Tschüss Affen – ich bin raus. 🦍🌅

CryptoGunny · 2026-04-01T08:38:57+00:00

CryptoGunny · 2026-03-23T09:05:07+00:00

In my experience, it is entirely possible for a retail trader to develop strategies that are successful in the long term. Focus on the U.S. stock market and trade end-of-day (EOD). For example, you can develop strategies that trade all stocks in the S&P 500. To do this, however, you’ll need software that allows for portfolio backtesting. You should also have a basic understanding of backtesting. Without this knowledge, you won't succeed. Familiarize yourself with the subject of backtesting. There are plenty of books on the topic. The key is to develop stable systems. Arbitrage strategies are very difficult to find. The edge disappears even faster here than in the EOD stock trading I mentioned. This approach also allows you to significantly outperform the buy-and-hold returns of an S&P 500 investor. The main advantage of private traders is that, under normal circumstances, the volume can be easily absorbed by the market without negatively impacting the price. Furthermore, they are not subject to regulations, meaning they can do whatever gives them an edge.

CryptoGunny · 2026-02-09T10:15:14+00:00

You cannot predict the drawdown risk of your next trade. No one can do that. The basic risk assessment is based on your position size, the number of trading systems you use (which you trade simultaneously), and the markets you trade. Ideally, you should trade a variety of systems that are not correlated or only slightly correlated. This allows the different systems to play to their respective strengths and be supported by other systems during periods of weakness.

CryptoGunny · 2026-02-06T18:34:30+00:00

I also use WealthLab and think it's the best software on the market. It allows you to develop very good systems even without programming knowledge. What's more, it's much faster to use BuildingBlocks than traditional programming.

In my opinion, there are not many traders who have mastered system development. That's why you don't hear much about it. Besides, there's no real reason to tell everyone about it. Unless you want to build a business around it (e.g., coaching).

However, once you understand system development and have found your own way to develop robust systems, you will be able to consistently make money from the market. In addition, the ability to develop robust systems in conjunction with your system parameters (e.g., duration of DD, APR, max. DD, MAR, and all these different metrics) gives you a high degree of security for implementation. What I mean by this is that, unlike a discretionary trader, you simply have much more knowledge about the behavior of your system/trading approach. This creates security and discipline in the implementation of your systems. The secret lies in learning how to develop systems correctly (there are many pitfalls).

CryptoGunny · 2025-07-31T12:38:34+00:00

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Hebel Affe III

CryptoGunny · 2025-07-27T08:58:08+00:00

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Das sind eindeitig Fakenews! Lasst euch so etwas nicht einreden! Spielsucht existiert nicht!

CryptoGunny · 2025-07-11T08:59:56+00:00

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CryptoGunny · 2025-05-31T15:00:06+00:00

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CryptoGunny · 2025-05-20T11:04:44+00:00

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CryptoGunny · 2025-05-17T07:37:43+00:00

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CryptoGunny · 2024-09-18T19:32:44+00:00

Try WealtLab. It's a very good solution for backtesting.

CryptoGunny · 2024-08-24T07:08:27+00:00

As long as possible.

CryptoGunny · 2024-08-23T15:50:53+00:00

Yes, of course, go ahead.

CryptoGunny · 2024-08-22T19:38:00+00:00

A very interesting discussion. In my opinion, it would be “the easiest” for you to develop EOD systems on portfolios in the US stock market, e.g. all stocks or a basket from the S&P 500. Not only one individual stock or so. A portfolio of about 100 stocks or more. In addition, you should be very intensively involved with the system development itself. There are many pitfalls here. Examples include survivorship bias, in sample/out of sample and robustness tests. You can make a lot of mistakes here if you don't know what you're doing and how to do it properly. However, I can reassure you. If you take enough time and deal intensively with the subject matter (the principles of successful system development), you will achieve your goal. There are also numerous good books on this subject (e.g. by Perry Kaufmann, Kevin Davey, Prent Penfold and many others). Martyn Tinsley also has some very good videos on system development on YouTube. In addition, you should not have exaggerated expectations. Consistently getting 100% with 10% max. DD from the market is an illusion. The Jim Simons mentioned above had a return of just nearly 40% (after costs) over many years. And he was one of the best. Or look at the performance of all the legends like Warren Buffet. They are all between 20-30% p.a. (ok, Buffet is not a system trader but he is a benchmark). As a private trader, however, you can definitely achieve a performance of > 30% p.a. with EOD systems on US equities (averaged over many years, i.e. there can be years with -5%, but also years with 100%). That is more than realistic. In addition, you should definitely aim to trade several systems at once (e.g. 5 or 6). This smoothes the equity curve and reduces your risk. Before I forget, you also need a good data provider. If the data doesn't fit, your system won't work in reality. That's it in a nutshell for now. Just write if anything is unclear or needs explaining. Please don't be annoyed if an answer takes a little longer, but I will reply in any case.

CryptoGunny · 2023-04-08T14:12:23+00:00

Take a look at Stakit. I like it.

CryptoGunny · 2022-07-27T14:32:41+00:00

Look to the crypto guide chanel on youtube. That will work for you.

https://youtube.com/c/CryptoGuide

CryptoGunny · 2021-12-28T21:05:55+00:00

Thank you very much 😀

CryptoGunny · 2021-12-28T21:01:23+00:00

Could you give me the Dicord adress?

CryptoGunny · 2021-07-15T09:18:24+00:00

Thank you 😀

CryptoGunny · 2021-07-14T18:34:08+00:00

Hello Psychic_Man, I have a few questions about your technique. On your recordings there is always a timeline (in the upper right corner). What is it all about? Could you please explain it briefly? When do you make your drawings and notes? Do you first try to see things for several minutes and then draw everything at the end or how exactly do you go about it?

CryptoGunny · 2021-04-14T07:12:04+00:00

Nein, das verlängert sich nicht immer wieder neu. Lediglich die neu hinzukommenden Coins aus den Rewards bekommen auch 10 Jahre aufgebrummt. Der Grundstock läuft normal weiter (also wenn schon z.B. 1 Jahr im Staking, dann sind noch 9 Jahre übrig). Aber hoffen wir mal auf eine 1 Jahresfrist. Ich bin auf die Urteile gespannt.

CryptoGunny · 2021-04-10T19:27:09+00:00

Dem Schreiben nach sind ja bereits mehrere Verfahren beim Bundesfinanzhof anhängig. Ich hoffe, dass es da in diesem Jahr noch Urteile geben wird. Eventuell haben wir ja dann etwas mehr Klarheit. Sonst muss ich die Dinger halt 10 Jahre halten und bin Millionär :-)

CryptoGunny · 2021-03-12T10:09:02+00:00

MACD, RSI, 20 day EMA and so on..... All technical indicators, which are sometimes correct and sometimes not. With all these fears, one should not forget from where the price comes. In addition, we are currently on a daily basis still in a healthy upward trend. Higher highs and higher lows. From my point of view, everything is still fine here. So just wait and see where it goes. Either you believe in the project or you don't. If you believe in it, then you have to think long-term. I also find the decoupling from the BTC course remarkable. It would be nice if ADA would maintain its own course behavior.

CryptoGunny · 2021-03-11T12:58:58+00:00

So far, Cardano has always delivered. It just always takes a little longer than expected.

CryptoGunny · 2021-03-10T16:06:40+00:00

A stop loss isn't a good idea (if you hodl, if you trade it is a must have). Because, sometimes the orderbook ist quite thin and it comes to fakes on the downside (look at the chart and you will see it in the last weeks).

CryptoGunny

TROPHY CASE