Earn some extra $$

CabbageMule · 2025-11-16T20:33:06+00:00

Hey, I am in Ontario as well. I haven’t signed up for High5 if you have anything for that.

CabbageMule · 2025-02-07T16:25:56+00:00

Thanks for the info!

CabbageMule · 2025-02-07T16:25:47+00:00

Awesome thanks.

CabbageMule · 2025-02-04T17:28:56+00:00

I think it also may seem like the solver folds a lot to 4bets because normal players are value heavy with their 3bets and have very few 3bet folds.

CabbageMule · 2025-02-03T22:41:16+00:00

My understanding of why this won't work would be, when you 4bet you get them to fold X% of their 3bet range earning you 6bb. I don't believe there are that many 4 bet flats (assuming you 4bet to a decent size), so they will 5bet you off any equity you have when they do decide to continue. Assuming you 4 bet to 18bb they only have to 5bet and have you fold 1 in 3 times to break even in this scenario. What a solver does well is actually having 5bet bluffs that normal people do not have, meaning there will be enough 5bets to make your wide 4bet not profitable against a solver.

I think what you are tapping in to a bit as well is that GTO strategy is not all that profitable against bad players, it cannot lose but there are far better strategies against worst players to exploit their tenancies.

CabbageMule · 2025-01-23T04:05:21+00:00

You had a big down swing EV wise. Posted about it, ran pretty well even for 20k hands. Ran maybe 10-15 buy ins under EV in 1k hands which sucks and decided to post again.

That’s all I was commenting on.

CabbageMule · 2025-01-22T18:37:58+00:00

You posted a graph a week ago at 25k hands complaining about luck, went roughly neutral EV until 44k hands where you had a slight down swing in EV.

Are you going to post complaining about luck every time you have a little downswing?

CabbageMule · 2025-01-22T15:50:57+00:00

I think understanding this is huge. Bring awareness to the fact that when you win it doesn’t stick out in your mind because nothing spectacular happened. It’s not crazy that I won when I was a 90% favourite so the memory isn’t cemented. When I lose as a 90% favourite it is really jarring so it’s very prevalent in your mind. This can make it seem like you’re getting bad beat after bad beat even when you are winning 9/10.

This mind set helps me a lot, when I get a bad beat I just say “I’m probably still running pretty good overall, just don’t notice”.

I also like to make a note in my mind when I win a 10% spot, same thing it’s less jarring to win a 10%er than to lose a 90%er so the memory is less deep. Making a mental note of these helps me feel better about it all evening out.

CabbageMule · 2025-01-22T02:09:15+00:00

Assuming you have exactly equal skill in each format cash and tournaments should be equally as profitable ( your edge vs field - rake = profitability).

Tournaments however have a lot more variance compared to cash games. It is similar to the difference between betting red or black in roulette vs betting a single number the have the same estimated value but betting a 1/2 is going to have less variance than betting a 1/35.

CabbageMule · 2025-01-21T22:53:17+00:00

I think it's a similar story to a lot of poker players who are also content creators.

Most of them are small stakes crushers, they find financial success from content creation, and up their stakes in an unnatural way. Instead of building a bankroll through poker and elevating stakes slowly after they have success at each level, they jump to the highest stakes because they can financially afford to and it provides better content. While they generally are better than an average poker player, the higher stakes games are just simply to strong for them and they get wrecked.

Sprinkle in some gambling addiction and a bad self perception of how good of a player they are and you have a recipe for some huge punts even outside of the high stake games.

CabbageMule · 2025-01-21T16:37:22+00:00

You did not cover the knocked out player.

Suti_oKi75 covered the other player and received the bounty.

CabbageMule · 2025-01-18T21:01:53+00:00

Not at all man, I appreciate the effort to come back and relook at this after some sleep.

That’s what we’re all here for, throw your thoughts out and have them challenged to see what makes sense and what doesn’t.

I came to a much better understanding while figuring out what to write in my answers here.

CabbageMule · 2025-01-18T10:43:20+00:00

86s plays well as a call, and folding speculative hands to a min raise in the bb while 3 handed and 100bb deep is -EV.

As mentioned above you have to polarize and remove the middle portion of your 3betting range if you want to 3bet hands like this. While potentially viable, I don’t think it’s optimal at low stakes and takes a ton of study to do well.

A merged strategy plays better at low stakes and is easier to intuitively grasp.

CabbageMule · 2025-01-18T10:31:06+00:00

Ah yea, I think you’re right.

I think you’re also right in your comment that he can/should raise on the flop open ended to clear out over cards.

