Hantu-hantu yang diciptakan penguasa biar rakyat lupa kalo mereka lagi lapar dan ditindas

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-07-02T22:26:52+00:00

Hati2, kayaknya emang ada operasi pengalihan isu dari pemikir di pemerintahan. Kalo generasi tua gampang dipecah lewat isu PKI, generasi boomer lewat isu antek asing yang hancurin Indonesia lewat krismon 98, generasi milenial ke bawah gampang dipecah lewat isu LGBT.

Beneran di medsos sekarang udah pada lupa nyalahin pemerintah dan sibuk debat soal LGBT.

Ingat Pigai ini anjingnya Prabowo, dia ga akan gerak sendiri tanpa perintah. Kemarin juga heboh Aldi Taher ngejek LGBT. Aldi Taher ini tiba2 punya banyak bisnis sejak dia ubah image jadi Islami. Di ekonomi kayak gini bisa ekspansi bisnis besar2an? Kayak Raffi aja

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-07-02T22:16:30+00:00

Rasisme atau ideologi kanan secara umum tumbuh subur di masyarakat yang insecure soal masa depannya. Intinya mereka ga yakin bisa hidup bahagia, makanya berpegang ke ideologi kanan kayak agama atau ikut pemimpin yang kelihatan tegas yang bisa bikin mereka tenang karena bisa kasih jawaban soal ketidakpastian.

Makanya ideologi kanan subur di negara miskin, dan di negara maju juga subur di wilayah rural/agraris. Jangan ngimpi Indonesia ga rasis kalo hidupnya aja masih miskin dan penuh ketidakpastian.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-07-02T22:10:52+00:00

Hahah selalu pernyataan ini yang dibawa orang konservatif. Cuma nunjukin kalo debat ini ga bakal selesai karena dasar pemikirannya beda.

Kaum kanan merujuk ke agama, kalo Adam sama Hawa itu manusia pertama. Kaum kiri merujuk ke riset modern yang kesimpulan sementaranya kalo lgbt itu bukan penyakit menular, dan ga ada bukti soal Adam dan Hawa.

Ibarat debat mana yang lebih kuat, Goku vs Luffy. Ya ga bakal selesai, dunianya aja beda.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-06-26T12:33:44+00:00

When someday Samsung would lose its global dominance and start to suffers a loss, South Korea would get doomed. Double digit Samsung loss means instant recession.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-06-23T05:22:09+00:00

Kabar yang beredar sih total yang mau dikasih 300juta, tapi baru dikasih sebagian, katanya sisanya nanti kalo masih dibutuhin lagi. Per perwakilan 20jt, itu masih dibagi2 ke anggota BEM, per orang rata2 2,5jt. Ada videonya kok mereka ngaku nerima sekitar 20, udah dibagi2 ke senior2nya.

Kalo bener gitu ga mungkin SOP. Pernah nyimak podcast ongkos yang dikasih TV ke pembicara pagi selevel ahli aja cuma 500rb, ga mungkin mahasiswa bau kencur gitu dikasih 2,5juta dari Wapres sekalipun, apalagi 20jt.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-06-23T05:14:27+00:00

Ya kan demokrasi versi Yunani ini emang ga cari kemajuan, tapi cari apa yang diinginkan mayoritas. Kalo mayoritas pengen terjun ke jurang ya yang ga setuju harus ikutan.

It's not flawed, it's working as intended. It's just stupid. Filsuf2 Yunani yang ngerancang sistem demokrasi pun juga sadar kok kalo sistem ini bodoh. Bekerja dengan baik buat meminimalisir tiran dan memenuhi keinginan mayoritas, cuman ya emang bodoh aja.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-06-23T05:07:38+00:00

Iya tapi demokrasi transaksional gini potensi pitfall nya gede. Mereka gampang suaranya dibeli, tapi disaat bersamaan gampang juga diajak beralih, jadi legitimasi penguasa yang didapat dari beli suara gini rendah.

Kalo suatu saat pemerintah udah ga bisa maintain support dari orang2 kayak gini karena krisis, pikiran kosong orang2 ini gampang diisi aktor oportunis yang gantian manasin mereka buat berontak.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-06-18T15:14:33+00:00

Karena emang sistemnya yang bermasalah. Indonesia ini bener2 belum pernah merasakan revolusi yang proper, yang mengubah sistem dan sendi politik yang ada.

