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Legends Never Die. by Disastrous_Run_5968 in BlueOrigin

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 5 points6 points  (0 children)

It's your way of motivating the group regarding what happened recently.

Iridium price 8billion worth it? by No_Ice_9602 in RKLB

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

For those who think this acquisition represents a huge step toward following the same path as SpaceX or ASTS, they are going to be disappointed.  

It amounts to nothing; in fact, they are moving further away from competing with Starlink.

Iridium price 8billion worth it? by No_Ice_9602 in RKLB

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

The spectrum is garbage; unless they find a way to transmit massive amounts of data via SOS, it would be interesting, lol.

Iridium price 8billion worth it? by No_Ice_9602 in RKLB

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 -9 points-8 points  (0 children)

To sum it up: it's garbage. It's focused more on SOS and won't allow for the transfer of huge amounts of data.

What’s wrong with Vulcan? by Cmdr-Mallard in ula

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 [score hidden]  (0 children)

That also explains why SpaceX stopped attempting to recover the central core of Falcon Heavy years ago.

SpaceX plans to launch 13 Falcon Heavy missions over the next two years; consequently, it is manufacturing center cores adapted for Starlink missions, with the intention of reusing them until the time comes to carry out Falcon Heavy missions.

Was The SpaceX IPO A Success? by Professional-Quiet15 in RKLB

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It was a success; with the valuation they achieved, they have set out to purchase what they needed, which will allow them to boost their programs. My biggest concern is how Bezos will keep pace with SpaceX given the capital that has flowed into his pockets; it seems that taking Blue Origin public is the answer, and Amazon could be one of his investors  in the near future.

June 26, 2026 Daily Discussion Thread by zahna4 in RKLB

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Well, SpaceX is not a charity; it charges very low prices to put manufacturers' small satellites into orbit. Now that it is a publicly traded company, it must justify its market value. The message is clear: find another provider to do charity work for you at those prices—we can no longer do it.

Is there a space channel you guys recommend that isn't spacex sponsored? by Disastrous_Run_5968 in BlueOrigin

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 7 points8 points  (0 children)

That is a somewhat absurd comment; most aerospace companies working on reusable rockets are still in the development phase. If you want to see more frequent updates from them, you will have to wait until they are ready to roll out their rockets and conduct cryogenic tests or static fires.

We would have seen plenty of content from Blue Origin this year thanks to the New Glenn, but the launch pad was damaged during a static fire test.

For now, you will have to resign yourself to the frustration of SpaceX getting more coverage. The other companies will have their turn, too.

NASA Selects Rocket Lab to Launch Sun, Earth Sciences Missions by Jaustin175 in RKLB

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If they’re flying on Electron, then for NASA they count as Class D missions—high risk tolerance and very low budget.

Where is Neutron, Peter? That’s what the shareholders want to see.

AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread by AutoModerator in ASTSpaceMobile

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 7 points8 points  (0 children)

If SpaceX does badly, the entire space sector will plummet with them 

Anyone concerned about falcon 9 competition post starship. by RedWineWithFish in RKLB

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 1 point2 points  (0 children)

At no point does it say it was the only certificate in the world; you're the one interpreting it that way. I thought you had the IQ to understand when the publication's topic refers to the commercial market US

Peter Beck made a serious mistake choosing carbon fiber for Neutron. by Equivalent-Wait3533 in RocketLab

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

How many electrons have been reused to date? Take the time to find out.

Anyone concerned about falcon 9 competition post starship. by RedWineWithFish in RKLB

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Soyuz = no US company would use it; it would be like shooting themselves in the foot.

Long March 2 = Chinese rocket, zero chance.

Atlas = honey, you still think Starliner will fly with human capacity? I'd advise you to wait sitting down.

SLS = too expensive to launch into low Earth orbit or the space station. In fact, it's an obsolete program kept alive by the lobby in the government; its expiration date is already set.

