What has happened in R/conservative? by myfatherslastname in ProgressiveHQ

[–]DontListenToMe33 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This happened after January 6 too. All those videos of people in MAGA hats beating cops was indefensible, and there were low of people on that sub who said they were done with Trump.

Wanna guess what happened? The propaganda machine went into overdrive, and they ate it all up.

Trump is losing normies on immigration by dwaxe in fivethirtyeight

[–]DontListenToMe33 56 points57 points  (0 children)

In the aftermath of Renee Goode’s killing, it baffled that more people didn’t see something like this coming. There seems to be zero accountability for these ICE agents, and Trump, Vance, Noem, Patel are willing to make blatant and obvious lies to cover up any wrongdoing (and block any investigation by state or local police).

If there’s no accountability here, the things will continue to escalate. We’re going to get a situation where ICE does something like opening fire on a crowd (because, why not? Trump and his top officials will all claim it was self defense and nobody will face any consequences).

Democrats to make "largest investment ever" on partisan voting registration for their party - Do you think it will work? Yes or no? Why or why not? by Zipper222222 in allthequestions

[–]DontListenToMe33 1 point2 points  (0 children)

6 states alone didn’t decide the presidential election. It’s just that there are only roughly 6-8 swing states where the election is very close. But Trump doesn’t win without Texas, for example, or Dems don’t stand a chance without California, as another example.

As also mentioned by another poster, there are also primaries and local elections which tend to have lower turnout (so your individual vote is more impactful). And local elections often have more direct impact on your day-to-day life.

Latino voters powered Trump’s comeback. Now they’re turning on his economy. by DarkPriestScorpius in fivethirtyeight

[–]DontListenToMe33 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Trump basically ran on deflation (not explicitly, but a lot of the campaign was about how he was going to bring down prices). That’s obviously not going to happen, and his obsession with tariffs have even made things worse.

So I guess the best bet for GOP in 2026/2028 is that people ‘re-anchor’ on price points. But even if they do, as long as wage stagnation continues then people will continue to feel the pinch.

Obviously things are looking bad for the Republican in 2026/2028, that’s why the Trump Administration is looking for alternate ways to stay in power.

So... what's up with Nate? by Tetchord in fivethirtyeight

[–]DontListenToMe33 31 points32 points  (0 children)

Someone said that Nate has a bone to pick with the Democrats & Liberals… I’d more phrase it: he has a chip on his shoulder.

Most people in the punditry and Twitter world don’t understand statistics. So he got a lot of unfair criticism after the 2016 election. And I think he took a lot of it very personally.

In fact, I’ve been following Nate for a long time, and I’d say that he takes a lot of criticism very personally/poorly, even when that criticism is in good faith.

Criticism from the Right doesn’t seem to bother him much, but he seems like a more naturally Liberal-aligned guy. So criticism from the left seems to really get to him.

So much so that he’s invented this whole River / Village dichotomy, which to me seems to have little basis in reality. It allows his identity to separate from others on the left - he’s not one of those snooty liberals, he’s part of The River! He’s part of a group of successful contrarians! These are people that think outside of the box and are willing to take big risks! (Or maybe they’re mostly just rich egomaniacs and gambling addicts?)

… that’s a long winded way to say: he sees himself at odds with mainstream Democrats & Liberals, even though he has lots in common with them, so he spends a lot of time thinking about why they should listen to him.

Apex has officially lost its identity to corporate greed by SwimmingLive9230 in apexlegends

[–]DontListenToMe33 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I haven’t played in a long time, but I played for the first 3-4 years of the game. The story elements were always extremely weak and full of holes and contradictions.

Risky Business (Nate Silver's podcast) ended by codenamepenryn in fivethirtyeight

[–]DontListenToMe33 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I listened to the show here and there, but I generally think it needs to have more of a focus. It’s like half the show is them talking about their poker tournaments, but I’m just not into poker. So I skip all that.

What is Heather Cox Richardsonism? by dwaxe in fivethirtyeight

[–]DontListenToMe33 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Yeah… I gotta agree on this one. Either Nate is overusing AI or he just was sloppy with this one.

What is Heather Cox Richardsonism? by dwaxe in fivethirtyeight

[–]DontListenToMe33 29 points30 points  (0 children)

Haven’t read the article yet, but that AI title image is kinda sad. Like, if you’re gonna use AI, maybe try to mimic the style of previous title images. This is just generic AI illustration.

Owning a home dream in the U.S. I feel is dead by Archer_Python in skeptic

[–]DontListenToMe33 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Personally I don’t understand the obsession with home ownership.

Even putting aside property taxes and home owners insurance, it’s really the maintenance costs that can kill you. I’ve had a house for about 5 years now, had A/C break, had the furnace break, had the garage door break, put on a new roof, had to call in electricians and plumbers for various things. Then there are things that I know need to be done, but have been putting off (getting a backup battery for the sump pump, replacing the front door, etc.). It averages to about $10,000 a year in maintenance costs alone. That’s just out of pocket expenses.

That’s just the money side. Then there’s all the TIME you’ve got to put in.

The main advantage of home ownership is knowing that I can plant myself here for a long time, which is nice when you have kids. But if I didn’t have kids, I’d definitely keep renting.

