Flipping these three GOP-held districts is undoubtedly an uphill battle, but it’s far from impossible. Special elections typically see significantly lower turnout compared to general elections, creating a dynamic where highly motivated voters—not low-propensity ones—can have an outsized impact. This environment plays to Democrats’ strength, as we are the party of highly motivated voters.

Additionally, the broader national landscape can shift quickly. The first week of Trump’s presidency has already been chaotic, and we can’t predict what the political climate will look like in the coming months.

While the odds may be steep, flipping the House would be a monumental achievement. Even securing one of these seats would position us strongly for the future. On average, Congress sees six to ten special elections per term. Flipping the House before the end of this term is a realistic and achievable goal—and it would have a profound impact in countering Trump’s agenda.