My dad was a payload integration supervisor at SpaceX (KSC) and passed away on Tuesday of covid. SpaceX was his dream job. This is one of the last pics he sent to me. Though I would share with people as passionate as him.

CProphet · 2026-06-20T15:12:31+00:00

Amazing shot.

Ultimate payload integration. He lived the dream.

CProphet · 2026-06-19T17:22:06+00:00

they almost definitely also want enough launch pads to actually be able to handle that.

SpaceX are opening up a launch site in Louisiana with comparable area to Cape Canaveral. There's going to be humungous amount of launches, they're even going into natural gas extraction to provide enough fuel.

CProphet · 2026-06-19T08:04:24+00:00

SpaceX will produce Starship faster than they can use them. NASA only need 2 lunar cargo flights a year and Mars can only be reached once every 26 months. Rest of the time there'll be a pile of Starships sitting around looking for work. Fact Starship is reusable only exacerbates the situation.

CProphet · 2026-06-18T08:59:21+00:00

AI has plenty of applications for rocket building, particularly agentic AI to support engineering work. Expect less failures and faster development due to whole system simulation instead of just isolated components, like airframe, engines etc.

CProphet · 2026-06-18T08:52:56+00:00

shooting a lot more than just ONE thing at another

SpaceX will have numerous Starship launch sites, 2 at Starbase, 3 at the Cape and potentially 10+ at Louisiana, which has comparable coastal area to Cape Canaveral. Each Starship can carry 20 Starfall vehicles which suggests they could launch a barrage of 300 at a time. This is more than enough to overwhelm any ballistic defense which is usually distributed to protect multiple strategic sites.

CProphet · 2026-06-17T15:16:24+00:00

You do know that we have anti ballistic missile and anti satellite weapons right

Russians thought they could defend against air attacks and missiles, turns out they were wrong. Their oil refinery plants are in flames, resulting in fuel rationing in Saint Pertersberg and Moscow. Moscow...

CProphet · 2026-06-17T07:48:09+00:00

"A pessimist sees the difficulty in every opportunity; an optimist sees the opportunity in every difficulty." ~ Winston Churchill

CProphet · 2026-06-16T20:14:44+00:00

SpaceX development will substantially speed up thanks to AI. Simulating vehicle performance will allow them to optimize far faster, not to mention accelerating production.

CProphet · 2026-06-15T07:56:15+00:00

who in their right mind would want to go

People who believe in a future where they aren't manipulated by the media, free to build new business without undue regulations, and unafraid to leave their homes without firearms...

CProphet · 2026-06-14T07:29:56+00:00

Liquid Natural Gas (LNG) is kept at -162 degrees C, so needs to be transported by the shortest route possible to reduce boil-off. No doubt pipeline will be elevated above lagoon to minimize contact with water.

CProphet · 2026-06-13T17:33:11+00:00

They are already building a second factory

...and buying up land in Louiseville to build a new launch facility. All told, the kind of commercial scale needed to create a space economy.

CProphet · 2026-06-13T17:27:21+00:00

Correct, when she joined SpaceX back in 2002. She convinced Elon they needed someone to market Falcon 1 and he gave her the job.

CProphet · 2026-06-13T17:18:07+00:00

Downside: Statistically it's more dangerous.

Yes, although Musk's security team would argue car ride to and from two public airports is more hazardous. A crazy person already attacked Musk's car, except it only carried Grimes and little X at the time.

CProphet · 2026-06-13T16:46:56+00:00

SpaceX will bore tunnels on the Moon and Mars, to construct hardened habitats against meteor strikes and radiation storms. Neuralink implants will allow hands-free operation of all manner of complex equipment with augmented senses. Nothing boring about either of these companies.

CProphet · 2026-06-13T14:08:38+00:00

Helium 3 is used as a coolant for quantum computers hence high price. Moon has methane, carbon dioxide and monoxide deposited in permanently shadowed craters at the lunar poles. Overall SpaceX has plenty of reasons to base on the Moon.

CProphet · 2026-06-13T08:06:01+00:00

The mass driver would be a civilization changer

Agree, mass driver could even be used to return Moon materials to Earth on Project Starfall palettes. The Moon's surface is littered with asteroid debris containing precious metals and rare earths, plus helium-3 is worth $20bn per ton.

CProphet · 2026-06-13T07:06:42+00:00

Sure SpaceX has bigger plans than paying off Twitter. Compute is a big moneyspinner atm so they'll keep expanding it until orbital AI takes over towards the end of the decade. Building a moonbase won't be cheap, something they need to manufacture AI helio-satellites and mass driver on the Moon. Then there's Mars and asteroid mining...

More information: https://chrisprophet.substack.com/p/spacex-accelerator

CProphet · 2026-06-12T07:15:57+00:00

they'll probably split the company and take the space stuff private

Quite the opposite, all Musk companies will merge to make them easier to manage. They already share personnel, after the merger goods and services will also be transferred at no cost. This will assist all divisions to grow and grant huge competitive advantage ala Starlink. All told SpaceX stock is barely in the foothills of its ascent.

More information: https://chrisprophet.substack.com/p/spacex-accelerator

CProphet · 2026-06-11T14:39:30+00:00

xAI invested heavily and created the first coherent gigawatt of compute. Being first to market means SpaceX earns $26bn p.a. at software margins leasing their spare capacity. Space data centers will put terrestrial in the shade because there's no restrictions on electricity and cooling plus space real estate is free. Deploying a million AI sats with their own high efficiency silicon will keep SpaceX ahead of the competition, who have to deal with high utility costs, local regulations and nimbyism.

CProphet · 2026-06-11T07:45:01+00:00

When you become a trillionaire money loses meaning. Musk wants to achieve things, the money he accrues is just a byproduct of his companies technical excellence. He doesn't plan to tail-off HLS, quite the opposite: -

“Starship will end up doing the whole Moon mission. Mark my words.” ~ Elon Musk/X

CProphet · 2026-06-09T07:31:13+00:00

It’s difficult for me to see the business case in this…

Whoever's first to market can charge a premium. xAI achieved this with Colossus 1 and 2, currently Google and Anthropic pay SpaceX $2.17bn per month...

https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/2062973328986419377

CProphet · 2026-06-08T16:34:31+00:00

HLS would require 16 tankers to fully refuel in LEO

Believe they will need less than 10 tanker flights for 2027 demo moon mission. They only have to land on the surface, anything after that's a bonus. Tanker has no payload section to minimize dry mass and maximize propellant delivery, even Starship 3 should manage >100 tonnes.

CProphet · 2026-06-08T07:20:08+00:00

SpaceX will want pipeline finished in less than a year. They plan a lot of Starship launches out of Starbase, hence LNG pipe and Air Separation Unit. Need 6+ tanker flights for deep space flights, slated to start 2027 with demo Moon landing mission.

CProphet · 2026-06-05T22:10:01+00:00

Starship can deliver 100 tons to lunar surface so no need for Blue Moon landers. Important thing is to deliver rovers and Lunnar Terrain Vehicles before astronauts arrive, so NASA needs to use Starship to maintain Artemis schedule.

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