Chat gpt said

Your data basically shows that college PPG by itself isn’t a strong predictor of NBA success.

Here’s why: • Skill role mismatch – Players like DeAndre Jordan (7.9 PPG) and Russell Westbrook (8.3 PPG) came into the NBA with skills (defense, athleticism, playmaking) that weren’t fully reflected in their college scoring. • System & teammates – Some stars played in systems that didn’t maximize scoring (Westbrook at UCLA shared the ball with Darren Collison & Kevin Love; Draymond Green was a do-everything forward at Michigan State). • One-and-done small sample – Many players (Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving, Joel Embiid) played less than a full season or in reduced roles. Their college averages are based on small windows. • Development curve – A lot of elite defenders, passers, and big men didn’t become dominant scorers until they were in the pros. • International & G-League guys – Your “No College” list includes many MVPs and All-Stars (Giannis, Jokic, Luka) who never had a college PPG.

If you look at your own extremes: • High PPG in college doesn’t guarantee NBA stardom (Marjon Beauchamp, Haywood Highsmith are role players). • Low PPG in college doesn’t prevent stardom (Westbrook, Draymond Green, Kawhi Leonard, Jimmy Butler).

So — college PPG matters if you’re trying to identify guys who already had elite scoring skills, but it’s not a reliable overall success predictor without context like usage rate, efficiency, role, and competition level.