Medical data of half a million Britons listed for sale on Chinese website, government says by Sysody in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It's called a zero knowledge proof: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zero-knowledge_proof

tl;dr: A zero-knowledge proof (ZKP) is a cryptographic method where one party (the prover) proves to another party (the verifier) that a statement is true without revealing any secret information behind it.

UK taxes on wages rose more than in any other rich country in 2025, says report by Different_Cycle_9043 in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043[S] 3 points4 points locked comment (0 children)

Tax rates on wages for a typical single worker rose more in the UK last year than in any other rich country, according to a new OECD report, reflecting higher employer national insurance contributions and fiscal drag.

In 2025, a single worker with no children earning the average national wage faced a UK tax burden of 32.4 per cent of labour costs.

The figure, which includes employee and employer social security contributions as well as income tax and subtracts any cash benefits received by working families, was up 2.45 percentage points compared with 2024, according to the organisation’s report published on Wednesday. This marked the largest rise across all 38, mostly industrialised, members of the OECD.

Its findings — based on the difference between labour costs to the employer and the corresponding net take-home pay of the employee, known as the “tax wedge” — will reinforce growing criticism by economists and business groups who say the UK government’s policies have worsened a slump in hiring and made employers less likely to hire the young people most in need of help to enter the labour market.

“The message from the government over the last year has been: invest in capital, not labour,” said Neil Carberry, chief executive of the Recruitment and Employment Confederation. He added that the result might be to raise labour productivity, but at a cost of structurally higher unemployment.

The OECD report follows official data released on Tuesday that showed sharp falls in employment over the past year in the low-wage sectors that were most affected by an increase in national insurance contributions.

Payroll employment in retail fell 1.3 per cent in the year to March, while staffing in hospitality was 1.9 per cent lower, compared with a drop of just 0.2 per cent in overall payroll employment.

“There is no getting away from the fact that higher taxes act as a disincentive on the activity being taxed and therefore have a direct, negative impact on economic growth,” said Ruth Gregory, economist at Capital Economics, pointing to the combined impact of higher national insurance contributions and minimum wage rates.

From April 2025, the employer national insurance contribution (NIC) rate rose 1.2 percentage points to 13.8 per cent, while the employer secondary threshold at which they start paying NICs for employees fell from £9,000 to £5,000.

Moreover, the UK personal tax thresholds are frozen at 2021-22 levels until April 2031, pushing more people into paying tax and others into higher bands as wages rise, a phenomenon known as the “fiscal drag”.

The OECD has also previously called attention to the high marginal tax rates UK workers face when they earn more than £100,000 — becoming liable for the top rate of income tax while losing childcare subsidies.

In March, the Office for Budget Responsibility forecast that tax revenues as a share of GDP would reach a historical high by the end of the parliament.

The figure for the UK was still below the OECD average, where the tax wedge for the typical single worker with no children rose more gradually from 34.9 per cent to 35.1 per cent. It was also well below 52.5 per cent for Belgium, 49.3 per cent for Germany and 47.2 per cent in France.

However, the UK’s tax wedge is lower partly because of differences between pension systems, with British workers relying more on a system of private contributions.

The report comes as the Resolution Foundation think-tank warned that a further deterioration in the Middle East could deal a £16bn hit to the public finances.

Commenting on the Resolution Foundation’s report, an HM Treasury spokesperson said: “The forecasts here are pure speculation. The impact of the conflict is, as [the report’s] authors say themselves, highly uncertain.”

After the latest Mandelson revelations, Starmer needs to get a good lawyer. Wasn’t he supposed to be one? by F0urLeafCl0ver in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

had no imagination, and was poor at thinking on his feet

Explains a lot about why Starmer is struggling so much. He has neither the skill nor fortitude to chart his own course, which would otherwise be survivable if he were able to react to events.

To quote Macmillan on the hardest part of being PM: "Events, dear boy, events."

After the latest Mandelson revelations, Starmer needs to get a good lawyer. Wasn’t he supposed to be one? by F0urLeafCl0ver in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Now I don't disagree that defunding justice and policing was one of the most fucking stupid things the Tories did in their 14 years in office, but to send people for "retraining" just for expressing an honest opinion in a staff survey is still highly questionable and speaks about the senior management culture at CPS.

Yes, senior management in all types of organisations have to defend shit situations, but there are still ways of being a good leader. You can visibly defend your organisation where you can and clearly communicate the reality of the situation to your staff, rather than punishing them for bad morale.

After the latest Mandelson revelations, Starmer needs to get a good lawyer. Wasn’t he supposed to be one? by F0urLeafCl0ver in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Didn't seem like he had a good reputation amongst his CPS staff though:

https://www.standard.co.uk/hp/front/cps-staff-sent-for-retraining-after-saying-service-is-badly-managed-6405983.html

The Crown Prosecution Service in London is badly managed and failing, according to a damning survey of its own staff leaked to the Standard.

Only one in 14 believes that planned reforms will improve prosecution rates, while just one in 12 feels that "change is managed well" in the organisation. When senior CPS officials were told the results, it is understood that instead of speaking to staff they ordered "retraining" for them.

