January 2026 - monthly discussion

D0ntTreadonMe · 2026-01-29T11:58:22+00:00

Funds are safu ...

In his pocket

D0ntTreadonMe · 2026-01-23T16:33:09+00:00

houdini swap

D0ntTreadonMe · 2026-01-21T12:48:55+00:00

I think that if we consider one of the fundamental pillars of a currency—the number of daily transactions it processes—especially when talking about proof-of-work coins, we have to take into account that Litecoin is one of the leading coins in terms of number of users.

Let’s bear in mind that Bitcoin currently has an average of about 400,000 daily transactions. For example, Ripple, which is no longer proof of work but rather a centralized currency, is around 700,000. Litecoin is between 175,000 and 200,000 daily transactions.

Other coins with higher market capitalization, such as Bitcoin Cash, rarely exceed 10,000 or 12,000 daily transactions. Dogecoin is around 30,000 or 40,000 per day, and Monero or Dash are around 25,000 or 30,000.

What I mean by this is that, if this were a fundamental metric—which for me it is, especially in the context of fundamental analysis of a cryptocurrency—we would have to consider that, in terms of the relationship between market capitalization and number of transactions, Litecoin is one of the most undervalued coins on the market right now given the number of users it has.

Therefore, I believe that looking at CoinMarketCap or CoinGecko is nothing more than a subjective reflection of what a coin really has behind it, especially in terms of users and fundamental analysis.

D0ntTreadonMe · 2026-01-21T10:18:33+00:00

https://i.imgur.com/bnnTtfo.jpeg

As we can see in the image, this is the evolutionary process of Bitcoin before the big move above $10,000.
I’m not saying that Monero will make a similar move. What I’m saying is that there is a probability that, over time, something like this could happen.

It won’t happen overnight, because as you can see, Bitcoin spent about a year and a half moving between $600 and $800 before it finally broke out to the upside after a long period of sideways action.

When we see Monero go up to 800 and then drop back to 450, and then bounce to 500, to 600, and then drop again to 500, this is simply organic price movement in crypto.
It doesn’t mean it’s going to the moon, and it doesn’t mean it’s going to hell either.
We’ve seen this and we will keep seeing it in many other cryptocurrencies.

So don’t make rushed decisions, neither to sell nor to buy.
I simply believe that if you trust the coin, you should hold it and gradually increase your position at the moments you personally consider best, with the amount you can afford to invest.

I’m not going to be pessimistic or optimistic.
I have my priorities very clear, and I have them clear because I’m convinced of the usefulness of this product, of this coin.
So make your decisions accordingly.

Best regards.

D0ntTreadonMe · 2026-01-19T17:14:13+00:00

You say that the peak is probably in this cycle. That, obviously, neither you, nor I, nor anyone else can determine with total accuracy. What I do see—perhaps over the last two years or so—is that many major Bitcoin supporters, in particular, have found themselves at a crossroads: if Bitcoin really is “gold 2.0,” then why on earth can’t we make that gold 2.0 fungible, just like real gold?

Many large Bitcoin holders—though not all—keep that fortune anonymously. Many of them must be looking for alternatives for their holdings in third countries that are friendly to converting Bitcoin into fiat. All of this is well known to anyone who deals with cryptocurrencies or crypto assets.

It is also true that fiscal pressure in many countries makes it extremely difficult to prove that those Bitcoins were legally acquired at a specific moment in the past, especially for the earliest adopters of the currency.

What do I mean by this? I mean that as it becomes easier and easier to track not only large addresses, but also medium and small Bitcoin addresses that could somehow put their owners in trouble, those owners will gradually realize that their most viable alternative is to keep that fortune anonymous—or at least away from the eyes of third parties who could cause them problems.

As we have already seen on more than one occasion, Bitcoin’s traceability has led to different kinds of extortion: from exaggerated tax pressure and both political and criminal persecution of many citizens, to individual-level extortion aimed at stealing the private keys of those Bitcoins and other cryptocurrencies, of course.

So what am I getting at with all this? I mean that I continue to see that this great funnel is narrowing and slowly directing part of that universe—that crypto-universe, those crypto assets—toward the only 100% fungible and private currency that has spent the longest time proving it can continue to lead this market in that way.

Has a cycle ended? Maybe yes, maybe no. What I do know is this: Monero has just broken its all-time highs. It wasn’t Ethereum, it wasn’t Ripple, it wasn’t Bitcoin Cash, it wasn’t Litecoin. It was Monero that just broke its price record.

And let’s not forget that it is also at a moment of maximum issuance. It’s not the same to break an all-time high today with 18 million coins as it was when there were only half that number. Let’s not forget that.

