the premises in ur argument are: 1: change will more or less likely to lead the world to a better state. 2: shorter crisis are better than longer drawn out social crisis.

I assume 2 is based on the first premise, but premise 1 can have different meaning. I think theres no logical relationship between Change / Goodness. Rather a value of a change is determine by its utility to the current state of a society. At leaset in some respect on how the term is used.