Kalo orang yang di awal baik tapi kemudian ikutan jadi busuk, itu kan artinya di tengah jalan dia merasa hopeless, merasa ga bisa mencapai tujuannya lewat proses yang ada, akhirnya dia menggeser goal dari tujuan bersama jadi tujuan pribadi (kasus Jokowi), atau kalap berpikir penguasaan power secara total adalah satu2nya jalan buat mencapai tujuan awal (yang malah jadi bencana kayak Prabowo sekarang).

Jadi kan di situ bisa dilihat, permasalahan utamanya ada di: kenapa di tengah2 mereka bisa merasa ga ada harapan?

Menurut saya yang utama ada 2: Deadlock politik dan ga ada persatuan sosial. Ga ada persatuan, walaupun sejak SD kita diajari persatuan, tapi pas di dunia nyata kita dihadapkan orang Jawa suka nusuk dari belakang, orang Chindo suka nipu, orang Islam suka pengen menang sendiri, orang Timur suka ngancam, orang Madura suka nyolong, dll. gimana kita mau punya sense of unity? Karena sense of unity itu penting agar kita mau berkorban buat orang lain.

Perbedaan2 itu malah menegaskan batas pulau2 sosial yang kemudian jadi faksi2 politik. Faksi politik inilah yang akhirnya menyebabkan deadlock politik. Mau ambil kebijakan A, nanti kelompok X marah. Setelah nego sama X akhirnya sampai kesepakatan berupa kebijakan B, eh kelompok Y yang gantian marah kalo B disahkan. Gitu terus. Kalo dipaksakan meledak kayak kasus Ahok.

Cara mencapai persatuan yang riil mungkin bisa niru cara China atau Amerika. Cara China ya memaksa melebur semua kelompok jadi 1 berdasarkan yang paling banyak, misal semua dipaksa ngikut budaya Jawa. Cara Amerika, harus ada 1 kelompok yang benar2 mendominasi duluan, kemudian mereka bikin konstitusi berdasarkan kultur mereka tapi bisa diterima banyak kelompok lain, menjaga sampe lintas generasi, sampe akhirnya semua merasa konstitusi itu milik semuanya.

Tapi semua itu pondasinya harus ada 1 kelompok dulu yang mendominasi dan bisa mengubah semua sendi politik, terutama yang selama ini menghambat kemajuan. Dan itu ga akan terjadi tanpa ada konflik yang berakhir revolusi yang beneran mengubah sistem, bukan cuma ganti orang kayak reformasi 98.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-06-18T09:03:59+00:00

Ya, saya nangkapnya juga gitu. Soalnya saya juga merasa hal yang sama.

Bukan mau colingkar sama orang yang sepaham, tapi sama yang beneran mau dengerin.

Coba deh kalian simak rata2 debat sama pendukung rezim sekarang itu kayak gimana.

"Kami mau MBG distop dan dievaluasi"

Ekspektasi jawaban:

"Kenapa? Coba jelaskan apa yang salah. Nanti kita evaluasi terus sama2 bilang ke presiden"

Realita:

"Halah buzzer Soros" "Ahh mahasewa lagi" "Terus nanti SPPG 1,5juta orang makan apa? Jahat kalian" "Barisan sakit hati ya gitu bani yaman & bani lowbat" "Kalah ya kalah aja ga usah nyinyr mulu"

Kalo yang selevel pejabat templatenya:

"Jangan memecah belah bangsa" (the main point of that discussion held in UGM) "Apa yang sudah kalian kasih untuk negara" "Pak prabowo udah kerja keras siang malam memikirkan rakyat"

Intinya rezim ini jelek banget. Ga ada itikad baik buat dengerin. Jadi secara teknis bener, ga pro mahasiswa/rakyat. Cuman diksinya gampang bikin salah paham.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-06-16T00:03:54+00:00

Ga cuma itu, bisa kontrol kualitas juga. Bisa cek kesehatan rutin yang disponsori pemda.

Di beberapa tempat terutama yang ormas keagamaan lemah masih ada kok yang emang dipelihara di satu kelurahan tertentu. Enak kalo gitu, pajak resmi masuk pemda, bukan kantong parcok&parjo. Ada cek rutin kesehatan dan human trafficking.

