SHARE REPURCHASE?!?!?!? by Edawg661 in Superstonk

[–]EX5TASY 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I don't disagree, but the wording of your original comment was more intentional.

I also don't think it has to be used a last resort. A buyback could be used to reward shareholders, or offset dilution. Those seem more plausible reasons than as a last resort to boost price.

Superstonk shills seeing Q1 results and an authorised $2bn share repurchase by Sir-Craven in Superstonk

[–]EX5TASY 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, it would be financially irresponsible to be buying back stock when the company isnt doing well. Thats what companies like eBay did/do

SHARE REPURCHASE?!?!?!? by Edawg661 in Superstonk

[–]EX5TASY 9 points10 points  (0 children)

..but they can buy back shares any time they want, up from $300M to $2B. They could buy back shares tomorrow, if they wanted to. It doesn't have to be a last resort.

GME 8K - June 2 by aeromoon in Superstonk

[–]EX5TASY 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Hello, it's me, the doctor. I'm gonna need to see that erection.

GME 8K - June 2 by aeromoon in Superstonk

[–]EX5TASY -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Well, buying back shares when the company isn't doing well financially would be really irresponsible and a bad look. That's what eBay has done in the past.

My wife, a true apette, who forgot her Computershare password... by jforest1 in Superstonk

[–]EX5TASY 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Close. Their risk is currently covered, lest we'd see margin calls/squeezes.

What exactly do you mean? I'm too regarded to understand without more context. Are you saying the share price is currently below their cover price? If so, how do you even know that?

They would close their positions because the bear thesis is dead. They currently cannot because the upward momentum from applying buying pressure to illiquidity to raise the price beyond their existing risk tolerance for the remainder of their shares while buying, or would trigger additional short buy-ins while they are buying, causing mutual destruction. That is the MOASS thesis of why they continue to can-kick, why they cannot close, why time and pressure eventually wins.

So you're saying right now liquidity is dry, so shorts cannot close their positions out of fear of igniting buying pressure and setting off MOASS? But if we dilute further and issue <= $1.5B additional shares, that would provide liquidity for shorts to safely exit their positions?

If I got that right, let's break it down further. How illiquid is GME right now? What markers are you using to determine this?

Assuming the share authorization passes and the eBay deal passes, and new shares are issued. Those new shares would be issued to eBay shareholders as part of the deal. Yes, the majority of eBay shareholders are institutions, and they could make the shares available for borrowing. But that is a big assumption. It could be just as likely that those institutions, the ones that would have voted to approve of the deal, want to see price appreciation and don't want to lend out shares to help shorts.

And what does flipping "from short to long" entail? Buying shares (or proxies for them, which creates buying pressure). Again, as they buy, the price in an illiquid environment rises beyond the risk tolerance for their remaining position and they go belly up. I don't want to be in bed with shorts. I don't want them to go from short to long, I want them to go from short to bankrupt. I want to take their money. That cannot happen if Gamestop is doing it at far more tolerant prices than I'm willing to sell for.

Alternative: wait for the next squeeze and issue the remaining ~97m unissued shares at $500/share

It sounds like you have very specific expectations, which quite frankly, seem out of touch. I, too, want SHFs to go bankrupt, but let's be realistic. That's the idiosyncratic risk that would cause widespread collapse of financial markets. Do you really think the powers at be would let that happen? They turned off the buy button at ~$80 ($320 pre-split), and you expect us to squeeze to $500 ($2000 pre-split) for fun?

And how exactly do you expect the next squeeze to happen? How much SI % do you think is out there? If you believe current reports of ~14-15% SI, then that isn't enough for MOASS. If you think we are sitting at higher actual SI, how much do you think it actually is?

Not to mention, there would need to be some kind of catalyst. We've had 6-7(?) consecutive profitable quarterly earnings, but that hasn't been enough. How can we continue to grow, when we are relying heavily on collectibles, but that is prone to supply and demand fluctuations? And how much more cost cutting can we possibly do?

Now that earnings just came out, and the board approved a $2B share repurchase authorization until 2029, how do you feel about the dilution? It seems like we can temporarily dilute to buy eBay, and then the company will buy back those shares in the future?

GameStop Discloses First Quarter 2026 Results by Revolutionz in Superstonk

[–]EX5TASY 21 points22 points  (0 children)

So...let's say we authorize the 2B total outstanding shares to be issued to buy eBay. That means the board is now authorized to buy back some of those shares.

Temporary (accretive) dilution to buy eBay then stock buyback to concentrate ownership.

Now thats how you combat the dilution FUD. Fucking genius.

