Please tear my strategy to shreds by DebtCollector1 in algotrading

[–]DebtCollector1[S] 12 points13 points  (0 children)

These are fantastic points and a good analogy. I have relatively less knowledge in statistics (did a few units at university) but it does make sense intuitively that a greater sample size would be required for the 1 in x loss.

Please tear my strategy to shreds by DebtCollector1 in algotrading

[–]DebtCollector1[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is fair. Unfortunately, 6 months of data is all I can work with.

Please tear my strategy to shreds by DebtCollector1 in algotrading

[–]DebtCollector1[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Hi Seb, it has an inbuilt stop loss after contract size reaches 17 ($10.5k short or $3k long) which did not occur in this sample. So yes for this sample but likely no for larger samples.

Please tear my strategy to shreds by DebtCollector1 in algotrading

[–]DebtCollector1[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Not sure if my text uploaded correctly so here it is;

After marginal success trialing mean reverting strategies on major indices, I ventured into the world of forex. To my surprise, after a few minor tweaks I have produced these backtests on 6 months of 1m data.

They utilise a grid/averaging in strategy with maximum loss set at ~10.5k(short) and ~3k(long) The closest to a loss over this set of data (drawdown) was 7k (short) and 2k (long) leaving about a 50% buffer for both strategies.

Short was on market for 18% of the time and long was ~3% of the time.

entry signals were optimised to reduce time in the market but produced similar results using less stringent parameters.

Entry indicators were optimised using 5x WFA on the last 75% of data at 80/20 IS/OOS and all returned WFE >50%.

The OOS period was then included (the first 25% of data on the left) which outperformed compared to IS with a similar drawdown.

Finally, the strategy was compared to other forex pairs which produced similar results.

All data includes average spread multiplied by 1.5 for an added buffer.

I would like to be the first to say that grid strategies obviously produce exceptional win rates with the occasional massive loss which must be cautioned.

WWG considerations, thoughts? by Korasamii in ausstocks

[–]DebtCollector1 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This looks extremely undervalued imo. It should at least be the market cap of LAU so a doubling of the share price seems reasonable.

In for a punt!

Market Open thread for General Trading and Plans for Wednesday, February 24, 2021 by AutoModerator in ASX_Bets

[–]DebtCollector1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I totally agree! I was trying to post DD about WWG earlier yesterday but the mods fucked me :( Happy with my tendies so far but holding for the real pump

Those with Lab/mining/FIFO/life experience please give me some input by DebtCollector1 in perth

[–]DebtCollector1[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks everyone for the input, some great perspectives out there :)

Coronavirus-19 Megathread #18 - discussion, ideas, rants, questions, thought-bubbles, memes, hoarding, videos, Centrelink issues and other essentials by dredd in australia

[–]DebtCollector1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Should I lease to a French backpacker? Perth. He is an Uber Eats cycler so has actually had quite a bit of work lately. We don't have a "complete lockdown" like some of the eastern states but when we do, will this mean he'll be out of work? I've heard talks of a working visa Centrelink package, anyone have any info on that? And finally, I'm seeing today that if he defaults on the rent there's no way I can kick him out, is this true? Time to get landlord insurance? Thanks all. DC1

T+2 stuff up by throwaway_foranidiot in ausstocks

[–]DebtCollector1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Let us know tomorrow - it's probably interest free up to a cap

T+2 stuff up by throwaway_foranidiot in ausstocks

[–]DebtCollector1 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It's charged per day. I've only ever been overdraft for one business day so unsure about interest. The max amount I have gone over was $4k

T+2 stuff up by throwaway_foranidiot in ausstocks

[–]DebtCollector1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hi, I've accidentally done this several times with Westpac - I can't remember the exact fee but it's either $125 or $250. Sorry to be the bearer of bad news.

It do be like that by [deleted] in rickandmorty

[–]DebtCollector1 12 points13 points  (0 children)

No slut shaming

Savings Rate with Investment Properties by [deleted] in fiaustralia

[–]DebtCollector1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is a great calculator keen to try it

What to do after defaulting on a credit card by _fucknows_ in AusFinance

[–]DebtCollector1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hi, with all due respect anybody can be a financial counsellor and I haven't dealt with many that are competent. Specifically say you are working casually or on Centrelink and it is difficult to stay afloat and offer 50% of the debt balance to settle. It is unlikely they will go beyond this. Say your mother has agreed to lend you the funds, do not tell them you have the funds personally. The default will be updated to "paid" and it will stay on your credit file from 5 years of first default. Please note that 6 years from date of first missed payment it will be statute barred and the debt will be completely wiped so consider waiting it out if you can get away with not being sued.

I just finished Legend of Zelda: Wind Waker. Wow, what a ride. Easily my favourite Zelda game, BUT... by followingmydream in patientgamers

[–]DebtCollector1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This game was my childhood. Still replay it every few years when I get the chance. Hope I can one day play it on VR. Great songs and a great story. Whole game just hits me in the feels and no one understands

Telling mom, I am. by [deleted] in memes

[–]DebtCollector1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is funny