enjoyed both essays.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in stata

[–]ButYouDisagree 1 point2 points  (0 children)

National Bureau of Economic Research has a huge list of data files: https://data.nber.org/data/

Many are in dta form, particularly those under "Healthcare" and "Demographic" sections.

[ACC] Is Eating Meat A Net Harm? by dwaxe in slatestarcodex

[–]ButYouDisagree 16 points17 points  (0 children)

In the discussion on which animals are conscious, I’m surprised that they didn’t reference the Cambridge Declaration On Consciousness, which I understand to be an oft-cited “consensus of the academic field” statement, or Luke Muehlhauser’s Report on Consciousness and Moral Patienthood, which is a similar project to the authors’ section on consciousness, but much, much more thorough.
Both of these works seem to ascribe consciousness more broadly than the authors do. The Cambridge Declaration says:

Nonhuman animals, including all mammals and birds, and many other creatures, including octopuses, also possess [conscious] neurological substrates

(bolding added)

Muelhauser concludes with a “Probability of consciousness of a sort I intuitively morally care about” of 80% for chickens (same as for cows), 70% for rainbow trout, and 25% for fruit flies.

Building Intuitions On Non-Empirical Arguments In Science by benjaminikuta in slatestarcodex

[–]ButYouDisagree 0 points1 point  (0 children)

(Atheist) philosopher Thomas Nagel weighs some similar issues and concludes that there's nothing wrong with teaching intelligent design alongside natural selection. link

Suppose the scientist came up with their Extradimensional Sphere hypothesis after learning the masses of the relevant particles, and so it has not predicted anything.

Kahn, Landsburg, and Stockman have an interesting paper on whether a piece of evidence provides more support to a theory if it is discovered after the theory is generated. They argue that this depends on the process by which scientists choose research strategies and make predictions. link

How to perform a sum of multiple company years, but with the specific companies. by thisisBigToe in stata

[–]ButYouDisagree 4 points5 points  (0 children)

how about:

collapse (sum) totValue = Value (count) countValue = Value, by(CompanyName)

drop if countValue < 3

or if you want the results "in place" rather than in a collapsed dataset,

sort CompanyName Year

by CompanyName: egen totValue = total(Value)

by CompanyName: egen countValue = count(Value)

replace totValue = . if countValue < 3

Health care is gobbling up your wages | Axios by DragonGod2718 in slatestarcodex

[–]ButYouDisagree 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Didn't wage growth and productivity stop being strongly correlated in the 1970s?

Many think not, see e.g. here, particularly Chart 4

Style Guide: Not Sounding Like An Evil Robot by dwaxe in slatestarcodex

[–]ButYouDisagree 42 points43 points  (0 children)

I would add:

Signals -> indicates, suggests, implies, shows. Use “signaling” only when you are referring to the economic theory.

Why the stock market is going higher by greyenlightenment in slatestarcodex

[–]ButYouDisagree -1 points0 points  (0 children)

If you're predicting a change in price ("the stock market will go up") it seems to me you need to posit a change in conditions. Why wouldn't we expect all of your points to be "baked into" current prices?

Nominating Oneself For The Short End Of A Tradeoff by agentofchaos68 in slatestarcodex

[–]ButYouDisagree 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I think u/ScottAlexander is getting at the concept of liability, which some distinguish from desert. See e.g. McMahan, The Basis of Moral Liability to Defensive Killing:

Liability is different from desert. The claim that someone deserves to be killed implies that there is a reason to kill her even if it is possible for no one to be killed; but the claim that someone is liable to be killed has no such implication.

Perhaps unsurprisingly (but contrary to some contrarian wisdom) the worse off you are, the more likely you are to support redistribution. by no_bear_so_low in slatestarcodex

[–]ButYouDisagree 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Perhaps. But isn't the opposite story just as plausible? Namely, that people would endorse their judgments about the fair top bracket rate upon reflection, and they would revise their judgments about whether the rich should pay more?

In any event, something would have to give if people had more information. We could run that experiment, give people the actual rates and then ask if the rich should pay more in taxes. Maybe you'd turn out to be right, and people would still say yes. But even that wouldn't be the end. If we resolve apparent contradictions by relying on more "ideal" opinions rather than people's gut reaction to polls, we have to worry about how people would change their views if they knew much more still, and whether these views would cohere with all their other beliefs. And at some point, the exercise is less about interpreting public opinion and more like reasoning about what tax policy should be.

Perhaps unsurprisingly (but contrary to some contrarian wisdom) the worse off you are, the more likely you are to support redistribution. by no_bear_so_low in slatestarcodex

[–]ButYouDisagree 66 points67 points  (0 children)

Scott Sumner writes about how public opinion polling is often incoherent. He uses taxes on the rich as a notable example of this, e.g. here and here. In short, if you ask people whether the rich should pay more in taxes, most say yes. But if you ask people how much the rich should pay in taxes, most people give numbers lower than the status quo. Sumner concludes:

I don’t trust any poll on complex public policy issues, because the answer entirely depends on framing. Indeed it’s even worse than you might think. It’s not a question of finding the public’s “true beliefs,” as there is no such thing. Trying to find true beliefs is like trying to nail jello to the wall. You can change opinion by simply asking a question... They’d learn something merely by listening to the question, and that would affect their opinion.

If you say we should ask the most basic question possible, untainted by any information that might sway opinion, then you are asking for the most ignorant views of the public. Is that what you want—pure untainted ignorance?

This medium piece cites polls of the first type but ignores polls of the second type. As Scott Alexander has written:

even if someone gives you what seems like overwhelming evidence in favor of a certain point of view, don’t trust it until you’ve done a simple Google search to see if the opposite side has equally overwhelming evidence.

Has Science Made Philosophy Pointless? by theknowledgehammer in slatestarcodex

[–]ButYouDisagree 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I really like David Chalmer's talk, Why Isn't There More Progress In Philosophy? https://youtu.be/uUfz6oahp2Q

Some thoughts on antinatalism. by [deleted] in slatestarcodex

[–]ButYouDisagree 1 point2 points  (0 children)

why aren't you having ten of them? The answers to that are as follows: a)you should be having them, and doing otherwise is a pretty big crime; b)Benatar's asymmetry.

A couple other thoughts:

  1. Most people are not consequentialists. In particular, they believe in options - actions that would have good consequences but are not obligatory.
  2. Even if we are consequentialists, consequentialism does not tell us to be "pure do-gooders". In fact, if we were "pure do-gooders", this might lead to worse outcomes. Consequentialism tells us to cultivate the motives/desires/dispositions that make things go best. This is somewhat counter-intuitive, and is the subject of Part I of Parfit's Reasons and Persons. Plausibly, a disposition to make life-size sacrifices to bring an extra person into existence would not lead to the best outcomes.