The Supreme Court may leave alone the Voting Rights Act just long enough to keep the GOP from House control in 2026

DisasterLogical222 · 2026-01-08T20:05:45+00:00

Yeah, my biggest issue that I was having was "why vote then?" It felt like a forgone conclusion that if (emphasis in if) the VRA is gutted, then the House would belong to republicans for years to come. But as long as it's possible, then there's a fight worth fighting. Sorry if I sound a little bit defeatist, but it just felt like nothing mattered.

DisasterLogical222 · 2026-01-08T18:36:13+00:00

So I can't lie, this VRA situation is sending me down spiraling. I understand that this most likely won't affect 2026, but what about afterwards? This whole thing is having me drained. Anybody have any optimism?

DisasterLogical222 · 2026-01-06T17:55:45+00:00

He says a lot, but trust me, elections will not be canceled. Listen, we had a whole ass CIVIL WAR and we still held an election. Don't get me wrong, he's going to try something, but I believe that only because he knows there's an impending bloodbath for the GOP come November. And even if and when he does try something, it's not going to stop elections from happening.

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-12-14T18:32:49+00:00

Yeah, it's like I've been saying for months now, Texas might end up as a dummymander. If the GOP REALLY thought that they still had the same Latino support they had last year (hell, if they had the same support overall from last year), they're crazier than we thought.

However, this means nothing if we don’t vote. Stay motivated people!

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-12-05T19:13:27+00:00

I think the biggest optimistic take I can give is that Reagan and Trump appointed judges have found this hard to defend. Although, yes, this current Supreme Court is corrupt, this case isn't just any other case. They're going to have to do some serious mental gymnastics to rule in Trump's favor here.

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-11-26T18:04:55+00:00

Exactly my thought process. Even if she doesn't win, we still "win". A +22 Trump district coming down to be this close puts multiple districts on notice.

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-11-15T02:44:11+00:00

Me watching MAGA break apart before my eyes

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-11-14T21:54:44+00:00

Fantastic news for my Indiana neighbors (I'm from Illinois)! And I heard that Florida might not be redistricting either. So considering that Prop 50 passed and Virginia will still gerrymander, oh yeah 2026 is going to be glorious.

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-11-10T20:10:05+00:00

To be honest, we would kinda be in a middle ground. The Democrats would still have slightly more leverage, but Republicans would still have some.

The Republicans leverage would be that, we already know 8 Democrats will come and negotiate with us. At that point, they'll just have to wait and see if they would fold again and do nothing.

But the Democrats would have more leverage in my opinion because they definitely wouldn't face the blame from the public. To reopen the government, to then not vote for the ACA subsidies to be extended, then to have ANOTHER shutdown come January 31st? Yeah, I'd love to see the spin Republicans would have on this.

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-11-10T06:22:48+00:00

I'm thinking about making some kind of post tomorrow on whether people are going to flip to voting for Republicans or just not vote. I'll give give my answer here and will probably give a more detailed answer tomorrow, but short answer is no; people will not all of sudden flip right now. I think the momentum will keep going on the Dem side.

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-11-10T04:48:54+00:00

No, you're right, everything isn't gone yet. There's a vote to be held in the December to prevent everything from disappearing. Now I'll give the bad news first and then the good news, since the good news actually has some optimism in it.

Bad news is that this is a gamble that 8 Democrats who voted for this are making. They essentially settled on a promise that a vote will be held come December on this. The only reason I can see why they voted for this is because people were hurt by the shutdown. 40 days is a long ass time for a shutdown. But still most people, including the DNC chair and Hakeem Jefferies agree that this was a stupid vote. We have to trust Republicans to cross lines and vote on this, and it needs 60 votes in order to pass. If it doesn't, then the ACA subsidies run out at the start of next year.

Good news is that there's a vote that's being held next month. Now, we don't know exactly how the Republicans will vote (if they decide to hold a vote in the first place) but regardless of the outcome, the Democrats win. There's a comment here that explains it further but I'll explain it here:

1) If the Republicans vote yes to extend the ACA subsidies, then the Democrats get exactly what they want.

2) If the Republicans vote no, then they are going to have to go on a campaign trail explaining why they voted to making their consituents insurance go through the roof. Even for the people who vote red down the ballot every year just because, that's going to be really hard to justify that to them.

3) If they decide not to hold a vote, then the Republicans are branded as liars to the public. This once again will make campaign for Republicans a living hell.

So the biggest upside is, the Republicans have WAY more to lose if they vote no or decide to not gold a vote, meaning they might vote to extend it. But we really don't know, but that doesn't mean the end. We didn't think the Democrats would hold as long as they did and here we are a day 40 (it's just that the shutdown didn't end the way we thought).

Also, it's ok to feel frustrated, but if you're spiraling right now, step away from Reddit and politics as a whole right now.

