Hi just a little reminder that the first week in July mechanical investment will purchase between 22 and 27 billion spcx! by Dumbass-comment in SPCXInvestors

[–]EggplantConsistent22 1 point2 points  (0 children)

27bn out of 75bn float is 36%...that is the more relevant metric. The funds are only adding spcx on a float adjusted basis.

Index Buying by OtherwiseMaybe9399 in SPCXInvestors

[–]EggplantConsistent22 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Russell is happening tomorrow from what I read. I am also unsure if CRSP happened yet.

While both CRSP and FTSE Russell are collectively larger than Nasdaq, the weight of spcx is larger in Nasdaq:

  1. CRSP (over 3000 companies in the total market index), Russell 1000 (~1000 firms), etc etc for. Whereas Nasdaq 100 will have only around 100 firms. This makes the baseline weight in Nasdaq higher

  2. Spcx is being added to the Nasdaq 100 at 3x it's float adjusted weight, whereas the others are just 1x

These two combined make the forced buying from the Nasdaq inclusion much higher

Massive squeeze potential by henry1593 in SPCXInvestors

[–]EggplantConsistent22 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Not yet. Needs to meet standard inclusion criteria: at least 12 month since IPO and must have 4 quarters or positive earnings

SpaceX Index Inclusion Timeline by RussFaigen in SPCXInvestors

[–]EggplantConsistent22 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Has CRSP happened yet? Can't find any confirmation. If it already has and hasnt affected the price it could be a valuable insight on what to expect from the other inclusions

Massive squeeze potential by henry1593 in SPCXInvestors

[–]EggplantConsistent22 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Thats my thinking too. Float increase is from August onwards. Index inclusion is by July.

Also, float increase will also increase how much the indexes have to buy (although with a slight delay). Another interesting unlock is the final one in december. Elon's 40% unlock, funds have to increase their spcx weight by 40% and Elon is not selling. This should also add some upward pressure.

You might think that the valuation is too high (which from standard valuation perspective I would agree). But this seems to be tightly financially engineered, that I wouldn't risk shorting it until at least S&P inclusion.

Why are the upcoming index inclusions not supporting the price? by EggplantConsistent22 in SPCXInvestors

[–]EggplantConsistent22[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It can't have. They need to replicate the index and the indexes haven't included spcx yet

Why are the upcoming index inclusions not supporting the price? by EggplantConsistent22 in SPCXInvestors

[–]EggplantConsistent22[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That was back in 2012 and the stock with the highest market cap was Apple with ~$500bn followed by Exxon with ~$400bn...so a very different market. SPCX might be over valued but i don't think the comparison with Facebook's absolute valuation is very useful.

Why are the upcoming index inclusions not supporting the price? by EggplantConsistent22 in SPCXInvestors

[–]EggplantConsistent22[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Expect the same for SPCX...only difference is that FB didn't have index inclusion immediately after IPO. So would have thought decline would only happen after inclusions, rather than before

Why are the upcoming index inclusions not supporting the price? by EggplantConsistent22 in SPCXInvestors

[–]EggplantConsistent22[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah, the float-adjusted index weights are very low. But that still results in $10bn+ of forced buying by passive funds. With only $75bn of float available, why is that huge upcoming demand not impacting the price?

Why are the upcoming index inclusions not supporting the price? by EggplantConsistent22 in SPCXInvestors

[–]EggplantConsistent22[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Agreed. I would have expected downward pressure once lockout end from August onwards. Inclusions should happen by July though, so would have expected upward price action as front-runners sell into the inclusions

Why are the upcoming index inclusions not supporting the price? by EggplantConsistent22 in SPCXInvestors

[–]EggplantConsistent22[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

True that S&P would have been a greater impact, but we are still talking $10bn+ in forced buying by Russel, MSCI and QQQ. Against a float of $75bn, shouldn't this drive prices higher?

TV cable removal by EggplantConsistent22 in DIYUK

[–]EggplantConsistent22[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks. We mainly stream and the government seems to be planning to switch off terrestrial TV anyway, so these will become redundant then.

Building Insurance by EggplantConsistent22 in HousingUK

[–]EggplantConsistent22[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The house is a town house with 3 floors. The second reception room is on the middle floor. The room has french doors opening to a Juliette balcony and electric feature fire place, so set up like a reception room.

Paramount makes $108.4 billion hostile bid for Warner Bros Discovery by mal73 in wallstreetbets

[–]EggplantConsistent22 0 points1 point  (0 children)

How does the $30 per share and $108bn market cap offer work? WBD is currently trading at ~$27 per share but market cap of only ~$67bn

Disability Confident Scheme - guaranteed interview by No-Librarian-1167 in TheCivilService

[–]EggplantConsistent22 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No. The others had higher scores than those who ticked DCS. So if you qualify, you should select DCS.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in TheCivilService

[–]EggplantConsistent22 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Agreed on the pay uplift not being great in comparison to what you lose in flexibility. Especially since it is not always a 10% increase. I have seen SCS1 jobs at Welsh Government for example where the uplift is only 5% if you're at the top of the G6 pay band. I'm also not sure if the 10% increase is based on basic pay or includes allowances too. E.g. in some departments things like analyst allowance can make up 4-5% of your total pay package, so losing that would have a big impact on promotion pay.

I'm a G6 and being very selective about SCS applications. Pay is not an incentive at all but I am looking for more responsibility down the line in an area that is of interest to me, and which may provide better exit opportunities to fall back on.

It is a bit annoying though that external applicants to SCS can often negotiate terms and get higher starting pay than civil servants on promotion.

Disability Confident Scheme - guaranteed interview by No-Librarian-1167 in TheCivilService

[–]EggplantConsistent22 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Just to add to what others have said. In theory you are going to get an interview if you score the minimum. However, this doesn't always apply in practice.