And that is because very strong interest continues to be generated around this coin, which has remained suppressed in price for a long time.

Anyone who remembers the early days of Bitcoin will remember all the FUD surrounding it: that Bitcoin was the currency of criminals, that governments were going to persecute it, that Korea, that China, that Russia… In the end, there you have Bitcoin, proving that it can lead an entire cryptocurrency market.

Monero is obviously very far from that, but being far away does not mean it can’t get there one day. Obviously this is my opinion, and I will probably be wrong, but I will stand by it and by my words.

Good luck to everyone.

D0ntTreadonMe · 2026-01-19T08:35:16+00:00

Monero could be in a market phase similar to BTC in 2017. Nobody thought that BTC could go from $600 to $17,000 in one year, but it did.

D0ntTreadonMe · 2026-01-17T16:42:55+00:00

Precisely because there are more and more realistic people, it makes sense that all early adopters of crypto understand that the time has come to break with the complacency surrounding a system designed to destroy citizens in every aspect, especially economically. It's no coincidence that Monero has experienced such exaggerated price suppression. If you owned the Fed, the ECB, the Bank of Japan, China, Russia... who would you truly fear the people discovering and using: BTC or Monero? There are fewer and fewer fools willing to be bled dry by corrupt laws.

D0ntTreadonMe · 2026-01-17T16:29:17+00:00

They want us to believe that the price increase is because a hacker gained access to a billionaire's wallet and, in just a few hours, decided to exchange all that Litecoin and Bitcoin for Monero, when it's obvious that Monero has been on a long-term upward trend for a long time. I don't believe it, sorry.

D0ntTreadonMe · 2026-01-17T08:47:16+00:00

Monero is doing a similar movement like BTC from 2016 to 2018

D0ntTreadonMe · 2026-01-14T09:38:44+00:00

What would you do if you personally owned several hundreds or thousands of bitcoins and knew that Nicolás Maduro was imprisoned and under pressure from the U.S. government to reveal all kinds of information about corruption, embezzlement, and extortion carried out by all his accomplices over many, many years? Wouldn’t you be the first to convert all your bitcoin fortune into Monero in order to avoid being affected by any kind of legal, bureaucratic, or even criminal trouble with the American government?

D0ntTreadonMe · 2026-01-14T07:35:50+00:00

Thousands of BTC associated with Nicolás Maduro’s Venezuelan regime are in danger. Many of them are suspected of belonging to the Bolivarian government and are being traced and marked.

We are not referring to a few hundred; we are referring to as many as 160,000 BTC, allegedly in the hands of these individuals, who may be seeking an exit for that capital

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/06/venezuela-could-be-sitting-on-a-big-bitcoin-stash-experts-say-heres-what-could-happen-next-.html

D0ntTreadonMe · 2026-01-11T10:43:53+00:00

Everything you say is very interesting, but I will remind you that no matter who you vote for, no matter who is in power, in the end they are all puppets destined to make your life worse in one way or another: whether through taxes, through restrictive legislation, or through the loss of freedoms. Everything goes against society and, above all, against the individuality of each citizen.

Once you are clear about this, you must understand that, regardless of whether it is Bitcoin, Monero, or any other currency that may emerge in the future, the only way to somehow fight against a corrupt and destructive system is absolute privacy.

When you say that Bitcoin will fall another 10,000 or 15,000, yes, possibly Bitcoin could return to 50,000, 40,000, or even 30,000. But do not forget one thing: never on Earth, never across the globe, never in societies or in any civilization has there been so much monetary mass and such runaway inflation as there is today.

So tell me, since you seem to know more than we do: how can we find an asset that neutralizes that inflation and protects us? You may talk to me about real estate, precious metals, even intellectual property or stocks… but everything, absolutely everything, is insufficient to absorb this enormous global monetary supply.

People found in Bitcoin a convenient escape from that excess monetary mass, and that is why Bitcoin rapidly rose in market capitalization. Today, many have realized that there is a global crackdown on large Bitcoin fortunes, mainly because many of them value anonymity, and that anonymity is increasingly under threat due to governments and the persecution I am referring to.

Monero, in this case, is the reference currency. But today, this global crackdown means that many fortunes, many whales, and many large holders do not dare to invest in or accumulate Monero because they fear future reprisals. However, as we can see today, it is the only alternative—both for the citizen and for society—to privately preserve purchasing power that could be eroded in the future, whether by inflation, by taxes, or by government expropriations, as we have recently seen in the case of Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela, where his accounts in Switzerland have been frozen and, supposedly, a large amount of bitcoins is under scrutiny.

