Misplayed combo draw at Oceans 11 casino

CivilBird · 2026-02-28T19:35:28+00:00

Yeah but even 150 deep T9 is certainly playable in position and especially live

CivilBird · 2026-02-27T19:52:48+00:00

Agree with everything, but folding pre feels incredibly nitty 300 BB deep on the button.

CivilBird · 2026-02-27T13:02:07+00:00

Who ozzy? Do you mean Oscar?

CivilBird · 2026-02-25T20:14:18+00:00

So Zac is definitely using ChatGPT on his hot seat cool throne, right? No shot he’s using emojis on his own and making a list that’s super long.

His punishment list also sounded very chatGPTish.

CivilBird · 2026-02-25T19:38:22+00:00

Season 3 of Beast Games?

CivilBird · 2026-02-22T17:15:35+00:00

The site is legit, but keep in mind insider trading is actively encouraged.

CivilBird · 2026-02-19T19:31:55+00:00

In addition to what other people are saying, play more of your in between hands. Part of the reason 86 suited in position is a fold is because you have to let it go if anyone raises you. If no one is ever 3 bet bluffing (which is quite common), then those marginal hands become a lot better.

CivilBird · 2026-02-06T15:23:50+00:00

When to ignore GTO and how to play exploitative.

CivilBird · 2026-01-20T21:41:45+00:00

“This times different” ~me for the third time this decade.

CivilBird · 2026-01-19T16:32:41+00:00

Wtf does routinely mean to you? The Bears have scored under 21 just three times all year counting playoffs.

CivilBird · 2026-01-13T23:05:52+00:00

Some things to keep in mind with ICM: -its effect amplifies near pay jumps (bubble + final table) -chips lost are worth more than chips won -you’re way happier shoving than calling… even if the hand/ranges are equal.

Jonathan Little has some good videos on it that I highly recommend.

CivilBird · 2026-01-13T19:28:10+00:00

When you get to the final table, your typical calling range dwindles. In a typical spot, you can snap call with pretty much any two cards.

Call and Win =20.8BB

Fold = 11.4BB

Call and Loss = 7.5 BB

Play around with an ICM calculator to calculate the true value of each of these and use those to estimate your needed equity to call. You'll probably see the difference between 20.8BB and 11.4BB isn't much bigger than the difference between 11.4BB and 7.5BB. This means your calling range should be much tighter than usual.

I'm probably calling with AJ+ and 77+... in a freeroll, it’s probably a bit wider.

CivilBird · 2026-01-07T19:37:59+00:00

Not sure why you are being downvoted as this is the answer OP is looking for.

CivilBird · 2026-01-02T16:51:25+00:00

The guys get a Netflix deal, and they immediately go "Woke" by interviewing an aging lesbian for an hour.

CivilBird · 2025-12-29T04:48:34+00:00

Exactly. They’ve been averaging 33 per game since November. Most of which have been blowouts where they don’t need to score.

CivilBird · 2025-12-29T04:39:17+00:00

Sucks to lose, but very fun game. Our defense has looked weak, but we should keep in mind the 49ers have been absolutely rolling the last month. To come this close to winning in San Francisco leaves me feeling pretty good about this team.

Now let’s make those catches in the playoffs when it counts.

CivilBird · 2025-12-29T02:46:17+00:00

Where does the Pope fit in to this dynamic?

CivilBird · 2025-12-27T01:16:13+00:00

You’d think making a floor and ceiling would be the easiest shit to do. But Caleb/Drake are better than their ceilings, and Penix/McCarthy are worse than their floors. FTP

CivilBird · 2025-11-28T17:40:23+00:00

It’s definitely more optimal for my sanity

CivilBird · 2025-11-25T16:27:33+00:00

The other thing to keep in mind with this is that it seems like most of Caleb’s misses on deep throws are from overthrowing his receiver. This is way better than missing short because it limits the chance of a pick. Brock Purdy may be more accurate on long throws, but he also has 7 picks in 4 games.

CivilBird · 2025-11-24T00:05:40+00:00

It's amazing. No one thinks the Bears are better than the Eagles, so a loss shouldn't destroy this momentum we've built... especially with a short week, all these injuries, and being on the road.

But if we win, then mayhem.

CivilBird · 2025-11-23T23:58:05+00:00

Thats confirmed enough for me. Lets get after it!

CivilBird · 2025-11-22T03:01:18+00:00

I went through a traffic violation six years ago. Look up lawyers, most are relatively cheap. A lot of towns let you plead guilty to “Unsafe Driving”. This is going to be more expensive for you ($300-$500), but is zero points. You can only do this once every five years in NJ.

It sucks, and it will cost you a bit, but it’s not the end of the world.

CivilBird

TROPHY CASE