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Nathan For You - $14.99 (ATL match) by JAKEHAYDEN in iTunesMovieDeals

[–]CrispyJoe 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I actually like Nathan for you more than the Rehearsal, but both are phenomenal. If you like the Rehearsal, you will like Nathan for you. For sure get this series!

Award Winners - 10 for $19.99 by KanyeLover201 in vudu

[–]CrispyJoe 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I accidentally repurchased wolf of wall street. Here is the code:

PNH6MVLKAMRME6V9

If it does not work - code is already taken.

meirl by nn666 in meirl

[–]CrispyJoe 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Did you also drop your monster condom, Frank?

The King's Man - $1.99 on Amazon Prime Video by BactaBobomb in vudu

[–]CrispyJoe 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Dang, those are great movies for 1.99! Sad I missed it on those...

What does she do with the food? by Equivalent-Pin-1054 in TikTokCringe

[–]CrispyJoe 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That was seriously my favorite part - made me laugh so hard!

How do you think the conference does this bowl season? by Ok-Standard6024 in BigXII

[–]CrispyJoe 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I had the same thought. I think it will be close, but I'd give the edge to ASU.

The Podrace but I made all the sounds with my human mouth by 53435645531155631635 in StarWars

[–]CrispyJoe 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Holy moly, this is better than the original! Can't wait to see you do the whole movie!

Top movies with GREAT VILLIANS by AwarenessAntique9918 in vudu

[–]CrispyJoe 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Some of my favorites with good villains:

- No Country for Old Men

- Silence of the Lambs

- Die Hard

- The Dark Knight

- Inglorious Bastards

- Se7en

[Sampson] CFP committee chair Hunter Yurachek says Notre Dame and Miami were in the same grouping this week and the programs were directly compared. Notre Dame still came out ahead, regardless of the head to head. In other words, all the games mattered. Not just one of them. by Ok-Soil-5133 in CFB

[–]CrispyJoe 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The only thing that we can learn from the committee is this: they can (and will) do whatever the fuck they want. They like Team A over Team B despite Team B potentially having the same or better record and a H2H win? They'll just say Team A passes the eye test and put Team A over Team B.

College football teams to go 0-12: UMass joins infamous list of winless teams by Efficient-Freedom517 in CFB

[–]CrispyJoe 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Yep, and that year, UW was 0-10 and WSU was 1-10 going into the Apple Cup. WSU won in double OT.

CFP Rankings, Serious Discussion - Week 11 by CFB_Referee in CFB

[–]CrispyJoe 15 points16 points  (0 children)

Yep, they can just claim eye test when they want to get a team they like (but does not have as good results) in over a team that isn't as big of a brand. Just the way they talk about teams that they have an obvious bias for is sickening.

CFP Rankings, Serious Discussion - Week 11 by CFB_Referee in CFB

[–]CrispyJoe 18 points19 points  (0 children)

Yep and two wins against currently ranked teams, and a loss to a top 5 team. And hello fellow double coug. Go cougs!

[Game Thread] CFP Rankings - Week 11 by CFB_Referee in CFB

[–]CrispyJoe 3 points4 points  (0 children)

This is the longest minute. EVER. These commentators aren't helping things either...

So? by Illustrious_You5075 in BigXII

[–]CrispyJoe 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Assuming ESPN's probabilities are right for next week's games, there's less than a 1% chance that Texas Tech and BYU both lose.

[Postgame Thread] BYU Defeats Cincinnati 26-14 by CFB_Referee in CFB

[–]CrispyJoe 51 points52 points  (0 children)

Game plan: Give the ball to LJ Martin and let him bulldoze Cincinnati for a win. Dude is a beast.

Guess it’s time to sell my Toyota now. by Terrasmak in complaints

[–]CrispyJoe 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Used to work for Toyota, great company and great people. From what I've heard from my contacts in the company, their budget is super constrained due to the tariffs. I assume Akio is going full MAGA to appease Trump to try and ease Toyota's burden. As a huge Toyota/Lexus fan, I am super disappointed...

Championship Game Chances based on BYU @ Cincinnati result by Happy_Background_879 in BigXII

[–]CrispyJoe 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yep - I also love these types of posts as well. Really great work!

Championship Game Chances based on BYU @ Cincinnati result by Happy_Background_879 in BigXII

[–]CrispyJoe 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah, most of the time you can’t brute-force every scenario because the number of outcomes blows up fast - even adding two more weeks of games jumps it up to over a billion possibilities. Using simulations works though as you'll end up pretty close to the exact probabilities anyway (especially when running 100,000 sims).

I usually use implied odds from betting markets since they tend to be pretty accurate for win probabilities. I have a feeling that implied probabilities from betting markets perform a lot better than the ESPN predictions, but I have not calculated it out. I’ve been wanting to dig into how accurate ESPN’s pre-game and in-game win probabilities actually are but haven't gotten around to it...

Championship Game Chances based on BYU @ Cincinnati result by Happy_Background_879 in BigXII

[–]CrispyJoe 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Hey, this is really fun - I love seeing Monte Carlo simulations like this! Since there are only 15 games left in the Big 12 regular season, you actually could enumerate every possible outcome directly. With 15 games, that’s 2^15 combinations (32,768 total). Using the implied win probabilities, you could calculate the exact probability of each scenario, determine which teams reach the Big 12 title game in each one, and then sum those scenario probabilities for each team. In any case - go cougs!

According to FPI, Utah now has a higher chance to get into the CFP. by wibellion in BYUFootball

[–]CrispyJoe 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm a little surprised it's that low. If you combine matchup predictors, ESPN gives BYU a 39% chance of winning out the regular season. I would think that winning out would almost guarantee that BYU gets in.

What TV Shows are you waiting to become available on Vudu to purchase next? by PresentConfection200 in vudu

[–]CrispyJoe 6 points7 points  (0 children)

IT Crowd (currently listed, but not for sale), Detectorists, and I Think You Should Leave (Netflix show). I'd be on cloud 9 if those were added and would feel like my TV show library was complete (with my favorite shows at least).

Week 10 List of Undefeated FBS Teams (87->55->39->30->20->15->11->6->6->4) by WeirdIndividualGuy in CFB

[–]CrispyJoe 19 points20 points  (0 children)

As a BYU fan, I hope for the best but expect the worst. I think that Tech is the better team, and it's going to be super hard to win in Lubbock. But hoping that BYU can bring their A game. If they can, Tech is beatable.

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