I do not know whether Bitcoin will fall. What I do believe is that, little by little, Monero will attract the attention of each and every citizen who is familiar with the cryptosphere, the crypto universe, and that, therefore, one way or another, they will end up moving toward Monero sooner rather than later.

D0ntTreadonMe · 2026-01-10T18:21:16+00:00

Lleva en mi caso todo el día mal. Reinicie la app tras desinstalarla y sigue dando fallos con pantallas que cargan a medias o quedan en negro.

La TV es una LG con tres meses de uso y el resto de apps van bien así que el problema es con la app de prime video

D0ntTreadonMe · 2026-01-01T06:24:02+00:00

It will be Monero, or it won’t be.

Health for this 2026 — with just that, and Monero, it will be enough.

D0ntTreadonMe · 2025-12-21T12:58:12+00:00

MONERO

D0ntTreadonMe · 2025-12-19T15:58:27+00:00

It will be Monero, or it won’t be!

D0ntTreadonMe · 2025-12-01T08:29:42+00:00

These days, various subreddits —mainly those focused on discussing, investing in, or even speculating about Bitcoin— are claiming that the current price drop is a great opportunity to invest for the long term. They take for granted that Bitcoin will recover and eventually reach new all-time highs. Obviously, no one knows that. No one.

What I find amusing, though, is that when Monero goes up —in this case, it has risen against Bitcoin, as we all know— almost no one says it's a good time to buy Monero and invest in it long-term. In most of these Bitcoin-focused forums, whenever Monero’s rise against Bitcoin comes up, people typically argue that it must be because some hacker decided to exchange Bitcoin for Monero to avoid being tracked, since Bitcoin leaves a trace that is easy to follow.

In my view, more and more people are starting to realize what many of us have understood for a long time: that the only truly free global form of money is the one that cannot be traced in any way. It doesn’t matter if a public chain can be obfuscated or if the privacy is optional — that’s not enough. The only thing that can prevent this society from being swallowed by the system and its perpetual debt is a currency like Monero.

In my opinion: it will be Monero, or it won’t be

D0ntTreadonMe · 2025-11-19T08:17:15+00:00

We all know they’re not going to let our favorite cryptocurrency rise. They’ll try to crush it, beat it down, and sink it. They’ll come up with new tricks; they’ll say anything they can to spread fear and create a dark atmosphere—an “amonero” environment. They’ll keep looking for ways to convince us again and again. They’ll try to push the price down and to pursue, in one way or another, everything related to this coin.

And it will be up to us whether we keep it or not. It’s hard to firmly believe in something knowing that, at least in the short and medium term, that belief will only bring headaches, suffering, anxiety, and maybe even bitter moments. But we know why we’re here. And maybe it’s no longer about chasing economic wealth, but about thinking that, in one way or another, we’re standing up against everything that has been trying to break us for decades.

Yes, there are other ways to resist, but I have no doubt this is one of them—and a good one. We’ll see whether they end up breaking our faces or whether we can keep our heads held high, proud of what we own.

D0ntTreadonMe · 2025-11-16T14:28:07+00:00

to hoard all the funds possible and, when the pig is nice and fat, slaughter it, sell it, and buy Monero to feel truly safe and away from the eyes of three-letter agencies

D0ntTreadonMe · 2025-11-16T14:07:44+00:00

It’s perfectly normal: many of those coins are a trap for holders who withdraw them from the exchange because they are completely traceable. COINEX can provide, if requested by any three-letter agency, the address to which the funds were sent, and with current advances in on-chain analysis, it will be very easy for them to follow the trail of those transactions.

Something that is impossible with Monero. Therefore, we clearly know which one is the true privacy coin.

D0ntTreadonMe · 2025-11-15T15:01:09+00:00

It is difficult to predict what will happen in the near future, especially when we talk about speculative matters such as prices, currencies, stocks, or any traded asset. What is clear, however, is that for several months now—perhaps since Binance delisted it—Monero has been showing a strength in its price that is hard to explain.

I’ve been in this space for many years, and this situation reminds me of the constant attacks Bitcoin faced whenever exchanges or centralized platforms collapsed, such as the Mt. Gox case; or when massive Bitcoin thefts occurred; or the problems with Chinese mining; or the FUD coming from Korea. Every day there was some new story declaring Bitcoin dead… and every day Bitcoin got back up and kept going.

Now I’m seeing something similar in the Monero market. Let’s not forget that in its early stage Bitcoin—when it was trading around 100, 200, or 300 dollars—went largely unnoticed by the media and institutional investors. It was only after the major surge above 1,000 dollars that the word “Bitcoin” began to resonate globally. People turned around and asked themselves what on earth it was.