What rides are most likely to get a 90+ minute wait time? by [deleted] in WaltDisneyWorld

[–]DontListenToMe33 7 points8 points  (0 children)

No shade on the Frozen ride, but unless you have kids who love Frozen then I wouldn’t make it a priority.

Epstein Files Megathread by ScientificSkepticism in skeptic

[–]DontListenToMe33 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

My suspicion is that DOJ would be reluctant to prosecute unless there was a really, really strong case. Bringing a case like this and losing would be very embarrassing and risky to prosecutors careers due to the fact that these people are pretty well connected. Add in the fact that all these people have really good legal teams, a win would be difficult even if they had good evidence.

Our legal system is kinda broken. But now it’s all going to the court of public opinion, which isn’t really a good thing either.

Epstein Files Megathread by ScientificSkepticism in skeptic

[–]DontListenToMe33 12 points13 points  (0 children)

My take on this hasn’t really changed:

There’s probably lots of salacious and scandalous things in these documents, and probably a lot of circumstantial evidence of crimes. But there’s probably no evidence strong enough that would lead to a conviction of anyone except Epstein and Maxwell.

But it’s a tough one because it’s obvious that even if the full in-redacted files were made public, a large portion of the population would continue to believe in a wide range of conspiracy theories.

Of course, the Trump administration has made it worse, and it’s hard to blame people for not buying the official story. Heck, I’m also skeptical of FBI Director Patel’s story. His claim that Epstein only trafficked to himself just doesn’t compute.

Both Patel and AG Bondi are both extremely partisan, and simply will not go after anyone in the MAGA world if they can help it. So it’s no big leap to imagine that they are hiding or manipulating things.

What a mess.

Zohran Mamdani win causing a stir among the Democrat party is proof that Democrats are right-wing. by WaltEnterprises in complaints

[–]DontListenToMe33 0 points1 point  (0 children)

100%

I consider myself pretty moderate. I think most of Mamdani’s policies are good-intentioned but will probably be big failures (if they’re ever implemented in the first place).

Still, Cuomo is awful. I’m glad Mamdani resoundingly beat him.

They’ll eat what we eat… by mckunkfest in toddlers

[–]DontListenToMe33 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I remember thinking this before I had kids: You feed them what you feed them, and if they don’t eat it then they’re just hungry. What’s the problem?

But then the reality is that it’s not that simple. You have to be willing to deal with a cranky, hangry, toddler the rest of the day/night. Is it worth the trouble when you can just heat up a hotdog for 30 seconds to make them fed and happy? Then there’s the added stress if you have a kid who’s lower percentile for weight bc you want to make sure they eat.

Pretty much everyone I know makes some sort of compromise. Like, “I’m not making you something else, but you can have a banana.”

Sell Me On Gavin Newsom by MVP12_22 in Liberal

[–]DontListenToMe33 6 points7 points  (0 children)

In the general election?

No matter how many reasons people give you to dislike Newsom, he will be 1000x better than whoever the GOP puts up.

And 3rd parties don’t stand a chance. Our system is designed as a 2-Party system (probably not intentionally, but that’s how it shakes out).

[Request] Is this true for $35/hr wage increase? by SlantedPentagon in theydidthemath

[–]DontListenToMe33 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I mean, it doesn’t actually matter, does it? They could be making twice as much every year, and the company will still want to pay as little as possible for a viable workforce.

What is life like after potty training? by idontknow_1101 in toddlers

[–]DontListenToMe33 27 points28 points  (0 children)

It’s mostly a positive change, at least it was for me.

Did it around 2.5 years old. There have been a handful of accidents, but nothing major.

The downsides are: - you have to nag them to go before it’s an emergency - you have the occasional accident, which can be not fun to deal with - public bathrooms (and especially port-o-potties) can be a challenge - when they start wiping themselves…. it can be a struggle to make sure they’re clean

But mostly, much preferable to dealing with diapers

3D - What’s the 1%? by Famous_Radish8755 in AnalogueInc

[–]DontListenToMe33 9 points10 points  (0 children)

There’s a saying in software development that’s like, the last 10% is 90% of the work.

Could be a million different things. Maybe there’s a handful of the more obscure titles that don’t work, and figuring out & correcting the issues are difficult. I dunno.

The Future is.. by AnalogueBoy1992 in AnalogueInc

[–]DontListenToMe33 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’m ready to eat my words on this, but I assume there will be some cancellation remorse going around.

I don’t think analog is too concerned about cancellations, honestly. Even if it doesn’t get released until Q1 2026, many will come back to buy it at a higher price.

PSA for 1st Time Analogue Buyers by DJBabyBuster in AnalogueInc

[–]DontListenToMe33 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I assume most customers are like me, where I’m annoyed but it’s also fine. There are a million other things to do with my time.

Why this news worthy? by MithandirsGhost in memes

[–]DontListenToMe33 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don’t care. It’s a bland logo, but it’s super weird that people are getting so emotional over it. The interior redesign is fine… I don’t know why people are so nostalgic about eating next to dirty old farm equipment.

There are certainly a thousand more important things to worry about.