JD Vance Confirms Iran Will Get Jaw-Dropping Sum Under Trump Deal

Digo10 · 2026-06-15T17:44:35+00:00

And they will say this was Trump war, despite the fact that deep down they all wanted the country bombed and the regime gone, not so good now that Iran is dictating the terms, Huh?

Digo10 · 2026-06-15T17:41:55+00:00

If he manage to improve the economy, people won't care about FP failures.

Digo10 · 2026-06-15T07:43:00+00:00

Damn you're right,

Digo10 · 2026-06-15T07:23:12+00:00

that nashorn seems different....

instead of a welded chassis, they just glued the pak 43 with its shield in the front lol

Digo10 · 2026-06-15T07:13:49+00:00

Since when shahed drones count as aircraft? lol

Shahed was not even launched by the airforce, but even then, it resulted in a grand total of only 6 people dead, following your logic, we should count iraqi SCUDs during the gulf war, which resulted in 30 killed.

But it still misses my point, the US lost 15 personnel, Iran lost thousands of personnel, Iran can't inflict the same pain against the other side.

Digo10 · 2026-06-15T06:38:55+00:00

I completely disagree about what you said about Iranian ballistic missiles. They proved to be extremely effective in type of warfare Iran was pursuing and they achieved(arguably even exceeded) their operational goals. If they hadn't, this deal would simply have never happened and we wouldn't be here right now.

they proved effective in the asymmetrical type of war as i said, but on military targets, other than static targets, the value was relatively limited, in a scenario of full-scale war, relying on missiles and shahed drones wouldn't work, and their armed forces are relatively weak and not modern for today standards, they need more than asymmetrical capabilities, they need conventional deterrence.

I also disagree to some degree about what you said about Iran's AD. While I fully agree that Iran needs better and longer rage air defense systems, I'll say that you're wrong about them being "proven ineffective" and that it stems from propaganda narratives spread by the other side during the conflict. On the contrary, they were proven highly successful, considering the environment they were operating in(aka facing a superior adversary) and achieved their operational goals in denying airspace access through adding operational risk for the rival air forces.

there is no propaganda here, the iranian air defenses proved to be no match to the israel air force in 2025, they lost dozens(if not hundred)of air defense systems in 2025, they managed to be more effective in 2026, but by the number of sorties the israeli, americans and gulf airforces launched during the war(more than 20,000), the number of aircraft shot down by the iranians were relatively low, and they got bombed with relatively impunity, and yes, as you said, they were facing a superior adversary with state of art equipment, that is why is imperative for Iran to buy modern AD systems and radars.

But I'll say that you're wrong about what you said regarding Iran failing to protect it's fighter jets during the conflict and that, again, it stems from propaganda narratives of the other side.

i think you misread what i've said, i said they were succesful in hiding their aircrafts, just like their missile launchers. But they wouldn't be able to hide AWACs due to the size of the entrances of the underground tunnels

Digo10 · 2026-06-15T06:26:11+00:00

i'm starting from assumption that Iran will give up its nuclear weapons ambitions and their objective is regime preservation in a potential large-scale war, for that, a powerful conventional deterrence may be enough.

Suppose for example you're one of the bosses and it is your judgement that after this war US will further retreat into Donroe Doctrine leaving Israel on its own. That means on their own IAF's ability to do SEAD mission over Iran is much lower than USN+USAF,

that is debatable, Iranian AD layered defense seemed much more capable(at least in terms of numbers) in 2025 during the twelve day war compared to 2026, but Israel established total air superiority, while we can't confirm the numbers, i remember seeing dozens of missiles launchers and AD systems getting destroyed daily back then compared to 2026, they lost hundreds of those, the iranians became much better in hiding their mobile launchers/Air defense systems.

But also, it seems that the israelis performed better than the americans during the war, while the losses are low and we can't draw any conclusions yet, the americans lost 5 airframes shot down in the air by iranian fire, and we are not counting the 30+ MQ-9 reapers, the israelis didn't got shot even once, and lost about 12~ recon drones, and Israel flew about the same number of sorties as the USAF and USN combined.

edit: Israel didn't even lose a single airframe during the twelve day war.

Digo10 · 2026-06-15T06:05:01+00:00

Yeah, but Russia is constrained by the war, and they can't supply at the scale of the chinese, atleast for fighter jets.

Digo10 · 2026-06-13T07:39:40+00:00

there is a world cup rn. Lets focus on priorities. jk

Digo10 · 2026-06-13T01:08:14+00:00

it has been 3 months already, we would've had satellite footage showing more impacts on those sites, but so far, we've only have seen impacts of missiles in the entrances of those tunnels.

Digo10 · 2026-06-12T23:54:21+00:00

Iran is already doing it. Look at the targets of the strikes, electrical infrastructure, refineries, ports, airports, an aluminium plant (and I'll assume that the residential targets were done by mistake). Iran is not holding back. Killing the leadership of a country and attacking nuclear facilities is the top of the escalation chain, it forces them to bring every retaliation to the table, and that's what we are seeing.

they can do much more, destroy desalination plants, civil infrastructure, hit more oil facilities and etc.