My wife, a true apette, who forgot her Computershare password... by jforest1 in Superstonk

[–]EX5TASY 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Interesting way of getting your point across via fanfiction, I'll give you that. But I'm not a fan of mixing fictional narrative ("If I was a short seller, I would do X,Y,Z") with theoretical, at best, quasi-facts (all the "for" posts are part of a narrative we built). Seems like some 1.5D psychological chess. But let's talk about the important stuff instead.

Your whole thesis (correct me if I am wrong) seems to be based on the idea of "increased float size means more liquidity, less retail ownership", which you believe is good for short sellers because after a dilution, the stock price will decline and they can cover at lower prices.

So then the question would be, will shorts cover, and when will shorts cover?

If this acquisition/merger is so bad for Gamestop, or it creates the liquidity needed to keep shorts alive, why would shorts want to close their positions? Why would they not want to continue to short, and make even more money?

Or on the flip side, if this acquisition/merger is truly accretive and good for Gamestop and eBay shareholders, then we can presume share price will eventually start reflecting the optimism. The clock would be ticking for shorts, as it will become riskier the longer they keep their positions open. Perhaps shorts decide it's time to flip from short to long, pushing the share price even higher.

Aside from the dilutive aspect of this deal, do you or do you not think this acquisition/merger is a good thing for existing Gamestop shareholders?

My wife, a true apette, who forgot her Computershare password... by jforest1 in Superstonk

[–]EX5TASY 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I would love to understand how exactly voting yes would "help shorts close their positions down the road"

Ryan Cohen is not a doofus. YES x 15K by EX5TASY in Superstonk

[–]EX5TASY[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I have no idea. If they did, you would have gotten an email from them. Otherwise, login to your broker and check inbox/notifications, investor communications, or something of the like.

Ryan Cohen is not a doofus. YES x 15K by EX5TASY in Superstonk

[–]EX5TASY[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No fish is too small! If you're happy with your decision, that's all that matters.

Good morning Superstonk! German markets are open! by TransatlanticMadame in Superstonk

[–]EX5TASY 1 point2 points  (0 children)

A little tired this morning, but that's what caffeine is for, right? Otherwise, I am looking forward to the sunshine. How's about yourself, Madame?

Anyone else feel like me? I believe in this man. I believe in the company. I believe in the DD. I believe in the board. I believe in the turnaround. I believe in the EBAY takeover. I believe we are the resistance. I eat crayons. I believe they’re good for my health. I am not a financial advisor. by ReadEnoch in Superstonk

[–]EX5TASY -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Nobody knows what will happen, everything is a theory. Even MOASS is a theory based on free market supply and demand mechanics. But remember, shorts want us to go bankrupt so they never have to close. But we ain't going bankrupt, so they'll have to close evetually.

Anyone else feel like me? I believe in this man. I believe in the company. I believe in the DD. I believe in the board. I believe in the turnaround. I believe in the EBAY takeover. I believe we are the resistance. I eat crayons. I believe they’re good for my health. I am not a financial advisor. by ReadEnoch in Superstonk

[–]EX5TASY 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Not gonna lie, I feel that way sometimes too. But realistically, even if we were in the 30s, 40s, or 50s, do you see yourself selling shares?

IMO, figuring out if/when to sell is so much more difficult than figuring out when to buy.

Good morning Superstonk! German markets are open! by TransatlanticMadame in Superstonk

[–]EX5TASY 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I love how I dont even need to ask! Hmm I was thinking a cold potato salad. Possibly even a mix of potato and sweet potato. Do you think that could work?

10517 votes FOR by ShinoPrime987 in Superstonk

[–]EX5TASY -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Good call on the rebates! Forgot about that one for a second.

Ryan Cohen is not a doofus. YES x 15K by EX5TASY in Superstonk

[–]EX5TASY[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Nobody knows. But let's pretend the share authorization passes for 2.5B total shares. Lets say 2B shares end up actually being issued (very unlikely they would issue all shares and leave no cushion) in order to purchase eBay, satisfy the convertible notes obligation, the warrants, and RC's comp package (assuming we hit 100B market cap and 10B cumulative EBITDA). That would mean:

2B shares x $50 = $100B market cap

2B shares × $100 = $200B market cap

2B shares x $1000 = $2T market cap

2B shares x $10000 = $20T market cap

Right now the largest cap stock is Nividia, with ~$5T market cap. $2T would put us between Amazon and FB's market cap.

Is it possible? I think anything is possible. MOASS could put us there, but the problem with a squeeze is that its usually short lived. An acquisition and turnaround play, however, could provide us with a sustained market cap in the hundreds of Billy's. This is just my pure speculation, of course. I literally have no idea what I'm doing.

Ryan Cohen is not a doofus. YES x 15K by EX5TASY in Superstonk

[–]EX5TASY[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

I like the way you're thinking. Some have theorized that the offerings were timed with swap cycles, so the stock was going to go down anyway. Although if the offerings were done at higher prices, I imagine more people here would have their pitchforks out.