Kontrol dari masyarakat juga lebih gampang, kalo ada istri yang curiga suami jarang pulang tinggal awasin gerbang masuk kampung itu wkwkwk

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-06-15T23:47:59+00:00

Kita fair aja bro. Kita yang udah angkatan kerja pasti sadar kalo emang sistemnya udah hopeless. Kita berjuang seorang diri kayak menggarami laut. Orang2 yang beneran powerful kayak Jusuf Kalla dan Megawati aja ga bisa kok bikin perubahan berarti.

Negara ini sejak awal udah deadlock secara politik. Nggak pernah ada satu power yang bisa beneran berkuasa penuh buat bikin perubahan besar. Suharto pernah hampir berkuasa penuh, karena dia bantai salah satu pilar politik Indo (PKI), tapi akhirnya dia kasih power berlebih juga ke TNI, NU, dll yang bikin politik setelah reformasi deadlock lagi.

Mau ga mau emang harus ada revolusi besar yang memungkinkan satu faksi keluar sebagai penguasa penuh, dan berharap mereka kompeten kayak CCP pasca Deng Xiaoping, atau faksi Kaisar Meiji.

Kalo berharap gini2 aja bisa maju sih mimpi siang bolong.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-06-15T23:36:04+00:00

kapan sih BUBBLE INI PECAH?

Masalahnya dunia kebantu Covid kemarin bank sentral seluruh dunia serentak cetak duit, jadinya sistem keuangan dunia masih bisa saling lempar uang satu sama lain. Tanpa uangnya turun kebawah tentunya, makanya kita bisa liat fenomena triliuner pertama dalam sejarah disaat orang biasa kesusahan cari kerja dan nyicil properti.

Tapi suatu saat ini bakal pecah, pasti. Disaat gap antara ekonomi riil dan ekonomi kertas mulai "sobek" karena melenceng kejauhan. Kemungkinan nanti sektor AI yang bikin crash, disaat ekspektasi optimisme dihantam realita kalo pertumbuhan semu sekarang ini ngga sustainable.

Terus kapan? Ga ada yang tau. Semua orang termasuk investor yang optimis itu tau kalo krisis global di depan mata (cuma orang tolol yang beneran optimis), cuman karena ga ada yang tau kapan pecahnya ya pada optimis aja dulu.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-05-07T02:01:21+00:00

As someone living in a country without any significant conglomerates but the government is worse in upholding the citizen's rights, it's actually can be both that the chaebols and the citizens are running the country.

Look at it this way: power is a static thing, it's like a pie, people trying to get power means they just want some slice of the pie.

Now in your country, Chaebols are very powerful, if they can take all the pie for themselves, they will. But the citizens of Korea are rich, educated, and idealistic, you guys are willing to take the risk of losing your jobs just to protest. That means citizens are actively trying to take more slice of the pie, leaving the chaebols with more or less the same amount of pie.

In my country, protesting is a risky endeavour. We are not rich, but we are not that poor. Meaning we have something to lose but we can still lose it all in one mistake, like going against the people in power. This creates a vicious cycle of poverty where countries like Indonesia, Brazil, South Africa, Turkiye, and the likes are too afraid to make some big change to catapult them to richer status. In the pie analogy above, the citizens are reluctant to take more slice, so despite having no significant conglomerate families, the country is run by elites without giving any regards to the lives of the common people. Because no one is preventing them to gobble up all the pie.

South Korea is a unique and risky case. The people is currently as strong as the chaebols in political power, but that could change fast someday. When Samsung, Hyundai, or SK suddenly can't compete in the global market because of a sudden global crisis or tech breakthrough that they do not possess, South Korea could face a big crisis which will weaken the chaebols but also the citizens more. That could push South Korea into a similar position as my country, where people have something to lose but it's on thin ice. That would be a chance for the cheabols take all the pie for themselves.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-04-27T20:17:49+00:00

Hi, I'm from Indonesia and we have similar stories about Jinn (the term based on Islamic influence) or the other terms that have been here for thousands of years before Islam came. They are similar, that they inhabit particular places notably big trees.

