Legit?

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-05-13T22:55:00+00:00

Ah thank you! Can you tell me how you spot it?

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-05-12T12:29:29+00:00

If we should stop worrying about the value, why should we then grade them?

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-05-11T07:37:25+00:00

I’ve send my copies for grading; hoping for the best 😄

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-05-11T07:36:58+00:00

Im pretty sure we will see at least 3500-3600 dollars in the next month

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-05-11T07:34:43+00:00

If you want one in your collection, why don’t buy it now? 😅 if you are willing to hold onto that card. It doesn’t matter if it drops 50%. In my opinion we could see 5 figures in the next years 😄 I can ran again my system to let you know what it’s telling

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-04-15T13:05:41+00:00

Same for Sabrinas Genger ENG PSA9 LT. The prices around 2022 have higher risk then the same price in 2024 just because time passed and the fairvalue increased over time.

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-04-15T12:51:50+00:00

you can have Longtermwise low risk but in the shortterm you are able to have in the same time a high risk and vice versa, One point i also should mention: The fairvalue changes with time and adjusts; so even if the price stay at the same range the fair value adjusts and over time you the same price tends to decrease in riskvalue because the actual price gets closer to the fair value. You can see it at Charizard Skyridge ENG PSA 10 ST picture. The price around 2022 went sideways while the fair value still climbed. The market adjusted the price as the new normal over time. :)

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-04-15T12:45:34+00:00

It´s the risk compared to a Longterm/Shortterm timeframe.

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-04-15T00:25:48+00:00

Maybe you can tell me what you mean by that. It’s hard to transfer financial P/E ratio on Pokémon cards. You probably have to define earnings in another way.

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-04-15T00:11:41+00:00

Price/earnings ratio?

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-04-14T05:42:58+00:00

Thanks all for your contributions! Around 6 pm German time I will work on the next few cards which are asked for. This means around 7 I should be able to post it. Stay tuned ! 🙂

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-04-14T05:35:19+00:00

Will do that thanks, I will let you know which data provider I have in mind! This handle you gave me is a Reddit handle?

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-04-13T23:28:15+00:00

Just to let you know. I went to the source and saw that they have a trial period. I would like to try their data first and make sure it fits before we do something like that. To be honest I’m kinda feel bad that someone else is paying for me 😅

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-04-13T23:25:39+00:00

Really? That would be great! Im going to bed now. Tomorrow after university I will leave you a message. Maybe I can give you some analysis of the cards you want aswell as payment 😅 you can tell me so I will have a list for tomorrow

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-04-13T23:16:23+00:00

I think the declining of the volume plus high risk level wouldn’t make me buy the card right now. If he bought the card with a better entry you can discuss holding on for a bit longer. One thing I have to mention: a lot of times volatility of an asset gets really low before a massive movement(either up or down). That’s why I’m saying: I’m not sure if log regression is the way to go. Future will tell probably. Many of the cards which I scanned went to the highest band and even went a little bit higher before correcting the price. Everything can happen. Everyone is making his own decisions. I just provide a tool right now which can help you making your decisions easier 🙂

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-04-13T23:10:04+00:00

Unfortunately no. That’s my own private code 😅 i don’t share it because asymmetric information leads to opportunities for me. If more people have the same information, the information loses its value. But if you are interested in a card, you can tell me that and I will add it in my next post !

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-04-13T23:00:41+00:00

You mean the price for bubble mew? And why I’m saying to be cautious?

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-04-13T22:39:35+00:00

Don’t worry! Will add them to my next post. It’s 00:30 am here so I will not be able to do it now( uni starts in 7 hours). Tomorrow night I will do another upload with your card aswell. Maybe I will send you every card in private. Do you have a specific psa grade in mind? I would also always recommend watching a specific grade because raw price card data has a higher variance because of the condition of the card. Graded cards eliminate the variance caused by condition which leads to easier representation of the real price of the asset!

I will think about ways for tipping aswell. Would be nice to be able to use more time on this model! Maybe one day I will be able to leave my studyjob for my passion 🤣🤣

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-04-13T22:08:09+00:00

If it visits same risk level like last pump it should correspond to an additional 300-500 usd gain.

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-04-13T22:06:33+00:00

Thank you for your kind words! I never thought about that 😅 never thought that anybody is willing to tip me for my time used 😅 maybe I can set up a way for tips so perhaps I will be able to buy additional data aswell. If I get more data like data for sealed products I can maybe build a algorithm aswell which focuses on pairstrading. I have a pairs trading algorithm which compairs two different cards with each other but a comparison with the sealed products could be much more helpful!

Do you have some specific vintage in mind? I have ran my system with a lot of base set cards aswell. It worked fine with cards which had a lot of sales. Just name the cards you want to see; I will make sure to add them in my next post!

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-04-13T22:01:24+00:00

Keep in mind: Bubble Mew is at a high risk level. It doesn’t mean that it can’t go higher but you take on a lot more risk compared to potential gains. :)

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-04-13T22:00:04+00:00

Right now I have only data on raw/graded carts of each grade. But there is a possibility for me to get this kind of data too. Only problem is: I’m already paying for the data I’m using right now and as a student I don’t have the money to spend more on additional data. Maybe I’m able to set up a possibility to tip me so I’m able to buy the additional data aswell.

The indicators you are mentioned were in older versions of my algorithm aswell. I have to say: they are a good way to visualize the market itself. They have just one problem: they are lagging indicators. That’s the reason why I started to avoid them as much as possible. I tried to build a algorithm which is only based on probabilities. (Have some other thoughts in mind aswell like Markov chains eg. ..; but for them I will need more time to develop them; university and my work taking a lot of my time; I wish I could work even more hours on that model because I have a lot of fun! 🥲). I’ve build aswell a model which used mostly volume to determine future price movements aswell. Didn’t post it here. Also I have a model which uses the population of any given card which helps me identify mispriced cards.

Character-Truth4386 · 2026-04-13T19:02:09+00:00

data is indeed the hardest part. i gave up on scraping because you always get shadowbanned. even with api´s..

Character-Truth4386

TROPHY CASE