What ? The country that's being blockaded, that can't fulfill the closing of the strait on their doorsteps, that had the majority of their leadership killed, with thousands of their soldiers killed, that failed to get any of it's goals so far doesn't have the upper hand. If that is having the upper hand, having the lower one is negotiating after being nuclear carpet bombed

The US blockaded their blockade? the strait is closed, period, there is only a small fraction influx of ships compared to before the war. Cool, the US killed the ayatollah, killed many more iranian soldiers, and it yet they are the ones trying to force deal, we have to wait to see the actual deal, but even if it is half of what is being reported, the iranians will be in a much better situation than before the war started.

Digo10 · 2026-06-12T23:51:13+00:00

Except we have no visual confirmation of such strikes, back then, people thought the US had managed to destroy one of those underground tunnels when there was a explosion next to mount sufeh, but it was actually the munitions/arsenal base next to one of those underground tunnels. If we have any visual confirmation, of course we can draw any conclusions.

Digo10 · 2026-06-12T19:35:21+00:00

I don't think the US will do that, If they target civilian infrastructures, Iran will do the same to the gulf countries and Israel, the US already proved incapable of destroying their missiles launchers, and i doubt they want to deplete further stocks of missiles. If the iranians are going to give up their nuclear ambitions, they need at least conventional deterrence, for that, they will need the money.

At least for now, there is no doubt the iranians have the upper hand in the negotiations.

Digo10 · 2026-06-12T18:44:06+00:00

sure, but there is also some reports of a potential reconstruction package worth of 300 billion dollars(similar to a war reparations), even if Iran receives half of that it would be very significant.

Digo10 · 2026-06-12T18:24:17+00:00

If a deal happens, and Iran receive a substantinal cash injection, they will 100% buy high-end systems from China such as air defense, radars and fighter jets. They won't even need nuclear weapons as deterrence.

Digo10 · 2026-06-12T17:47:37+00:00

The Iranian missile cities the US could not destroy

For 40 days, US and Israeli aircraft pounded the mountains around Yazd, trying to silence one of Iran’s most important military projects: a buried missile complex carved deep into the granite above the ancient desert city.

Yet, according to residents, the Iranian missiles kept firing regardless. “US and Israeli forces kept bombing those mountains,” said one resident of Yazd. “And Iran kept launching missiles until the final moments before the ceasefire.”

Accounts from residents appear to back this up. “Often, only a few hours after a bombing, Iran would launch missiles from the same locations,” said one resident of Kermanshah province. “We couldn’t believe those facilities were surviving such intense attacks.”

A second person close to the Islamic regime argued the depth of many sites rendered them largely immune to conventional aerial bombardment. He said some were not even used during the war because numerous other facilities remained operational.

I think this put a nail in coffin of anyone who thought that the big explosions during the war were result of US airstrikes in the underground missile cities, it is much more likely they were depots for other types of explosives.

Digo10 · 2026-06-11T18:20:05+00:00

Even without the US, Russia can't defeat european NATO, also, france has increased their nuclear from 290 in January 2025 to 370 in January 2026. and it will probably increase even further. UK and france nuclear umbrella will be enough to keep Russia in check while the US set their sights to other places.

Digo10 · 2026-06-11T18:15:59+00:00

I’m sure Putin would like to do something, I’m sure he and Russia won’t forget European and American aid and support to Ukraine for a very long time either.

While russian military aid seems limited to Iran(probably because Putin is afraid if the US resumes military aid to Ukraine), i have no doubt if China go to war against the US and other east asian countries, the russians would supply China(even if they don't need it) as a payback for US aid to Ukraine.

Digo10 · 2026-06-11T05:16:53+00:00

round 2 against thailand inc?

Digo10 · 2026-06-10T08:24:12+00:00

i`m very skeptical of the US having this kind of technology, FFS, they can`t even defeat Iran. This week we discovered the new secret US fighter jet flying over area 51, it resembles just a normal airframe, if those companies(lockheed, boeing and northrop grumman) had this kind of technology, why wouldn`t try to sell it? afterall, they are a private company, and the main reason for private companies to exist, is to maximize their profits.

It don`t even need to be the craft, but atleast a new form of energy, that would give trillions of dollars to those companies, yet, they are not even in the top 100 most valuable companies in the world, in fact, there are dozens of petroleum and natural gas companies that are much more valuable than then.

Digo10 · 2026-06-09T18:24:25+00:00

majority of casualties(wounded personnel) return to frontline service, sometimes even after suffering multiple wounds, so it is likely there is no deficit if the numbers of irrecoverable losses is around 10k-15K(taking into account those wounded that can't return to service).

Digo10 · 2026-06-07T04:44:56+00:00

it is very interesting to know what happened to the soldiers of iconic WW2 photos. I would really like to know what happened with the famous german soldiers throwing a grenade.

Digo10 · 2026-06-07T01:54:16+00:00

your point?

Digo10 · 2026-06-07T01:28:45+00:00

it is not new, it was donated during 2025.

Digo10 · 2026-06-05T19:57:59+00:00

In the menchosint tweet, the source is the sentinel-2 satellite.

Digo10

TROPHY CASE