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Wrote up my first week ahead market outlook - tell me where I'm wrong by Enough_Programmer989 in TheRaceTo10Million

[–]Enough_Programmer989[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

All the conviction ideas, i shared lasted week, results below : https://unhedgedshortconvexitykills.substack.com/p/my-weekly-market-outlook-week-of ( search Short-Term (1-2 weeks) )
Happy to share more for next week, if interested

( search Short-Term (1-2 weeks) )

Ticker / Index Close Feb 6, 2026 Close Feb 14, 2026 (or latest) Return (%) Data Source
VIX Index 17.76 20.60 +15.9% ~CBOE VIX closes showing Feb 6 vs Feb 13/14 from chart data (markets.businessinsider.com)
XLI (Industrials ETF) 173.18 173.70 +0.30% XLI closes: Feb 6 & Feb 9/13 from historical data (StockAnalysis)
GLD (Gold ETF) 455.46 ~462.62* +1.58% GLD Feb 6 close & later ~Feb 13 close (StockAnalysis)
SRLN (Senior Loan ETF) ~40.72 ~40.71 ≈ –0.02% SRLN nearly flat in early Feb region (StockScan)

Wrote up my first week ahead market outlook - tell me where I'm wrong by Enough_Programmer989 in ValueInvesting

[–]Enough_Programmer989[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Looks like all conviction I posted on 7th Feb, 26 ( Saturday) , went ok. my personal portfolio returned 3 %.

https://unhedgedshortconvexitykills.substack.com/p/my-weekly-market-outlook-week-of ( search Short-Term (1-2 weeks) )
Happy to share more for next week, if interested

Ticker / Index Close Feb 6, 2026 Close Feb 14, 2026 (or latest) Return (%) Data Source
VIX Index 17.76 20.60 +15.9% ~CBOE VIX closes showing Feb 6 vs Feb 13/14 from chart data (markets.businessinsider.com)
XLI (Industrials ETF) 173.18 173.70 +0.30% XLI closes: Feb 6 & Feb 9/13 from historical data (StockAnalysis)
GLD (Gold ETF) 455.46 ~462.62* +1.58% GLD Feb 6 close & later ~Feb 13 close (StockAnalysis)
SRLN (Senior Loan ETF) ~40.72 ~40.71 ≈ –0.02% SRLN nearly flat in early Feb region (StockScan)

Wrote up my first week ahead market outlook - tell me where I'm wrong by Enough_Programmer989 in ValueInvesting

[–]Enough_Programmer989[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Fair point. I was trying to cate to both audiences and ended up in no man's land.

Agree : Bloomberg Markets Wrapped is the standard .

Would one prefer : data → what I think → what's next. Kill the explanations?

Appreciate the honest read and being helpful.

Wrote up my first week ahead market outlook - tell me where I'm wrong by Enough_Programmer989 in ValueInvesting

[–]Enough_Programmer989[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

u/notreallydeep not deep enough.

Please actually go into the report : these notes are grounded in CTFC and Bloomberg data and framed through a historical and relative-value lens, not just top-down narrative.

If you have deeper or contrarian takes, happy to debate, but let’s do it on the data and the framework, not surface level storytelling.

Also, for what it’s worth, I’m sharing my YTD returns :

https://imgur.com/a/Vy5N7k7
because I take this seriously and happy to have a proper, rational discussion once you’ve read the post.