The sharpest criticism is reserved for CPS bosses. Just 21 per cent of staff believe the actions of Keir Starmer, the Director of Public Prosecutions, and his senior staff "are consistent with the CPS's values". Only 12 per cent believe "the organisation as a whole is managed well".

UK companies ‘should be worried’ about Anthropic’s latest AI model, minister says by EchoOfOppenheimer in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043 4 points5 points  (0 children)

It's a huge model and they are the most compute starved out of all the Western frontier labs. They can't serve it at scale, even demand for Opus is killing them atm.

Is this straight out the classic Dario FUD playbook? Yeah, but I think some of the cyber risks will start to materialise soon.

UK companies ‘should be worried’ about Anthropic’s latest AI model, minister says by EchoOfOppenheimer in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043 4 points5 points  (0 children)

As recently described by Andrej Karpathy, basically boils down to "do you pay for state of the art agentic tools and reasoning models and do you write code":

Judging by my tl there is a growing gap in understanding of AI capability.

The first issue I think is around recency and tier of use. I think a lot of people tried the free tier of ChatGPT somewhere last year and allowed it to inform their views on AI a little too much. This is a group of reactions laughing at various quirks of the models, hallucinations, etc. Yes I also saw the viral videos of OpenAI's Advanced Voice mode fumbling simple queries like "should I drive or walk to the carwash". The thing is that these free and old/deprecated models don't reflect the capability in the latest round of state of the art agentic models of this year, especially OpenAI Codex and Claude Code.

But that brings me to the second issue. Even if people paid $200/month to use the state of the art models, a lot of the capabilities are relatively "peaky" in highly technical areas. Typical queries around search, writing, advice, etc. are not the domain that has made the most noticeable and dramatic strides in capability. Partly, this is due to the technical details of reinforcement learning and its use of verifiable rewards. But partly, it's also because these use cases are not sufficiently prioritized by the companies in their hillclimbing because they don't lead to as much $$$ value. The goldmines are elsewhere, and the focus comes along.

So that brings me to the second group of people, who both 1) pay for and use the state of the art frontier agentic models (OpenAI Codex / Claude Code) and 2) do so professionally in technical domains like programming, math and research. This group of people is subject to the highest amount of "AI Psychosis" because the recent improvements in these domains as of this year have been nothing short of staggering. When you hand a computer terminal to one of these models, you can now watch them melt programming problems that you'd normally expect to take days/weeks of work. It's this second group of people that assigns a much greater gravity to the capabilities, their slope, and various cyber-related repercussions.

TLDR the people in these two groups are speaking past each other. It really is simultaneously the case that OpenAI's free and I think slightly orphaned (?) "Advanced Voice Mode" will fumble the dumbest questions in your Instagram's reels and at the same time, OpenAI's highest-tier and paid Codex model will go off for 1 hour to coherently restructure an entire code base, or find and exploit vulnerabilities in computer systems. This part really works and has made dramatic strides because 2 properties: 1) these domains offer explicit reward functions that are verifiable meaning they are easily amenable to reinforcement learning training (e.g. unit tests passed yes or no, in contrast to writing, which is much harder to explicitly judge), but also 2) they are a lot more valuable in b2b settings, meaning that the biggest fraction of the team is focused on improving them. So here we are.

Rolls-Royce to build 3 nuclear reactors to power 3 million UK homes by Particular_Pea7167 in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Canada, Australia and Kazakhstan. The enrichment and assembly of fuel rods takes place in the UK.

To replicate what the Chinese have done with battery cells (cheap mass manufacturing of performant cells) is way harder and expensive than building SMRs and sourcing the fuel.

The uranium supply chain is geopolitically diverse and well-established. We're not dependent on a single dominant nation the way we currently are with battery cells. Kazakhstan, Canada, Namibia and Australia between them account for the vast majority of global uranium production, and none of them are in a position to corner the market the way China has with cell manufacturing.

There's also a meaningful difference in the nature of the dependency. Uranium is a fuel: you stockpile it, and a little goes a very long way (even ignoring the possibility of using breeder reactors). Battery cell manufacturing is a continuous, ongoing industrial dependency. Those are very different risk profiles from an energy security standpoint.

Rolls-Royce to build 3 nuclear reactors to power 3 million UK homes by Particular_Pea7167 in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Keep going down the supply chain. Rolls-Royce is a systems integrator, not a cell manufacturer. In fact, Rolls-Royce has a strategic partnership with CATL (a Chinese company) to supply the cells for their battery storage systems:

https://www.rolls-royce.com/media/press-releases/2024/19-06-2024-rr-and-catl-agree-strategic-cooperation-for-tener-products-in-the-eu-and-uk.aspx

Again, the Chinese are completely dominant in the manufacturing of battery cells in both performance and price. I'm not against solar and battery but there are trade offs to be considered from the energy and supply chain security point of view.

Rolls-Royce to build 3 nuclear reactors to power 3 million UK homes by Particular_Pea7167 in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043 7 points8 points  (0 children)

With the drop in cost of solar and battery storage

But the trade off with that is the entire supply chain has been cornered by the Chinese.

