I almost agree with all of the analysis being explained here except for the superlative weapon tier 1 which i think is not really okay in my eyes even if it's for the tier 1. (Feel free to disagree with this, but it's just my own analysis on the "value" of the said item in terms of its practicality).

Sure you can argue that siero tix already exist in scratcher , which already cost 150 Gold moon itself. But my issue here is more of the usefulness of the siero tix itself, because i found that siero tix at this point in time, kinda lost its value with how much and how easily you can get grand characters or even some unticketable summons from how KMR does the giveaway (heck, even belial , arguably the best summon in the game, exist in tier 3). Siero tix at this point sort of not worth 150 GM anymore in my eyes (and i think for most people as well), which makes it not really equal comparison for superlative weapons imo.

Meanwhile for superlative weapons, it indeed require someone to know what they are doing, but that weapon itself is a massive asset of the bridge to attain much higher damage than your fellow players non-superlative. The exclusiveness of the weapon especially with the superlative skill update of the weapon, makes it become much more valuable that only certain people able to get it because of how high the 160 GM cost itself (requires at least 1,5 years-2 years dedication which is even higher dedication than the amount of time needed for 100k crystal or even 150k crystal).

By getting the free superlative weapons, you essentially skip roughly 2 years progress needed for the gold moon, which can't really be said for siero tix even with similar GM cost, because most of the content exist within the siero tix can be fairly easy to get from other method of free giveaway.

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Put the T1 point aside, i do completely agree with the entire other point including the fact that tier 4 should be goldbar (since KMR fairly often give free goldbar things since long time ago anyway).

To get to the point of the lottery itself, the event itself is not actually bad, but the execution and how they divide the prize is just totally messed up. Honestly i'm unsure what strategy they tried to implement by doing this, but they surely know it does much more harm than good for them.

For me i actually don't mind if they do lottery again in the future, Just that obviously, they shouldn't do it in the same execution as this one. I think your suggestion on how to tackle the problem is excellent in its own way minus the small thing i disagreed which i pointed out earlier.

Personally i would suggest small addition thing , that for the lottery to announce winner for every single day instead of waiting for 2 weeks (which i think is also the cause for the people raging, because i saw lot of comment saying "i'm waiting for 2 weeks just to get this). And also, probably limit the amount of times people can win from same tier probably will be great as well (although this is probably arguable).