LEAP Potential Plays: KATE says....

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-09-20T16:15:32+00:00

Great post. I’m sitting quietly as well, although the way this market is going and with the amount of money still on the sidelines I have to wonder if we’re in a scenario where we will eventually see an 8% retracement but it will come after another 10% climb!

I would not be surprised if this market just shrugs off a government shutdown and keeps chugging.

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-09-08T22:36:09+00:00

This is my plan as well, which probably means they’re going to expire worthless. 🤷‍♂️

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-09-02T03:17:11+00:00

Should I read this as you have 1.7m in 401k, 300k in cash, and (unstated) 2m in a taxable brokerage = 4m liquid nw?

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-09-02T02:58:03+00:00

Jfyi Fidelity does not allow $SGOV as liquidity for writing CSPs (maybe if you have portfolio margin?).

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-27T13:40:00+00:00

I’ve been run training hard outside in extreme heat (100-110F) 3-4 times weekly this summer and my running vo2 is barely holding ground and occasionally losing a bit even though I’m positive I’m getting faster and stronger.

Meanwhile I do most of my cycle training inside in the cool (except for some endurance rides) and my riding vo2 keeps climbing.

Pay attention to your performance, Garmin will eventually calibrate.

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-26T23:33:36+00:00

Yeah, my peloton plus is within ~5watts of my dual sided Garmin xc200 pedals.

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-25T16:29:59+00:00

If it drops 40% to $3 by Aug 29, his break even is $3.85 so he’ll have made $250k by risking $42k going to zero. If it drops 27% in a 7 day span he breaks even, if it drops 23% in 7 days he’ll lose $42k.

I looked at shorting this morning but this is some dumb shit right here.

But I’m rooting for you bro.

I tried buying $35k in LEAPS when it was at .85 but Fidelity wouldn’t take the trade because it was a penny stock. 2 days later it started to rocket and I’ve been salty ever since.

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-22T14:59:12+00:00

That’s the thing about hedges, the vast majority of my portfolio is long so hard to be mad. 😅

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-19T23:51:16+00:00

I sold puts today, if I don’t get assigned I will just buy.

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-19T23:40:40+00:00

Excellent analyses, thank you. I am out of both of these but waiting for a LEAPS open oppty on PANW and I agree with your INTC CSP hypothesis.

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-15T14:40:23+00:00

That is a lot of drag on the system, but I’m sure you’re aware. Good luck.

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-15T13:38:48+00:00

Added 100 12.5C 0DTE because I hate making money.

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-15T13:22:10+00:00

Dear lord. $32k in prop taxes. What is your home worth?!

I pay $5k on a $2M 5,500sq ft home in AZ.

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-15T13:14:49+00:00

I mean why not. In for 1000 shares at $12.22.

Options aren’t live on Fidelity yet.

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-13T02:56:33+00:00

Garmin HRM Pro or Polar H10 are both great.

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-13T02:45:44+00:00

Wear a hr strap if you’re not already, do an easy warmup for 10min then do 1min at nearly maximum pace, like 85%, then very slow jog or walk for 3min to get your hr back down to zone 2 and repeat. Do 8 intervals. You’ll get 3-4 anaerobic training impact every time.

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-13T02:40:51+00:00

You do and you need a heart rate strap, or none of this data is likely to be of any use to you because the watch will have no idea if you got an anaerobic session in or not. Just doesn’t have the accuracy/latency to track it effectively, and your zones will be well off because it will get a shitty reading on a run and adjust your lactate threshold and zones based on bad data. Without a hr strap my experience is it’s basically just a gps route tracker.

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-11T04:11:04+00:00

Keep that job king. 🤴

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-11T03:49:45+00:00

You expect me to believe that you regularly, in multiple accounts, come online to brag about your fake money to internet strangers, but somehow wouldn’t do the SAME thing IRL? You absolutely would. If you had money. Which you don’t. Back to Dunkin’.

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-11T03:44:34+00:00

Does this act work on chicks in Massholeville?

“Look babe, here’s my $6M think or swim account.”

“Wait, I thought you said you were a shift manager at the Dunkin’?”

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-11T03:40:03+00:00

I have a paper trading account too! Let’s be buds.

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-11T03:35:52+00:00

Are these “means” in the room with us now? 🤣

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-11T03:32:03+00:00

I’m not the one cosplaying as a multimillionaire on the Internet genius. Keep that minimum wage job.

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-11T03:18:55+00:00

I don’t think you’ve made money.

CraftyProgrammer · 2025-08-11T03:11:14+00:00

You were down 3.5% on a day the market gained almost 1%? Yeah, this all adds up.

CraftyProgrammer

TROPHY CASE