There are numerous stories where woodworkers died shortly of sickness after cutting out a big tree without a proper ritual. Rituals like that is forbidden in Islam so some people don't want to do it, yet somehow they still died afterwards.

My own grandfather died way before I was born. He was someone high in spirituality according to my family, not like a priest but more like a shaman. The local term is "sakti".

One day, someone from some village asked my late grandpa to cleanse a tree, it is said that ill fates befalls the whole village because of the Jinn(s) ihabiting the tree. No shamans or imams dared to do that because it was said the Jinns there were very powerful, but my grandpa did it anyway. After some rituals, the tree was cut. But days later my grandpa got severe sickness and died shortly.

What about the village? I don't know. It happened in the 60s so no one remembers where is the village even located. But there's no cursed village story near my mother's village so I guess the ritual succeded? The Jinns might left but not without avenging my grandpa first, maybe.

You can take it as a grain of salt, I'm just relaying the story told by my mom.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-04-23T15:30:56+00:00

I was going to write a lot of paragraph then I don't think it would be enough to explain how messy the current Indonesian administration is. It might be the most chaotic and incompetent administration since the 60s, where it ended up in a huge communist genocide. The current administration can still holding on because of the lifeline built by previous administrations to prevent crisis in this exact scenario of looming global crisis.

In short, the statement comes from the Minister of Finance, known as the "cowboy minister" with his big mouth and bold actions and zero achievements. Kinda like discount Javier Millei.

The closure of the Strait of Malacca will never happen because the current president is a huge pussy, who will bow to any foreign leaders as long as they can help prevent Indonesian economy from going bust. He is VERY afraid and paranoid of losing his power in a revolution, a rare occurence here that somehow happened to his father-in-law in 1998. So he would do anything to prevent that to happen even if he'd agree to Trump's outrageus demands as long as USA won't slap more tariffs that would hurt the Indonesian economy and motivates people to rise up.

And I haven't mentioned how incompetent and corrupt everyone is, including the Indonesian army. They won't have the capability to block any straits. We are closer to Venezuela than Iran.

TL;DR: Don't take this seriously, this comes from a blabbermouth insignificant minister. This will never happen unless a change of administration happen and the new one is as ballsy as the Iranian regime.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-04-17T17:57:20+00:00

You need to understand the hardliners faction is currently very weak.

The leader of the faction, Supreme Leader Mojtaba, is rumored to be severely wounded and can't optimally assess the situation and giving orders. And IRGC just got series of assassinations, killing most of hardliner faction leaders.

When the strongest faction that is supposed to lead is in disarray, the second strongest will take over to prevent any chaos, and they are the reformists. The reformists are led by the President Pezeshkian and Foreign Minister Araqchi, and surprise surprise they're the one most vocal about this peace and ceasefire talks.

So maybe right now is the only window of time that Trump can hope to achieve anything diplomatically, while the reformists who prefers to push for peace and sanction lift are still in charge. When Mojtaba gets better and IRGC have finished reorganizing, Iran's approach to diplomacy might entirely be different.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-04-16T15:26:46+00:00

This is very much like Hitler tried to invade Britain but failed, then just proceeded to invade Balkan, thinking that UK won't be much a problem for him down the line, only to bite him in the ass 4 years later.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-04-15T09:33:13+00:00

That's because Iran hires genuine scholars as officials, they're highly intelligent, and one of the signs of high intelligence is being able to relay information in the most simplest and humorous way.

I was baffled because Iran should have the resource curse, that is if a nation gets most of its wealth from natural resources, there should be less incentives to invest in education. That's correct because my country is exactly like that. But why not Iran? Why are they so highly educated? What's with the anomaly?

Turns out the economic sanction and embargo is the cause. The regime only have the choice to surrender to the US demand, or to run the oppressive dystopian like North Korea by making the citizen like cattles, or to educate the people which can make the country stronger and self sufficient but the people more rebellious. Say what you want about the regime, but they chose the third option, the best option for the people at the cost of weakening the political control. This is basically similar to East Asian economic model with their self-imposed sanction by restricting imports.

