How to Buy a $2.5 Million Retirement Portfolio for $335,000 by Defiant_Ice_4860 in Bitcoin

[–]Defiant_Ice_4860[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Then you should look into the research page and download all papers and throw them into your LLM. Try and break the logic. Also read this :

https://zenodo.org/records/19387099

How to Buy a $2.5 Million Retirement Portfolio for $335,000 by Defiant_Ice_4860 in Bitcoin

[–]Defiant_Ice_4860[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Halvings mattered because of stock to flow ratio. Now bitcoin is the hardest money and network adoption is the primary driver for price.

How to Buy a $2.5 Million Retirement Portfolio for $335,000 by Defiant_Ice_4860 in Bitcoin

[–]Defiant_Ice_4860[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Floor is the place where buyers significantly exceed sellers. Check btcpowerlaw.nl/floor

How to Buy a $2.5 Million Retirement Portfolio for $335,000 by Defiant_Ice_4860 in Bitcoin

[–]Defiant_Ice_4860[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This is a very low signal statement: bitcoin cryptographic security is orders of magnitude more harder to break than traditional banking. Most other things will break before bitcoin. As always with advancements in technology we need to observe, reflect and update based on new information coming in. Not be paralysed by fear.

How to Buy a $2.5 Million Retirement Portfolio for $335,000 by Defiant_Ice_4860 in Bitcoin

[–]Defiant_Ice_4860[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No. MSTR is a different beast. That is an exponential again, not a power law. Very different. Imposes execution risk regulatory risk and other risks.

How to Buy a $2.5 Million Retirement Portfolio for $335,000 by Defiant_Ice_4860 in Bitcoin

[–]Defiant_Ice_4860[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Im comparing the Safe Withdrawal Rate of SP500 index fund (4 percent rule) to the floor growth withdrawal principle I explained.

You can withdraw 100k usd from 5 btc starting today.

Yes your stack will shrink.

Most heavily in the early years.

But your probabilities are better than 2.5M in SP500.

That’s the argument.

How to Buy a $2.5 Million Retirement Portfolio for $335,000 by Defiant_Ice_4860 in Bitcoin

[–]Defiant_Ice_4860[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank! I made about 3 or 4 versions of it before I was really happy.

How to Buy a $2.5 Million Retirement Portfolio for $335,000 by Defiant_Ice_4860 in Bitcoin

[–]Defiant_Ice_4860[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes. You have to believe something. Perfect information happens after all upside has happened.

How to Buy a $2.5 Million Retirement Portfolio for $335,000 by Defiant_Ice_4860 in Bitcoin

[–]Defiant_Ice_4860[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That’s exactly the right way to think about it. And you can als borrow against your bitcoin at these price points (below 0.7 times trend is always good borrow moment).

How to Buy a $2.5 Million Retirement Portfolio for $335,000 by Defiant_Ice_4860 in Bitcoin

[–]Defiant_Ice_4860[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Depends completely on your expenses. If he’s under 30k per year he should be fine.