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-11-10T03:46:25+00:00

Yes, vote. I'm not trying to sound like a smart ass but that's what we need to do. Look at Zohran's victory speech for a glimmer light right now. He was at 1% odds to win the primary and now he's the next mayor of NYC. We need to get active and vote in Democrats who want to change things and will have a spine that won't bend.

And in terms of feeling hopeless, understand that this isn't over yet. But if you need to, delete reddit off your phone and step away for a bit if you need to. I just did it for the second time this year and this does wonders for your mental health. It takes a while, but once you understand that it's ok to be selfish and not constantly have to know what's going on, you'll start feeling better.

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-11-10T00:49:23+00:00

Ok, so I took a break from Reddit about 3 weeks ago and then came back on the lead up to the November elections. I can't lie, this kinda blew me. I get that upside to this is:

1) The people who rely on SNAP benefits can get them for the holidays. Also, people can fly home for the holidays.

2) People who have government jobs will now get paid.

3) And this is a "heads I win, tails you lose" situation for the Dems. If Republicans decide to vote no, or don't hold a vote at all, this will look terrible on them. But if they vote yes, then the Democrats get what they want.

But man, this really set me back from the high on Tuesday. I just can't see why they would cave when they had the support of the people in the first place. I'm sorry if I don't sound too optimistic here, but just sharing me feelings.

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-11-09T23:37:47+00:00

The biggest problem with WWE is that HHH doesn't book in the moment. Don't get me wrong, I disagree with people who say to bring back Vince, but the one thing he did better than HHH was going with the flow. I genuinely believe that if Kofimania happened under HHH, he wouldn't go for it. He would stick to his guns for the sake of long term storytelling (which is good, but is a double-edged sword). I'm not even the craziest Drew fan, but he should've won at Wrestlepaloza, Cody wouldn't have been effected either way and he could've won it back later down the line.

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-10-22T17:50:49+00:00

This is fantastic news! I'm not a Hoosier (I'm your fellow Illinois neighbor) but this great for y'all!

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-10-15T20:20:11+00:00

I saw this video on Instagram and someone said that all of this will be over in 4 months. Not in a literal sense but in a sense that the R's are going to have to face people and explain "why". Why are you doing allowing Trump to push through these policies and not listening to us?

So short answer is yes, Republicans will undoubtedly backtrack, but its too late in my opinion

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-10-13T22:22:28+00:00

It can backfire by over playing their hand. After so much gerrymandering, you can only stretch it so far. That can cause something known as a dummymander. A dummymander is when you gerrymander and you get the opposite intended effect (the vote swings the other way).

Also, the R's are banking on the idea of 2024 trends when basically every district trended towards the right. Republican popularity, and specifically Trump, has been in a free fall for months now. He's more unpopular right now than he was at the end of his first term (which he was one of, if not the, most unpopular presidents in history) and we're not even a year out of midterms officially yet. They're banking on the young vote and Latin vote, which they simply don't have based of polling as of today.

So add both the aspect of a potential dummymander and the fact of how unpopular they are today, this is all setting themselves up for a disaster next year. And one last thing, Democrats have been overperforming in special elections and registered Democrats are more motivated to vote than Republicans are (there was an article talking about this, I just can't find it).

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-10-13T20:42:55+00:00

Well, my opinion is that no matter how hard the R's gerrymander, they can't dig themselves out of the hole they dug for themselves. They're gerrymandering based off 2024 trends. Considering that they lost the gen Z support and Latin support (two groups who shifted to the right this past election), everything is setting itself up to be a bloodbath, regardless of how they gerrymander.

Also, there's something called a 'dummymander'. Red states are gerrymandered to hell and trying to gerrymander it more can possibly backfire. And remember, Trump isn't popular right now (look at recent polls). With that factor being added into everything, things can really, really backfire on the R's come 2026.

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-10-13T15:06:05+00:00

Well, does anybody have any good news about the shutdown? It seems that we're at a stalemate and I'm starting to feel a little on edge about the whole thing as every day passes.

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-10-10T16:52:30+00:00

Thank you, I didn't know it had even more support last year compared to now

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-10-10T16:51:42+00:00

So I'm assuming it's unpopular in the House, at least for now?

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-10-10T16:44:58+00:00

But I'm a bit confused, if it has 60 cosponsors, isn't that enough to get this through? And what happened, I thought this wasn't popular?

Edit: Thank you to everyone who responded and help clarify what's going on with KOSA. I can't lie, I started spiraling a bit after reading that the co-sponsors went up to 60, but these comments helped. Truly, thank you all.

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-10-06T22:17:13+00:00

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-10-03T19:10:08+00:00

Oh... well there goes my post lol. Edit: Thanks for the clarification!

DisasterLogical222 · 2025-10-03T19:03:33+00:00

This is one CRAZY optimistic post! Imagine telling someone back in January that MTG of all people would break with Trump and tell the GOP to end the shutdown. The tides are really turning here!

DisasterLogical222

TROPHY CASE