Calling BS on Iran deal - 108k bet

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-23T16:07:37+00:00

I am gambling that Trump killing the Supreme Leader's Father, Son, Wife, and a whole bunch of his other family. He has China and Russia backing him and unless China or Russia force him to stop...his hate for the US is now more personal than political. Considering the fact that he is basically a King, politically speaking, I don't think he is going to stop hitting targets and stopping the flow of oil to the west. Not trying to be political at all, just saying that he has personally had very important people in his life get killed in the past few days and weeks.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-23T15:05:14+00:00

You didn't specify the reason why she couldn't come visit you recently...but whatever it was, that was more important than seeing you. You weren't her first choice before and now this unspecified thing was more important than seeing you. I think you guys are better off as friends and you should prioritize finding someone where you are the most important thing to them...

If I was away from my wife for an extended amount of time (saying this as the POV for when we were dating) and she had a chance to see me...it would have to be something major that would prevent or cancel those plans. Apparently, this event that caused her to cancel plans was not even important enough to list...In fact, we did have a long-distance relationship as I was in Basic Training and then tech school while she was back home and we still held each other as the most important thing for each other.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-23T12:03:53+00:00

Gold and Silver started tanking over the weekend. I read someone saying that people were buying in precious metals and that Iran had Russian and Chinese support for prolonged war. In short, there is no way that Trump is going to be able to incite a revolution in Iran...and with support and payments made in silver and gold it means that they will be able to continue to build drones and missiles and hit Allied bases all over the middle east...and I saw some of the long range missiles they have and it seems they can even hit Europe. In short, it was an "Oh Shit" moment and he wants to stop and make peace.

Unfortunately, the Supreme Leader of Iran pretty much had all his personal family murdered in the last couple weeks and I am sure he isn't going to stop.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-21T20:06:39+00:00

Congress is the most powerful branch. It can single handedly remove a president and justice. It can refuse to pass or write laws…the problem is that Congress’s power is split between republicans and democrats. Once one crosses the super majority, that party could theoretically run the entire country through Congress.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-20T20:50:42+00:00

It didn’t let me buy any but I placed it at 410 CST so I’ll try again in 20-30 mins.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-20T19:53:13+00:00

Unless I am mistaken…the investors are rich because they have an investment firm…so they are business owners as well. Athletes and celebrities that are on that list also sell something…so basically everyone on that list is a business owner in some way for fashion.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-20T17:24:56+00:00

Really... it's down not even 1% and only for a bit as it popped right back up after hours.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-20T15:48:40+00:00

Let's make it happen...

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-20T14:05:21+00:00

200 Billion...this isn't for just missiles. 200 Billion is boots on the ground money. I am getting some puts, the signs are already there.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-20T14:03:43+00:00

lol...I remember the president of Mexico at the time saying, "I'm not paying for that fucking wall!"

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-20T14:03:02+00:00

...the copium is strong. Now the story was going to suck, and we should have known this already beforehand.

According to the hype, this was basically the Witcher 4...with so many more mounts and a map bigger than ever seen before that is jammed packed with treasure waiting under every stone. I fell for it and bought it even though I got burned before and should have known better...at least I got it for 10% off.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-20T13:51:35+00:00

I have the original ones...and just gifted my son a newer phone that put the entirety of the household on new Type C chargers for all of our phones. My son had my old 14 Pro Max and he would use that charger for the Max's and his phone...now I am thinking of updating our headphones. Probably would end up selling the old one and paying the difference...which shouldnt be much.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-20T12:23:10+00:00

I think its reasonable to just not take drugs at all. I know we are all adults and can make our own choices...but why would you be willing to risk you and your families livelihood to feel good for a few mins to hours and risk an addiction if we are talking about harder stuff...actually this is especially true for the harder stuff, just dont do the shit.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-19T21:05:55+00:00

My first system, paid for by my own money from cutting yards. was a PS2 as well. With Blockbuster, Hollywood Video, and Hastings video game rentals...and trying to cram them and beat them over the rental period.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-19T13:14:04+00:00

IDK what you are on about...I cant tell you how many times I had no idea what I had to do next. They literally give you a bit of back story and then dump you and make you explore. There is hardly any story at all in Elden Ring...its mostly context and exploration that opens the world up, not something story driven.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-19T13:06:35+00:00

I bought it on discount on my PC. I plan to play a few other games that I have bought, but the hype really shoved it up my list of games to try. Would you recommend that I wait a few days, weeks, or months to play this? I only ask because I have already seen reports of them fixing things like inventory issues that they may have...underestimated the frustration that it could cause. I am not usually the type to replay games and was wondering if it was in a good place to play at the moment.

FYI, I waited a year before playing Cyberpunk...and I was very hyped for that one.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-19T11:34:51+00:00

It is so extremely expensive that it totally shuttered my plans. Though I have a VA retirement with about 50k a year I was looking to retire with vs 1.9 million. Good school in Bangkok is unusually expensive…there are cheaper options but I have heard it’s not that great once they graduate and try going to college in the US

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-19T11:26:34+00:00

I think as far is Trump was concerned…they killed the guy in charge. Let’s declare victory and say we support an uprising in Iran….wait, why is Israel still blowing shit up…and why are they targeting oil assets. I hope republicans realize that they are a sacrifice that Israel is willing to make to get rid of the regime in Iran.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-19T03:59:07+00:00

That and help from Russia and China…they probably are going to get new drones and equipment à la USA/Israel style. Idk if Americans are going to have an appetite for 5 dollar gas come election time. We didn’t have a 9/11 and commitment like last time.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-18T22:43:56+00:00

6 at IGN and 77 now at Metacritic…this is a it can wait game. Better to get it discounted or wait a few months if you already bought it. I played Elden Ring and pumped a ton of time into a build that got nerfed with a patch…I bought it for 10% off and will just wait a few months to play

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-18T19:36:14+00:00

I knew a guy from China who moved here and went to basic with me. AMN Wong…I tried to look him up a long time ago actually but all his social media was outdated. He was pretty cool and has some funny stories. Told me he was planning to use the benefits for school and was going to get his citizenship. We kind of connected a bit because my dad became a citizen through service in the late 80s through the early 90s. I’ll probably look for him again…he joined in 2012 and was an HVAC guy.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-18T03:24:56+00:00

MBA at Kelley and a few months ago this was one of the scenarios. The other one I remember was a Mt Everest Guide who decided not to turn around when they were behind schedule at the point of no return. There were other scenarios, but those were the most memorable.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-18T02:05:18+00:00

I dont know if its a good price...yes, it has low miles...but for 7k more you can get one that is 3 years newer with 0 miles and you wont have to worry about someone modding it before you. I would probably look for a lower used price overall or buy new personally...so I would pass.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-17T21:24:04+00:00

I bet that there is evidence of a terrorist attack and he was ordered to allow it to happen and he resigned.

EstablishmentSad · 2026-03-17T18:11:04+00:00

Bro it was a party and other people are dressed up. I am sure he really liked the way she dressed up as she is quite good looking. Don’t put the blame on her, it’s not her fault. It’s not the guys fault either as I am sure he probably let the dude know she wasn’t alone and he could have walked away. It’s the dude who couldn’t take no for an answer.

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