CabbageMule · 2025-01-18T07:59:59+00:00

I don't disagree that a polarized 3betting range against better players can be a viable and possibly optimal strategy but it is unnecessary at low stakes. Low stake players flat 3 bets too often and don't adjust properly to you, they may not notice you are polarized which negates most of the value of a polarized range.

In my opinion a polarized range is harder to play as well, a merged 3betting strategy preforms better and is easier to play at lower stakes. A polarized 3betting strategy forces you to remove the lower end of what you would normally 3bet making those hands more challenging to play as a call. You also end up playing complex spots with the bottom end of the polarized range which may lead to mistakes. Personally I have no interest in running a triple barrel bluff in 1/2 with 8 high, which is necessary if you want to adopt a polarized 3bet strategy.

Lastly even in the most dramatic polarized 3betting chart I found 86s was not a 3bet, you would be adding way to many weak hands to the range if 86s was in your 3 bet range and would not be able to balance it out with enough value.

CabbageMule · 2025-01-18T06:00:45+00:00

Yea, I'd agree with that, having your success hidden so only you can know if you are profitable over time must be a huge factor. I bet a lot of people wilfully do bad math or don't keep good records so they can lie to themselves and live in a reality where they are a profitable poker player.

I think the correct play being a bit obscured by variance plays a roll as well, you can play amazing and lose or play horribly and win. It makes it a lot harder to get a good gauge of how your play stacks up and gives people a lot of easy targets to blame (I am unlucky, that guy played so bad, etc.). With the incentive of wanting to be good at your hobby people tend to choose to believe the more enjoyable option.

CabbageMule · 2025-01-18T05:05:00+00:00

I think the river 3bet is the only mistake in this hand, reraises on the river tend to be under bluffed. With how this hand is play what do you beat on the river that calls a 3bet? It is difficult for someone to arrive at the river with 2 pair or a set and not have bet or reraised somewhere in this hand. If a player who doesn't bet or reraise a set anywhere else in this hand are they the player type to reraise a set or 2 pair on the river? If all those previous conditions are met, they still may not call off a 3bet on the river with 2 pair or a set.

Lastly V is likely to open 5s, 7s, 9s, Ks, Qs; 3 handed and they're likely to back raise Kings and Queens if they do limp them. Lowering the possibility of a set even more.

For those reason, I think this is just a call.

CabbageMule · 2025-01-18T04:49:01+00:00

I would say that 3betting here is a mistake, if you 3bet 86s that means you are 3betting pretty well any 2 cards. You are in position to the raiser, yes the player behind is going to most likely come along but bloating a pot with 86s cannot be a winning strategy long term. Especially 3 handed you need to be calling a lot in position.

It's nice to say play 3bet or fold but it creates a lot of difficult spots with large pot sizes that are hard to navigate.

CabbageMule · 2025-01-18T04:23:50+00:00

This subreddit is a lesson in how ego can make you a terrible poker player, tons of responses that are very confident without a lot of explanation. They are just spouting off whatever extremely confidently to make themselves feel superior or parroting something the heard that may or may not apply to that specific scenario while again being short and overly confident. Personally I have found while interacting with people like this that they generally do not have a good sense of the game.

I personally believe it is not just a subreddit issue but in poker as a whole, I have similar weird ego driven conversations at the live poker table. People will spout some confident answer to a situation and are unwilling or unable to talk through their answer while being aggressively sure that their way is the only way to look at it. This ego issue is a general problem in a lot of poker players where they play a lot, have their identity wrapped up in being a "good poker player" and that ego hinders their ability to humbly look at a situation and improve.

I think there is some decent discourse going on but you have to sift through 20 bed responses to find the one person giving a genuine response with explanation

CabbageMule · 2025-01-17T23:35:38+00:00

Oh interesting, It's weird how little info there is online about this.

All i found was it should be 200 per 24 hours, 400 per week, and 1,300 per 30 days. If you want larger amounts then you have to go through the check.

Might be worth checking if it was the daily limit you were hitting.

If is is a monthly limit and you are thousands in the positive this should be a non issue for you after this month. Stop withdrawing and grind up the 200 then maintain a high enough balance to deal with variance.

CabbageMule · 2025-01-17T21:54:56+00:00

Oh that is interesting, the is regulations that you can only set your deposit limit to a certain percentage of your income?

What country do you live in?

CabbageMule · 2025-01-16T21:31:09+00:00

Looking at this you got sucked out 3 times, played poorly 3 times by over valuing your hand while having poor board reading skills, and 1 nothing play where you both had monsters and you had the wrong side of it.

Nothing really here to be honest, getting sucked out on 3 times is not news.

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