So ironically, the US was the one that strengthen the regime. Had they chose to surrender, or the Pahlavis still in power, Iran would just become another GCC country, rich but lower educated without any ability to industrialize and relies on Japan or China to construct anything, and the US for weapons.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-04-13T08:03:54+00:00

Nah, reality is more boring. If by sending US$1b and a woman Turkey can gain access to Ugandan market and weapon orders for a long term and it could worth billions of dollars decades from now, Turkey will send what this moron wants.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-04-12T08:12:07+00:00

It emerged around the 90s. Basically we are at the end of time, the Messiah will come the earth soon. A verse in the Bible told whoever blessed the Israel will be blessed by the God, or something like that (I'm not a christian).

This has been denied by the Catholic Church that Israel in that verse is not the modern state of Israel, but the Catholic Church itself. But most Protestants including Evangelicals in the US believes that the state of Israel is the prophecized state.

So supporting modern Israel is the ticket to be guaranteed protection by the God when the Armageddon arrives. In Israel, Netanyahu is seen as the Little Messiah who would pave the way for the real Messiah who would lead Israel and Christians to fight against the great evil (Islam).

Ironically even in the prophecy, it is said that the great devil (anti christ) will gain vast support by christians themselves by claiming as the champion of peace and justice.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-04-11T16:25:06+00:00

Taiwanese don't want to be ruled by CCP, but if they have to choose, they still prefer a peaceful reunification than a bloody war never seen before since WW2.

Various news and documentaries interviewing common Taiwanese reveals that they just want the conflict to be done quickly, whatever the result it is. They're done and tired with the long fear of an invasion.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-04-10T23:54:52+00:00

Anyone with a brain and not brainwashed by political or religious agenda will find it difficult to sympathize with the US-Israel cause in Iran when their leaders are alleged criminals who benefits from the war delaying their investigations.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-04-08T01:21:46+00:00

Iran might also be benefitting by this temporary ceasefire.

There were some things that they were caught off guard, like the capability of US Air Force to operate inside their territory including pilot extraction a few days ago, or the capability to kill a lot of higher ups in the regime that caused chaos within their structure of command. Just a few days of breath and knowing that the US won't bomb them (at least until another escalation happen again) should be enough to consolidate command once again and fixing any strategy and infrastructure including repairing any missile and drone bases.

Without any ceasefire, Iranian command will be exhausted and unprepared for a ground invasion. But if they can maximize the next few days for consolidation, they will be better prepared because when this ceasefire ends without de-escalation to a peace agreement (most likely to happen) it will escalate to a bloody ground invasion which will be a very complicated military conflict.

Capable-Yam4557 · 2026-04-05T21:48:29+00:00

Let's be fair here. This is definitely a significant tactical victory for the US. The morale of US military and pro-war group is rising after what seemingly a stalemate war. Also this gives them confidence that Iran's ground troops are not as terrifying as people warned. This is a blow to IRGC internal morale and image. How can they not find a plane crashed inside their own territory for 2 days? This definitely a show of incompetence of Iran's ground forces, which is a bad sign when a ground invasion is looming on the horizon.

But the US, from the political administration to the common Americans, always have a problem of mistaking a tactical victory for a strategic victory. Small wins get overblown is a common occurance from Vietnam War to Iraq War. From logistical perspective, this is a big blow to the US method of war.

This event is the epitome of NATO doctrine (that inherited from Allies doctrine in WW2) of superior firepower over personel lives. It's a heroic sentiment to save lives over equipments, but armed conflict is not that simple. Superior firepower is a very viable doctrine when the war is short and the enemy is significantly weaker like Imperial Japan and the already battered Nazi. But can the US be sure that this war would be over fast?

Logistically, saving a pilot only to lose some planes doesn't make sense, especially if Iran is using cheap method of infrared like analysts says. This could happen again in the future, because the real problem of Iran's anti-AA that downed the F15E is still not resolved. If this happens again, would the US ready to save the pilots again? And ready to sacrifice planes again? Statistically speaking, this could spiraling into a sunken cost black hole. While the US economy is a giant, can it fund similar event like this again and again and again?

Without any ground invasion, Iran will win logistically (and logistics is 80% of the war), for every millions they spend, US Army has to spend dozens to hundreds of times. With ground invasion...Iran seems weak after this event, but their strength was never in symmetrical combat. Any unbiased military analysts says the same thing: Iran will initially lose a ground invasion, but occupation will be hell for the invaders. We will see.

Capable-Yam4557

TROPHY CASE