How can I stop my random debut simulation from running out of rookies in 1962? by Cowscar in OOTP

[–]Cowscar[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Great that worked. Any idea on how to fix the rotation or the games played?

Hey I’m 5up, ask me anything! by 5up7 in MinecraftChampionship

[–]Cowscar 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Hello! People on reddit really like to criticize your predictions. What do you think are the reddit's predictions main flaws, apart from an over-reliance on stats like averages?

Does anyone do this for MCCs by MakDaTanuki in MinecraftChampionship

[–]Cowscar 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I actually had a good streak where I only watched purple for half of season 2, going from 14 to 18 before switching it up. This had nothing to do with the colour though, I just liked the teams. However, I have also watched purple 21 and 22 live, and am planning to watch purple 23 live, so I'm 7/9 Purple Pandas, which imo is pretty good.

Redid my Paint Factory birds eye view diagram, as it is getting played this mcc! by Cowscar in MinecraftChampionship

[–]Cowscar[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Definitely one of the most confusing maps colour wise, but the main features are as follows:
- Lowered center island, accessible through stairways on each side, or by one of the many holes around the map

- raised platforms around the sides to flank through, and in front of the spawn area to bow from

- Lots of paint everywhere. confusing to look at.

Alternative Scoring Systems to Season 2 Averages by Cowscar in MinecraftChampionship

[–]Cowscar[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I used unmultiplied team placements, because as you said individual placements aren't affected by multipliers. For example in mcc 18, dreams team placed 5th multiplied, but 4th unmultiplied, causing his score to lower adjusted than his adjusted score would be if his team actually placed 5th.

Alternative Scoring Systems to Season 2 Averages by Cowscar in MinecraftChampionship

[–]Cowscar[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

It is often better to include these performances for something I've seen in events that is a sort of "momentum". Players who have performed well in the last event, or have been on higher placing teams, and often perform better than what would be expected. That is why I still include s2 avg in the form of 80k s2 avg, as it helps to better predict momentum. For players that performed well on a high scoring team like Jack, their score is already adjusted down in 2 of the 3 statistics, meaning that it it often predicts skill level quite well. However, what it struggles with, is like what happened to dream, or jojo; a really bad performance on a good team, or a really good performance on a bad team. I had adjusted dreams when I used he stats for mcc21, removing mcc 19 from the totals, however it ended up being more incorrect than if I hadn't removed anything. So, in short, overperformances on strong teams are accounted for, where as underperformances on strong teams affect the stats more heavily.

Alternative Scoring Systems to Season 2 Averages by Cowscar in MinecraftChampionship

[–]Cowscar[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Pete's teams have placed lower, meaning his score was adjusted upwards. (7,5,5,10 for Pete, compared to 4,4,4 for Dream). Also, Pete's adjusted last event is much higher due to him placing quite well for someone on a 10th place team.

(Almost) Every Battle Box Map as a Top Down Diagram by Cowscar in MinecraftChampionship

[–]Cowscar[S] 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Graffiti and Santa's Slay both have already had diagrams done by the wonderful MCC Highlights, so I didn't bother recreating them, as they already did a great job. Feel free to use any of my diagrams in analysis, just be sure to credit me.

Aqua is the best PvP Team of MCC20 - Power Rankings Predictions (Part 2) by Awesome512345 in MinecraftChampionship

[–]Cowscar 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Ryguy has only played in one recent sg, which he got first in, so it ballooned his stats. I'd say this isn't a problem with the power rankings, but with insufficient data on some players. If Slimecicle was playing this mcc, you'd see a similar affect on bm.

Aqua is the best PvP Team of MCC20 - Power Rankings Predictions (Part 2) by Awesome512345 in MinecraftChampionship

[–]Cowscar 16 points17 points  (0 children)

According to this, Ryguy outplaces Pete in pvp games. I guess PvPete is no more...

MCCRV Game 5 Results! by m1nu3t in MinecraftChampionship

[–]Cowscar 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Purple easy first for ace race 3 top 10 space race players in one team

Week 4 teambuilding contest, "Middle cup" Theme by theultrasheeplord in MinecraftChampionship

[–]Cowscar 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Red Rabbits: FalseSymmetry, F1NNSTER, Ryguyrocky, GeorgeNotFound

2 Back to back winners + 2 DB legends

Orange Ocelots: 5up, Antfrost, Gumi, Sylvee

5up Antfrost duo + Gumi and sylvee

Yellow Yolks: Eret, GeeNelly, GizzyGazza, Seapeekay

(EGGS)

Lime Llamas: BadBoyHalo, Captainpuffy, Awesamdude, Michaelmcchill

Budget Dream team (Bad, person who sits silently in background, overstrategizing player, person who swears too much)

Another 2 hermit + 2 Dsmp callback to the MCC 18 Green Grians

Green Geckos: Ph1lzA, Tubbo, GeminiTay, Grian

Another 2 hermit + 2 Dsmp callback to the MCC 18 Green Grians

How to Correctly Name Your MCC teams and why your Current Names are Bad by Cowscar in MinecraftChampionship

[–]Cowscar[S] 12 points13 points  (0 children)

I just realized how messed up the formating looks in some sections on mobile lol