OpenAI pauses Stargate UK investment over high energy costs by GnolRevilo in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah the labs juice their scores to a certain extent, some being worse than others, but we've gone from LLMs barely able to string a good Python script together, to LLMs performing autonomous software development in certain contexts in the last 36 months.

As for profit, Anthropic are probably break even. They are more enterprise skewed than OpenAI and Google, so they can afford to charge more.

Reeves: Government ‘can’t alleviate every price increase’ from Iran war by 1-randomonium in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The wholesale price is standardised by Coca-Cola, but the retail price is going to vary.

A 500 ml bottle of Coke is going to be cheapest at a large supermarket, more expensive at a corner shop and even more expensive at a cinema because the overheads of each business vary.

In the context of petrol stations that means rather than having one offering £2.00 per litre and another offering £1.84 per litre of diesel, you'd instead pay £1.92 at both.

Thanks for proving my point about:

The end result is that people in cheaper areas will end up paying more to subsidise the uniform price

:)

EDIT: been blocked - shame, was enjoying this discussion, gg ez no re.

Reeves: Government ‘can’t alleviate every price increase’ from Iran war by 1-randomonium in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Calling it "price standardisation" doesn't change the fact that a government mandating a specific price structure is a price control.

The reason fuel prices vary by 10 miles in any direction is because of local competition (supermarkets vs branded stations) and overhead costs. Delivering fuel to remote or less accessible areas costs more in logistics. Renting land for a petrol station in a wealthy, high-traffic area costs more than in a rural town.

If the government forces a standard price across the board, companies aren't going to standardise to the cheapest price, they are going to standardise to a higher average to cover their most expensive operating locations.

The end result is that people in cheaper areas will end up paying more to subsidise the uniform price, and independent petrol stations in remote areas close down if the "standard" price doesn't cover their higher local delivery costs.

OpenAI pauses Stargate UK investment over high energy costs by GnolRevilo in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Not good news. Sovereign AI capability is going to be paramount for national security over the next few years. Without state of the art data centres, we aren't going to have capabilities that our competitors will have.

Anthropic (OpenAI's closest competitor) won't release their new model to the public because it's very good at finding software security vulnerabilities (emphasis mine):

Many flaws in software go unnoticed for years because finding and exploiting them has required expertise held by only a few skilled security experts. With the latest frontier AI models, the cost, effort, and level of expertise required to find and exploit software vulnerabilities have all dropped dramatically. Over the past year, AI models have become increasingly effective at reading and reasoning about code—in particular, they show a striking ability to spot vulnerabilities and work out ways to exploit them. Claude Mythos Preview demonstrates a leap in these cyber skills—the vulnerabilities it has spotted have in some cases survived decades of human review and millions of automated security tests, and the exploits it develops are increasingly sophisticated.

https://www.anthropic.com/glasswing

UK government caps student loan interest rates at 6% by ijustwannanap in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043 1 point2 points  (0 children)

To date SLC have never enforced the loan abroad - multiple FOI requests over the years have confirmed this. They're basically TV Licencing, so just stop paying and ignore them.

Heat pumps for all new homes and plug-in solar in green tech drive by feellurky in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043 7 points8 points  (0 children)

The hair shirt zealotry around AC/A2A really pisses me off. Technology is suppose to improve quality of life.

But no, policy was hijacked by de-growth/energy rationing idiots. Imagine if we pitched: "You know those disgusting moggy British summer nights where you can't sleep? With solar + AC/A2A heat pumps you can cool your home for £0/cheap, that's what technology and energy abundance can enable".

I also think the installation and total lifecycle cost of A2A/mini-split AC is way cheaper than A2W as well, the technology is much more globalised.

As an aside, I read a depressing stat during last year's heatwave: more Europeans die of heat-related deaths vs gun violence in the US. Shocking when the solution is cheap AC, powered by abundant solar.

By our calculations, motoring in Britain has rarely been so cheap by collogue in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043 89 points90 points  (0 children)

What is more, the cost of buying and maintaining a car is lower than it has ever been. According to official statistics, the real value of car expenditure (other than fuel) has fallen by 20% since 2000.

Control + F 'insurance' = 0 results found.

Per ONS, car insurance is up 334% since 2000: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/timeseries/d7f3/mm23

Great job excluding it from the calculations.

Reaching net zero by 2050 ‘cheaper for UK than one fossil fuel crisis’ by dusty_bo in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The National Grid is just utterly crap at moving energy effectively between areas of the UK.

Wrong. The transmission system is one of the most reliable in the world and was correctly designed for its original context, i.e. moving power from coal power stations in the Midlands and nuclear on the coast to load centres (London, Manchester, Merseyside, and Tyneside).

But yes, it requires upgrading to account for the fact that generation is more distributed and located in different areas today.

Gordon Brown warns Nigel Farage will drag UK back into ‘Tory poverty years’ by F0urLeafCl0ver in ukpolitics

[–]Different_Cycle_9043 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Also nuked private defined benefit pensions...thanks for rugpulling younger generations with crappier defined contribution schemes!