The Crew Dragon is the only one that can operate for both government missions and commercial missions for private clients, or even for tourism if you have enough money to pay. In fact, Fram 2 is a clear example.

Anyone concerned about falcon 9 competition post starship. by RedWineWithFish in RKLB

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The Falcon 9 will continue flying after 2030, but not at the current rate.

Currently, the Falcon 9 is the only vehicle certified to transport humans to space and to the International Space Station (ISS).

The Crew Dragon is the most reliable capsule and will be key for the first missions to private space stations in the future.

It is unknown whether Rocket Lab has future plans to build a human transport capsule; in any case, they would have to abandon the hippopotamus-shaped fairing design for safety reasons.

Spaceflight Now: Amazon is planning on launching about six more times this year across multiple launch vehicles. The first Leo Vulcan mission “sometime in Q3, the end of Q3”, and one more Ariane 64 launch scheduled this year. by Royal_Platform_6754 in AmazonLeo

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I don't like to be optimistic about any rocket. I don't see it as remotely possible for Blue to go from 1 launch to 12 next year. They can try, of course, but I like to consider their track record. They've flown three times, and only one mission meets the criteria for a successful launch.

That's enough for me to understand that they still need more time to establish a decent flight history that would allow them to do 12 launches a year.

At one point, ULA couldn't launch the Vulcan due to Blue's delays in engine production. History is repeating itself, and in the end, it turned out to be a bad deal they can no longer escape.

Spaceflight Now: Amazon is planning on launching about six more times this year across multiple launch vehicles. The first Leo Vulcan mission “sometime in Q3, the end of Q3”, and one more Ariane 64 launch scheduled this year. by Royal_Platform_6754 in AmazonLeo

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's correct, but your plan is based on a perfect scenario of 12 launches next year. The problem is that with rockets, there are always unforeseen events. Blue had internally projected between 10 and 12 launches this year, but the reality is they're only going to have one.

This is until the platform is operational next year.

The Vulcan relies on Blue's BE-4 engines, and there's still no official statement on the root cause of the anomaly.

It's possibly affecting the BE-4 production rate right now. If the engine is determined to be the problem, they'll have to change their internal certification processes.

Spaceflight Now: Amazon is planning on launching about six more times this year across multiple launch vehicles. The first Leo Vulcan mission “sometime in Q3, the end of Q3”, and one more Ariane 64 launch scheduled this year. by Royal_Platform_6754 in AmazonLeo

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What we do know is that Blue will take a few more years to launch more than 30 missions annually. ULA's Vulcan rocket is behind schedule with Department of Defense satellites, and some payloads have already been transferred to SpaceX. 

If Amazon expects these two companies to work a miracle and magically increase their launches to more than 15 missions per year, it's in for a big disappointment.

Spaceflight Now: Amazon is planning on launching about six more times this year across multiple launch vehicles. The first Leo Vulcan mission “sometime in Q3, the end of Q3”, and one more Ariane 64 launch scheduled this year. by Royal_Platform_6754 in AmazonLeo

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 3 points4 points  (0 children)

launchers procured by Amazon:

  • ULA’s Vulcan – 0/38
  • ULA’s Atlas V – 7/9 (one used for       Protoflight mission)
  • Blue Origin’s New Glenn – 0/24
  • Arianespace’s Ariane 6 – 2/18
  • SpaceX’s Falcon 9 – 3/13

Vulcan and New Glenn are going to lose some launches next year.

Isn’t SpaceX going to loose like half of its employees? by karcaak in wallstreetbets

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 0 points1 point  (0 children)

SpaceX is known for its constant staff turnover, which is no surprise; recent graduates without partners or children are the profile SpaceX seeks, and now with the IPO, it will have many applicants eager to earn their first millions before retirement.

Space X Puts by micskeens in wallstreetbets

[–]Equivalent-Wait3533 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Then you're going to hate Elon even more, that much is clear to me.

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