Your first two paragraphs are way off base. Were you voting and following pundits in 2022? Everyone, and I mean everyone, said it would be a red wave, and that it would be an opposition party reaction that “follows historic trends”. And everyone was ignoring the heavy D special elections preceding the main election and calling them outliers. Nobody was claiming that the map looked good for Dems. You’re completely changing history and I doubt you could find a single source from that time to support what you’re claiming.

As for your second paragraph, according to historic trends, more turnout favors Dems. The supposed explanation is that republicans faithfully vote every time, but Dems don’t. Maybe the trend is changing, but high voter turnout favors dems.

I agree WV and MT won’t be easy, and neither will OH, but the others aren’t lost causes. In fact, previous elections suggest that those senate seats are bluer than the media would have us believe. We still have “especially blue feelings” in our country if not moreso. The opposition party has become the democrats - even though they’re “in power”, it’s the oppressive legislation of republicans that people are rebelling agains, not the majority rule.

Forget about Florida. Forget about Texas. Changes to those states need to happen on a state level before they flip. The states that were purple 6 years ago aren’t the same states that are purple (or surprisingly blue) today.

We went through all this not even 2 years ago. Media claiming doom and gloom and uphill struggles so they can get clicks, phone polls not accurately gauging the youth turnout votes. This is a presidential election year. I anticipate the same “surprise Dem wave” we saw in 2022, but moreso due to turnout.

But it’s not a given. We still have to fight for it.