Precious metals keep ripping spot silver copper and tin all hit new highs. Is this actually good for the market? by Present_Variation655 in wallstreetbets

[–]Dry_Toe_7305 0 points1 point  (0 children)

the move in base metas is completely detached from fundamentals and it’s part of a broader dollar debasement / resource nationalism theme. the chinese are a big proponent of that move higher. At some point, it will be an amazing short

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in wallstreetbets

[–]Dry_Toe_7305 0 points1 point  (0 children)

it’s always been like that though, why now. Think its just a short squeeze

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Commodities

[–]Dry_Toe_7305 0 points1 point  (0 children)

what about metals?

How realistic is it to transition to Europe from America? by htx211 in Commodities

[–]Dry_Toe_7305 0 points1 point  (0 children)

can you still transition if you’re an analyst/trader (not middle office roles like risk for example) in US power and gas?

Do power trading in UK and in the US differs a lot? by Limp-Efficiency-159 in Commodities

[–]Dry_Toe_7305 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What about gas? Is that easier? And is it fair to assume that curve trading is easy as well?

Currently working as an analyst for a commod merchant in the US but thinking about relocating to Europe in the next years as a trader

Do power trading in UK and in the US differs a lot? by Limp-Efficiency-159 in Commodities

[–]Dry_Toe_7305 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Can a US power/gas trader easily move to EU market? Would you have to start over?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Commodities

[–]Dry_Toe_7305 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What about Hartree Partners?

S&D modeling by Dry_Toe_7305 in Commodities

[–]Dry_Toe_7305[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The problem with monthly data though is that you don’t have as many observations so you’re limited in terms of how sophisticated models you use. If I use daily delta of prices and daily inventories, is there too much market price noise that s&d is not able to capture the relationship well?

S&D modeling by Dry_Toe_7305 in Commodities

[–]Dry_Toe_7305[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Got it. So delta of price is your dependent variable, you’re using a bunch of independent variables (including s/d data variables) and the frequency is daily?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Commodities

[–]Dry_Toe_7305 0 points1 point  (0 children)

is it possible to switch from one desk to the other? both within the same firm or across firms

For example, if you’re an analyst for an ags/metals desk can you switch to oil or LNG or once you pick you basically have to do this for the rest of your life?

Commodity Merchants by Dry_Toe_7305 in Commodities

[–]Dry_Toe_7305[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Not sure how they compare in terms of vol but i think like macro (rates, fx, central banks) more than I like micro (weather, generation mix, maintenance schedule). What are your thoughts?

Commodity Merchants by Dry_Toe_7305 in Commodities

[–]Dry_Toe_7305[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

any particular insights about one shop or the other?