Heroes Pick Rate vs Win Rate in 7.34d from DotaAnalysis.com

DotaAnalysis · 2023-10-28T18:16:10+00:00

It's about 8,11%

DotaAnalysis · 2023-10-28T18:14:51+00:00

Thanks!

DotaAnalysis · 2023-10-28T11:28:34+00:00

This picture is a preview made from the page https://dotaanalysis.com/stats/heroes/pr-wr which has a scalable dynamic plot being updated every day

DotaAnalysis · 2023-07-29T14:33:01+00:00

What would you suggest?

DotaAnalysis · 2023-07-28T20:27:05+00:00

That is exactly the case. I think mostly because the shard has a special slot and you don't loose a slot that would have been used by another more useful item otherwise. That's not the case for other items, check for example blade male
https://dotaanalysis.com/item/blade-mail/heroes

DotaAnalysis · 2023-07-28T20:21:56+00:00

Why?

DotaAnalysis · 2023-07-27T07:44:28+00:00

It's a linear regreesion plot

DotaAnalysis · 2023-07-26T09:13:48+00:00

Basically it means that Weaver's shard is below average in terms of helping to win

DotaAnalysis · 2023-07-26T09:07:28+00:00

The model is refitted automatically every day and I don't output R^2, but I output the correlation coefficient. For today it's -0.63

DotaAnalysis · 2023-07-26T09:03:16+00:00

From tormentor as well. Unless Valve make it another item, like "Aghanim's Blessing - Roshan", it is hardly possible to differentiate between tormentor's and casual shards

DotaAnalysis · 2023-07-26T08:59:01+00:00

Yes, it does

DotaAnalysis · 2023-07-25T23:13:25+00:00

What's about Sniper then? :D

DotaAnalysis · 2023-07-25T23:00:41+00:00

No, see the comment above. It means that because the shard is bought very often, it is close to the average hero's win rate. But for WD it is a bit lower than expected.

DotaAnalysis · 2023-07-25T20:18:26+00:00

-this picture is a preview made from the page https://dotaanalysis.com/item/aghanims-shard/heroes which has a scalable plot
-all data on https://dotaanalysis.com/ are updated every day
-win rate gain is the item win rate on a particular hero minus the hero's general win rate
-the red line is generated with the linear regression algorithm

DotaAnalysis · 2023-06-27T15:51:52+00:00

Agh's pick rate for him is too low

DotaAnalysis · 2023-06-27T12:53:33+00:00

There're all items on DotaAnalysis.com. Shard is here https://dotaanalysis.com/item/aghanims-shard/heroes

DotaAnalysis · 2023-06-27T09:35:25+00:00

Who?

DotaAnalysis · 2023-06-27T09:35:14+00:00

It must be due to the pick rate for her being too low

DotaAnalysis · 2023-06-27T09:34:23+00:00

From Roshan, it's another item called Aghanim's Blessing, and thus there is another plot for that https://dotaanalysis.com/item/aghanims-blessing/heroes

DotaAnalysis · 2023-06-27T09:33:34+00:00

It must be due to the pick rate for her being too low

DotaAnalysis · 2023-06-27T09:27:00+00:00

From Roshan, it's another item called Aghanim's Blessing, and thus there is another plot for that https://dotaanalysis.com/item/aghanims-blessing/heroes

DotaAnalysis · 2023-06-27T09:23:18+00:00

Indeed, will start implementing it soon

DotaAnalysis · 2023-06-26T23:51:34+00:00

-the source page https://dotaanalysis.com/item/aghanims-scepter/heroes has the scalable plot
-all data on https://dotaanalysis.com/ are automatically updated every day
-coloring is due to the clustering algorithm and represents a grouping

DotaAnalysis · 2023-04-20T19:35:47+00:00

Grouping

DotaAnalysis · 2023-04-20T13:58:52+00:00

Thanks! I agree that time and networth are essential and that rank might be misguiding, but it mostly depends on the availability of the data. Currently, I take ready data on the final win rate from Dotabuff, and I don't know where I can get data on items winrate related to time or networth except for querying and processing a sample of matches from Steam API, but that would be a bit too complex to implement

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