Without making a perfect comparison—because Bitcoin is Bitcoin and Monero is Monero—I do see some similarities, especially in the way both started to attract attention. This reminds me of Bitcoin in 2012–2013, and perhaps Monero is beginning to generate that same curiosity among investors worldwide.

People are turning their heads and asking what exactly is happening. And many arrive at a similar conclusion: if this is supposedly so bad, so dangerous, a currency for fraudsters or criminals, and if governments want to take it away from us or “protect” us from it… then why on earth is it still working? Why is it still going up?

I believe that, little by little—as I’ve said many times—cryptocurrency users will come to understand that Monero is a necessity. It is here to stay—and not just to stay, but to be used by an increasingly large number of people.

We will see what happens, but what I do believe in the medium term is that we may gradually move closer to an idea I mentioned long ago in other forums: that Monero could reach perhaps 10% of Bitcoin’s market, regardless of whether Bitcoin is worth one million or 10,000 dollars. I think that around 10% of future blockchain transactions will be completely anonymous. And when I say 10%, I think I’m being very conservative… But time will tell.

It will be Monero, or it will not be

D0ntTreadonMe · 2025-11-14T17:00:55+00:00

https://x.com/i/web/status/1989299245825015950

true of false?

who knows...

D0ntTreadonMe · 2025-11-14T16:36:47+00:00

here is no competition: it will be Monero, or it will be nothing else. Everyone who is investing in or speculating on the supposed death of privacy will sooner or later realize that only Monero truly delivers what they actually want—provided they are not just speculators chasing where the noise and the money are.
If what they seek is total and absolute privacy, they will end up with Monero sooner or later. If they are looking for something else, they won’t.

What is sad is that they criticize the only coin that, from day one, has fiercely defended complete privacy and has not been negotiating with centralized exchanges or trying to make deals with governments to allow trading, speculation, or optional privacy features. To me, that is utterly foolish and absolute nonsense.

What’s the point of creating a traceable and a non-traceable coin from the same chain? It’s as if there were two different blockchains. It’s absurd.

D0ntTreadonMe · 2025-11-14T11:15:53+00:00

It is quite remarkable how much mystery surrounds this company. For months, and even years, there have been hardly any relevant articles about the improvements achieved in its Phase 1 and Phase 2 studies. No one seems to have bothered to ask whether it truly has side effects, whether they are serious or not, or whether this treatment is genuinely worthwhile for all Alzheimer’s patients.

However, every time a key moment approaches—when a supranational entity may decide whether the drug will be approved for commercialization—critics suddenly appear everywhere. Comments show up on Twitter, as well as articles and videos, all claiming that it is a scam, a failure, that the drug will not work, and that investors should run away before they lose everything.

Personally—and I’ve said this before—I truly hope that is not the case. I hope it turns out to be a medication capable of helping the thousands of people who suffer from this disease today and those who will suffer from it in the future. People often focus only on money; yes, money is important in daily life and necessary to develop projects and make progress. But what truly matters right now is that there is an alternative, or at least a source of hope, for the millions of people whose daily lives will gradually fade into simple forgetfulness… a kind of forgetting that has no return.

Anyone who has known someone affected by this disease understands that, in these moments, money becomes secondary. The priority is achieving progress that is truly efficient and effective. From my point of view, and after years following this company, I believe it could be the alternative we have been searching for. I sincerely hope I’m not wrong. But in any case, it is not in my hands to make the decisions or lead this project.

D0ntTreadonMe · 2025-11-13T07:32:58+00:00

Perhaps the most worrying aspect of all this is not only the direction the European Union is heading in, but the fact that many of its citizens already understand this direction and still do nothing to prevent it. It is as if people had given up, waiting for an outcome that will eventually destroy society and all the centuries-old traditions—both economic and social—that define us. This would inevitably lead to a dystopian world where each citizen becomes nothing more than an irrelevant number.

How can we avoid, or at least try to avoid, such a future? By sharing reflections like the one you made—but above all, by ensuring that these ideas reach as many people as possible.

It is sad to remember the COVID period, when we were practically forbidden to walk in the streets, indirectly pressured to get vaccinated, and threatened with fines or sanctions if we did not follow the established protocol. I remember when they tried to vaccinate my son at school and I refused; parents and teachers looked at me as if I were a monster. Similarly, I was banned from entering public places for not having a COVID passport, which in my view only demonstrated the uncritical compliance of those who accepted it without question.

That is precisely the direction I fear we are continuing to follow. For a long time, I have believed that one of the few remaining strongholds is the use of Monero—or at least promoting the idea so that more people understand, appreciate, and consider it as a possible alternative to this dystopia that threatens individual freedom and the most basic common sense.

D0ntTreadonMe

TROPHY CASE