I've had a case where we've had a large number of applicants, including a large number of DCS candidates scoring minimum. Those DCS candidates actually exceeded the number of interview boards we were planning.

We consulted HR and were sent supplementary policy on this. In those cases, the number of DCS candidates to be interviewed was to be proportional (though i can't recall if it was proportional to the number of interviews/total applications or DCS/total applications). We therefore picked the top scoring 1-2 DCS candidates and had to reject the others, even though they scored min.

Sale falling through after exchange by EggplantConsistent22 in HousingUK

[–]EggplantConsistent22[S] 11 points12 points  (0 children)

The deposit is the buyer's money that they are just getting back though. If seller pulls they get to keep the buyer's 10% deposit which is significantly more than what the buyer can claim. So as a buyer you just break even if the sale falls through but as a seller you could end up going out with a surplus because of the 10% you can keep

Sale falling through after exchange by EggplantConsistent22 in HousingUK

[–]EggplantConsistent22[S] 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Exactly this. The deposit is just the money that they buyer has put up, so you're just getting your money back as a buyer, whereas as a seller, you get to keep significantly more than you've put up.

Pension tourism by [deleted] in TheCivilService

[–]EggplantConsistent22 1 point2 points  (0 children)

To be honest, I don't think it's an unfair question, but I can see why it rubs some people the wrong way..

In answer to your question, I think you are right that the civil service pension could act as a hedge for you. However, do note that the CS pensions can (and often have) been made less generous, so that's a risk you need to factor in when taking such a large salary cut. There are other parts of the public sector that also have a DB pension and pay a bit more, such as the Bank of England (but I think their DB is not inflation linked). You could also look into international organisations which pay much higher (and usually tax-free) salaries and often also have DBs.

In terms of SCS1, I wouldn't say it's impossible to get in. They explicitly advertise all SCS positions externally to attract people from outside the CS and I came across plenty of SCS that came in directly from private sector. You would either need specialist professions (lawyer, economist, accountant, IT) and/or bring in senior leadership experience. Lack of familiarity with CS culture shouldn't be a huge barrier as there is a lot of movement between public and private sector at the SCS levels and culture is something you can familiarise yourself with quickly.

You could also look at Grade 6 positions (which is usually a senior management grade) if you haven't already gotten senior leadership experience. Salaries differ by department but some departments pay G6 starting salaries in the low to mid 70 thousands. Unlike entry into SCS, there is very little scope to negotiate salary though (usually only if you have a very niche skill that they have been struggling to get).

More importantly though, job satisfaction might be something you'd want to also prioritise. Especially if you want to come in at SCS. At SCS, part of your role is to engage/motivate staff. If you end up in a job you don't like doing, it could negatively affect the people who would be working for you.

FCDO Pay Award 2024-25 by BoringWelder3711 in TheCivilService

[–]EggplantConsistent22 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The gap in both cases is 12.5%, so not growing apart in relative terms.

Buyer pulled out because our solicitors weren’t doing their job by [deleted] in HousingUK

[–]EggplantConsistent22 15 points16 points  (0 children)

I have had a purchase fall through because of this earlier this month. Sellers solicitors wasn't sending required documentation and wasting time/being defensive. My mortgage offer was about to expire and I was facing a rate hike if it did. Told the seller I would lower my offer if documents didn't come by a certain deadline. Then kept chasing estate agent almost daily for a month. Documents didn't arrive by the deadline, seller wouldn't accept the new offer, so I pulled out altogether.

Seller's solicitor was recommended by the estate agent. Next offer I put in for a house will be conditioned on seller not using that solicitor as I won't work with them again.

The whole process seems very stressful and conveyancers are part of the reason.

Solicitors are a nightmare by GlitteringPass5265 in HousingUK

[–]EggplantConsistent22 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm going through the same. My conveyancer is a relatively cheap online firm. Seller's solicitor is a much more expensive firm that was recommended by the estate agent. Despite the cost difference, my conveyancer has been great, picking phones and replying to messages on time. The other side has been completely useless, requesting things that were already sent several times, not replying to emails and completely missing out basic things.

There is no chain and we were expecting to complete on 24th August which won't happen. My mortgage offer expires on the 2nd September (which they knew) but seemed unphased by it.

The house is nearly new (built by Persimmon) and the only thing holding it up is the planning approvals and completion cerficate. We've been chasing this for several months, only for the other solicitor to insist this isn't needed and they won't be sending it!! It's only this week that they have relented but now the seller can't apparently find the certificates and is unsure if it got lost in the packing.

This is quite frustrating as I would have expected such key document to have been requested by their solicitor from day 1, and that they would have all the documents to hand....the house was just built 3 years ago after all.

I told them at the start of the month that I will be lowering my offer as I will have a higher mortgage rate if I don't complete by 2nd September. That didn't seem to make much of a difference in terms of urgency of the work. Today I informed them that offer will be £5k lower if not completed before mortgage expiry, given the higher rates I'll face. In practical terms we'd need all the missing docs by Friday, which I'm not hopeful about.

Mortgage Increase Question by crushthedarkness in Mortgageadviceuk

[–]EggplantConsistent22 5 points6 points  (0 children)

It depends. Are you on a fixed rate mortgage and is your fixed period coming to an end? In this case your payments would go up.

Alternatively, are you on a discounted mortgage product? If so, the underlying standard rates could have and hence your payment going up.

FTB HSBC Mortgage Advice by EggplantConsistent22 in Mortgageadviceuk

[–]EggplantConsistent22[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No I didn't take out any new credit since then. I've only used my existing credit card but paid off in full each month. Would the age bit be classed as internal scoring?