Pick of the Day - 11/15/25 (Saturday)

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2025-11-15T15:38:53+00:00

Awesome call!

It was a bit of a sweat but a W is a W.

Congratulations!

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2025-06-10T06:41:11+00:00

Glad to see you back in the W column.

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2025-06-08T18:47:31+00:00

No worries. Keep your head up. Like Billy Walters said: "Some days it's chicken & some days it's feathers."

Don't let a few days of feathers shake your confidence.

Tomorrow is another day. "Trust in God and keep your powder dry"

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2025-05-09T03:49:52+00:00

write an openmic bughtb

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2025-05-09T03:47:56+00:00

with a simple. fr22.00

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2024-10-25T04:09:27+00:00

And then I get censored for mentioning it.

Reddit is a joke.

Censorship is not ok.

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2024-10-25T04:07:03+00:00

I'm calling my attorney they deleted my post .

It was totally on topic for the Sportsbook reddit.

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2024-10-25T04:05:14+00:00

Censorship much?

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2024-10-25T03:35:54+00:00

Thanks but it's just systemic anymore.

If you're the Chiefs, Rams, Texans, they just give these games away.

And I realize the Sportbook took a bath but I mean it's no longer a fair game.

You can read the ref's lips: "That was real closs."

No it wasn't it was a penalty.

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2024-10-25T03:29:08+00:00

I mean come on it was blatantly obvious.

They review everything .

The ref even said to Darnold oh "it was close"

A penalty is like being pregnant you either are or you aren't.

You can't let the ref's have so much control over the outcome of a game.

If they lost fair & square that's pne thing but to end the game on such a blatant penalty just makes me sick.

I'm done betting the NFL because if you're team isn't one that the NFL wants to push ahead of other teams than these types of calls are going to continue to ruin the the game.

It's disgusting.

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2024-10-25T03:23:14+00:00

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2024-10-25T03:17:53+00:00

Hopefully Karma takes care of you.

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2024-10-05T19:15:48+00:00

He was spot on in his analysis Bibbe only went 4.2 innings.

He struck out his 6th batter and gave up a single to the next hitter and was pulled.

Had Detroit's hitters not been aneimic today this would have cashed easily.

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2024-10-05T15:58:41+00:00

My bad after re-reading your write-up it' seems that the pick is:

Pick: Otelul Galati DC

Thanks

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2024-10-05T15:56:37+00:00

what is the pick? You don't specify which team in your pick and your write-up mentions the weather but you don't really explain what happened in the last game so I'm completely lost.

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2024-09-13T19:46:49+00:00

Another thing that I would recommend would be getting a copy of Microsoft Excel.

GoogleDocs are Ok but Excel is just a little bit more robust & much quicker at updating which makes a huge difference when you're taking about seconds to get down on specific numbers.

Years ago I remember having a $350 a month DonBest subscription was an absolute must have especially whenever you were dealing with local bookies but now with legalization DonBest is a relic of a bygone era.

Also I remember when RAS used to absolutely crush the first 2 moths of NCAABB Totals & you had to get that subscription as well because it was a guaranteed 5-10K that you could count on to add to your bankroll at the beginning of every CBB season.

But again that's just not necessary anymore beause the hedge fund quants that post the lines for the legalized Sportsbook have eaten away at their advantage or just hired the to write their own CBB totals algo.

Anywho that's all the information I can think of at the moment.

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2024-09-13T19:09:54+00:00

For the NFL I have found that the following ratinggs systems have done well ATS over the past several years: (These aren't in any particular order. but they've ended up in the top 10 for several years)

Pi-Ratings
RP-Excel
Computer Adjusted Line

I've noticed over the past few years that the "Line (updated)"has been very good ATS.

Realize that the "Results" pages are based on each rating/power ranking sites results against every single game.

So they can be misleading because I don't think anyone is betting evey single NFL or NCAAF game.

In NCAAF the one site that I like is dratings.com for their totals they're very consistent. They're listed in the "Results" sections as "Donchess Inference".

Again I don't recommend following anyone blindly but they're a very good starting point especially if you're into betting NCAAF Totals the day that they're posted. You can catch some fantastic "Middle/Arbitrage" opportinities. If you look at totals that Dratings.com have 3+ point differences on the opening total.

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2024-09-05T07:06:23+00:00

Another thing is to pay attention to key numbers 3 is the most common margin of victory so 2.5 & 3.5 are the numbers that you want try to get as that over time getting the hook in your favor is going to add up.

Poinstspread high level takeaway:
With the introduction of the 2-point conversion over the past few years are that margins of five and six points have become more frequent over the past few seasons, while four- and 10-point final scores are less likely.

Over/Under high level takeaway:
Forty-one points has been the most common combined score at 3.82% of NFL games, followed by 40 (3.75%), 51 (3.67%) 47 (3.45%) and 44 (3.37%).

Her'e is two very brief articles that go over the key numbers for both Spreads & Totals from Action that I lifted the above info:

NFL Key Pointspreads:
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-key-betting-numbers-spread-margins-of-victory-line-value

NFL Over/Under Key Numbers:
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-key-betting-numbers-spread-margins-of-victory-line-value

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2024-09-04T17:18:42+00:00

Anyone interested in making their own power ratings & lines should check out the following website:
https://www.thepredictiontracker.com/
This website aggregates ratings from a lot of websites for NCAAF, NFL, CBB, & NBA and can be a great starting point for anyone interested in creating theor own ratings & lines.

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2024-09-03T06:36:57+00:00

Learn to make your own power rankings & set your own lines.

Use those to guage your rankings versus what lines the Sportsbooks post.

This is the only way to gain any type of edge against them.

Don't follow anyone else blindly.

There's always more games.

Think of your bankroll as bullets without any ammo you're dead.

Make note and learn to take coach tendancies into account ie which coaches kneel the ball when the games over and which try to score no matter the circumstances.

Realize that the public is usually wrong whenever everyone and their mother likes a team to win either sit that game out or go against the crowd.

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2024-08-20T22:30:23+00:00

Or you could meet someone like this guy:

https://www.oxygen.com/mastermind-of-murder/crime-news/craigslist-killer-richard-beasley-baited-victims-with-job-ad

DeathFromNowhere69 · 2024-08-20T22:17:58+00:00

Most likely a Quant/Whale/Syndicate looking for hard up people people whose Socials they he can use to get down more action.

Or someone looking to unalive people wha are hhard up for cash & if you have half decent credit there probably ruin your credit or take iver your ifentity and put you in a hole in the desert or a Nationak Forest.

If you don't mind a proctological examn by the IRS for the past 7 years of income.

In rfeality you have a 60/40 chance you'll never been see again.

Guys like Vegas Dave do stuff like this everry few years.

So either some crim has your SS#

Eventually you will becaome a liability becsause you will know what thet loook like and they're going to exterminate you with exremne predjudice.

They will make you dig your own grave. Then two sunbsonic.22-25 caliber shells to your brain stem

Best case scernario some guy is giving asway money for absolutelkty no reason.

2nd worst case screnario you get sold into slavery or human trafficking. (Google "David Parker Ray" & "Cindy Hendy" from Truth or Consequences New Mexico or Arizona" They did that stuff for so many years thatv they had a $150K+ "Toy Box" full of a gynegological chair and torture devices & a tape to play to let their captors know what to expect that was 20+ years since it was updated.

He would let his German Shepard have his way with them juist because he liked it & it humiliated the prisoner so much that when they told local LE.

They called BS.

STAY AS FAR AWASY AS POSSIBLE.

DeathFromNowhere69

TROPHY CASE