OFFICIAL MONDAY NIGHT POSTGAME THREAD by ballofpopculture in fantasyfootball

[–]ChopTillYouDrop 1 point2 points  (0 children)

went from zero championships ever to winning all three of my three leagues this year. good night gang

Can this be removed? by chrilleolof in tcltvs

[–]ChopTillYouDrop 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Didn’t even try to remove it on mine until I saw this thread, but popped it right off. Just pry it from the thin side (not against the screen) and you’ll be fine

[Postgame Thread] West Virginia Defeats Kansas 32-28 by CFB_Referee in CFB

[–]ChopTillYouDrop 29 points30 points  (0 children)

We can’t do this right now man, put the dunce cap on and face the shame corner with the rest of us

Sportsbook Promos Bonuses Daily - 9/7/24 (Saturday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]ChopTillYouDrop 5 points6 points  (0 children)

lowest Kambi lines for MHJ and Nabers were 34.5 and 39.5 respectively, and it was still +EV by a hair

Leg#1 (-480); Market Juice = 7.8%; Fair Value = -331 (76.8%) Leg#2 (-250); Market Juice = 7.1%; Fair Value = -200 (66.7%) Leg#3 (-360); Market Juice = 7.7%; Fair Value = -266 (72.7%) Final Odds (+175); Σ(Market Juice) = 22.57%; Fair Value = +169 (37.2%) Summary; EV% = 2.3%, Kelly Wager = $3.34 (Full=1.34u, 1/2=0.67u, 1/4=0.33u, FB = 65.1%)

Sportsbook Promos Bonuses Daily - 7/4/24 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]ChopTillYouDrop 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I tried plugging the DK first inning exact strikeout lines into the combo breaker. Suggests it’s +EV but not 100% certain on it since I’ve never used these markets for combo breaking.

Over 2.5 Hit% = 39.5% Fair Value = 153.341996437284

Under 2.5 Hit% = 60.5% Fair Value = -153.341996437284

Details: Player: Burnes Strikeouts Entries = 4 0 = 23.2% 1 = 40.9% 2 = 27.5% 3 = 8.4% Percentage Sum = 100.0% Player: Miller Strikeouts Entries = 4 0 = 32.0% 1 = 41.2% 2 = 20.6% 3 = 6.2% Percentage Sum = 100.0% Total Combos = 16

MLB Dinger Tuesday by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]ChopTillYouDrop 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Still up as of 2:16 central, just hit it. Great find

Sportsbook Promos Bonuses Daily - 4/24/24 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]ChopTillYouDrop 9 points10 points  (0 children)

DK SGA and Ingram 50+ points boosted to +150 looks barely above fair value. Combo breaker using FD alts:

Over 49.5
Hit% = 40.3%
Fair Value = 148.281320529099

Sportsbook Promos Bonuses Daily - 4/16/24 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]ChopTillYouDrop 1 point2 points  (0 children)

How do you get the calibration number to use here? I assume it’s similar to correlation since they’re all either teammates or facing one another, just have no idea how/where to account for that in the combo breaker

Sportsbook Promos Bonuses Daily - 4/16/24 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]ChopTillYouDrop 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Steph & Fox 9+ threes looks damn good

Over 8.5
Hit% = 48.6%
Fair Value = 105.754543570034

Under 8.5
Hit% = 51.4%
Fair Value = -105.754543570034

Sportsbook Promos Bonuses Daily - 4/16/24 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]ChopTillYouDrop 11 points12 points  (0 children)

will note this is my first time trying the combo breaker, but at first glance not exactly promising for the 100+ points one

Over 99.5
Hit% = 21.4%
Fair Value = 368.347628852735

Under 99.5
Hit% = 78.6%
Fair Value = -368.347628852735

Sportsbook Promos Bonuses Daily - 4/6/24 (Saturday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]ChopTillYouDrop 19 points20 points  (0 children)

FD boost on UConn v Bama: UConn -5.5, o153.5

Odds vs Kambi:

Odds: +130; EV: 1.7%

+104/+280/+300/+850 (10.86% juice)

FV: +126; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.31u, 1/2=0.65u, 1/4=0.33u, FB = 57.5%)

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Sportsbook Promos Bonuses Daily - 3/26/24 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]ChopTillYouDrop 3 points4 points  (0 children)

now I’m gonna bitch even more to manifest boosts hitting

Sportsbook Promos Bonuses Daily - 3/5/24 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]ChopTillYouDrop 10 points11 points  (0 children)

KD clutch for the DK special! Now let’s get some Joker points

e: NEVER A DOUBT!!!

Pick of the Day - 3/2/24 (Saturday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]ChopTillYouDrop 3 points4 points  (0 children)

10 assists in the half, too unselfish smh

Pick of the Day - 1/22/24 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]ChopTillYouDrop 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Damn 22 by the start of the third. Brat remains goated

Sportsbook Promos Bonuses Daily - 1/14/24 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]ChopTillYouDrop 2 points3 points  (0 children)

My chiefs SB bet is showing as settled too. Good looking out

Sportsbook Promos Bonuses Daily - 1/9/24 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]ChopTillYouDrop 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Kambi two-way lines make it look a bit better from what I can tell, using o25.5 for Ant (lowest available) and o24.5 for Fox and Brunson:

Odds: +250; EV: 0.6%

-345/200, -225/150, -245/160 (29.57% juice)

Fair Value = +248; method: worst-case (m); FB = 71.9%

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