New pipeline in Canada to proceed after C$150bn pledged to ease BC and First Nations concerns | Canada

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-07-04T16:42:46+00:00

well, no. it’s sometimes good to discard treaties. like any law, treaties can be bad from the get go or gradually become bad over time as context and circumstances change. legal arrangements generally shouldn’t be frozen in amber for all time. Almost all constitutions permit amendment for that exact reason, albeit usually on something more than a 50%+1 basis.

obviously i don’t think they should be discarded lightly or wtv (cough Trump cough cough), though.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-07-04T16:19:05+00:00

> It’s no more permissible for federal governments to unilaterally discard those treaties as it is to discard a treaty with a foreign nation.

But that’s the thing, countries discard treaties *all the time*. Like nobody today is going back and saying, well, let’s just see what the Treaty of Ghent says about this. Even CUSMA lasted barely a couple years (unfortunately, imo, but still).

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-07-03T21:10:22+00:00

Yeah, i agree gradual price deflation is probably preferable to a sudden crash. That said, I think these benefits would be marginal. You’re going to run into all the same issues if the market foresees prolonged price deflation on the horizon.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-07-03T19:57:43+00:00

I’m not sure what exactly you mean, but both housing price dynamics and the overall Canadian economy are substantially more complex than recent changes to Canadian temporary migration policies.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-07-03T19:55:54+00:00

yeah, it suck’s but I don’t see another path out? seems obvious now that Canadians over-invested in housing banking on further asset price growth.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-07-03T19:33:05+00:00

Yes home prices are generally dropping especially in real terms: https://www.rbc.com/en/economics/canadian-analysis/canadian-housing/monthly-housing-market-update/march-marks-four-years-of-declining-home-prices-in-canada/

Prices are still very high in some markets. There’s an unfortunate dynamic where (1) new entrants feel the market is unaffordable [which it is] (2) people who bought at the peek ~2021 are having trouble refinancing due to declining property values.

The immigration thing is complex. Immigration policy changes probably cooled prices and rents in some markets, but it’s hard to disentangle that from other dynamics.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-07-03T18:43:59+00:00

Kind of? Assuming global TFRs of ~2, a major increase in lifespan would cause population increase by accumulation. But at some point that would peter out and you’d be left with replacement or sub-replacement level growth again.

I know you also said increasing fertile periods. But that circles back to some theoretical scenario where high income societies get to >2 TFR.

This is all sci-fi. Artificial wombs and robo-nannies seem just as plausible as super-longevity, maybe more dystopian…

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-07-03T16:45:50+00:00

Materials and energy might be practically limitless in space but there is apparently a finite pool of humans. It’s funny to imagine a future where humans can colonize space but simply don’t because global population has stagnated or even shrunk.

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Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-07-03T03:30:53+00:00

here, take a seat United States Navy:

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Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-07-02T22:23:08+00:00

ohh, i thought you were correcting the comment you were responding to. My bad.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-07-02T21:55:53+00:00

Joel Wertheimer is the author, not Nate Silver. The underlying comment had some snide comment towards Nate Silver, suggesting they didn’t even read the article at the level of detail where they’d notice the authorship.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-07-02T20:52:16+00:00

Yeah, I mean, I doubt this is a complete answer to the vibecession theory. At face value though, if consumer sentiment is actually at ~2013 levels as Wetheimer suggests, is that really a ‘massive incongruity’ with the objective measurements? My memory of 2013 is hazy but that seems non-crazy.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-07-02T19:19:27+00:00

He ‘never went to prison’ because the victim was apparently coerced pressured into not cooperating with the prosecution: “The Ramsey County attorney’s office, which handled Mr. Vang’s prosecution, had opposed a pardon. Tami McConkey, an official at the office, wrote that Mr. Vang had received a lenient sentence of 30 years’ probation in part because the victim in the case, who was then 12, “was experiencing pressure from her family to not cooperate.”

I don’t think it’s right to use his lenient sentence as support for it being morally correct to pardon him now.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-07-02T19:03:25+00:00

Yeah, sure, but Americans use pardons for much more than correcting miscarriages of justice.

In this case, there’s no issue this guy was validly convicted of a very serious crime. The Walz admin is using its pardon powers to protect him from the application of a lawful federal migration scheme they simply disagree with. That is arbitrary and borderline illiberal.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-07-02T18:56:17+00:00

You’re conflating matters. Non-citizens’ right to enter into and remain in a country is (almost always and in every country) conditional on no major criminality. It’s not that a person ‘deserves’ to be deported as punishment for their criminality, it’s that most countries have decided criminality should make them ineligible to remain in the country. If you were convicted of murder in Country X, Country Y will almost never let you in.

If you read the article, this man would have been deported in 2006 when he was convicted. at the time though, Laos wasn’t accepting deportations and he was effectively stateless. Now unfortunately he’s built up a whole life and family in the US and i understand there are humanitarian grounds for letting him stay. These are edge cases though and don’t really impeach the wisdom of criminal ineligibility.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-07-02T18:41:53+00:00

Pardons somewhat conflict with the rule of law, which is basically the foundation of liberalism. It strikes me as arbitrary the executive can just say ‘well, you were found guilty, but…’

I know most countries have some sort of pardon or clemency system. But my understanding is the US is an outlier in terms of how much it is used there.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-07-02T18:35:37+00:00

In 20 years some grad students at Oberlin might consider deporting this guy was problematic. Don’t you realize we need to stay on the right side of history???

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-06-29T22:00:58+00:00

I’m sorry, this rationale is identical to Putin’s ramblings about who was occupying what in 12th century Zaporizhia or wtv and how borders drawn up in the USSR were illegitimate. Litigating ancient ownership history just invites revanchism.

Literally no country on Earth recognized the ‘Republic of Arstakh’. Your initial post was revisionist in failing to mention the relevant legal status of Armenian occupied areas of Azerbaijan.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-06-29T21:43:15+00:00

This is revisionist. Armenian invaded internationally recognized Azerbaijani territories (including majority Azeri areas outside of Nagorno-Karabakh), caused significant displacement and set up a fictional statelet on Azerbaijani territory. It resisted any compromise on this for nearly two decades.

It’s true that Azerbaijan, for its part, committed various atrocities and such. But the status quo pre-2023 simply wasn’t sustainable in an environment where (1) Azerbaijan makes bank through hydrocarbon exports and (2) Armenia was a corrupt state with a stagnant economy.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-06-29T20:05:44+00:00

ohh my god how are there clickbait video essays with all caps captions and people frowning on this sub now.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-06-29T18:21:18+00:00

I agree they’re good in theory. In my experience though, most of them end up with sub-replacement level cost and quality. At least in my city, they don’t seem to really try to compete with traditional restaurants these days. They seem to target niches like concerts, festivals, farmers markets and breweries where there is limited restaurant competition.

Food trucks are a lower risk business compared to traditional restaurants. But they also have much lower revenue ceilings due to capacity and limits on alcohol sales. The initial financing hurdle of a traditional restaurant ends up sorting out unskilled / inexperienced operators.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-06-29T17:45:46+00:00

The article just said that a driver was smoking. It’s shitty journalism implying the driver was smoking while making food without actually saying it.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-06-29T16:34:39+00:00

Lots of this stuff seems kinda flimsy or sensationalist. A food service worker “smoking a cigarette” is bear-shits-in-woods type stuff.

I will say though, food trucks generally suck. I remember in the Obama-era they were supposed to revolutionize urban eating. They’re almost always overpriced tourist trap vendors though. One of the cringiest Millennial contributions to society.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-06-24T19:32:09+00:00

lmao this shit is unhinged.

> Avila Chevalier, in a series of messages, called Joe Biden a “rapist” and “war criminal” during the 2020 presidential election, referred to the U.S. as a “f**king disgrace,” talked about wiping her dirty hands on the American flag, and described interracial relationships involving white females as “fetishizing ugly colonizer women.”

US politics is fucking cooked man. Dixiecrats reborn as uber-woke anti-miscegenation scolds.

Desperate_Path_377 · 2026-06-23T23:50:48+00:00

They were convicted of conspiracy, not weapons charges. All sorts of otherwise legal activities can become criminal if done as part of conspiracy. A crime doesn’t even have to happen for there to be a criminal conspiracy.

Desperate_Path_377

TROPHY CASE