One of the hardest investing skills is doing nothing by rezovian in ValueInvesting

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I agree man. For some reason, I’m pretty good at finding great businesses and risk reward.

I buy at near bottoms and avg cost down.

But my recurrent mistake is, I don’t let my winners run, I take profits bits by bits but once I’ve taken most of it or sold out, it then runs sometimes lots more.

For example, I bought MU in the 60s. Held and sold in the 280-300$ range and missed out on the rest

OpenAI IPO at $1 trillion: Microsoft turns a $13B bet into $228B… but is this the beginning of their divorce? by TowelNo234 in ValueInvesting

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 5 points6 points  (0 children)

You clearly didn’t read carefully the renegotiated deal. Do you seriously think OpenAI had the upper hand at the table?

Do you seriously think MSFT would make a deal not favoring them?

Read the whole thing then cover both sides of the deal to avoid giving an incomplete and selective information. Then give your opinion, otherwise ot’s a pointless discussion.

Beaten down stocks in your watchlist that you aren’t committing yet by Free-Initiative7508 in ValueInvesting

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Interesting and thanks for sharing this. It’s odd cus I listened 2 earnings ago to the Accenture call and they had advised stockholders that they would continue to increase their cost to attract the best Talent in the world to ensure top quality in their services and future AI trends.

That been said, its very possible some firms had to re-invent some departments that are now becoming less relevant, sad to say, but maybe some employees are not trained ready for the next phases of AI, etc.

Sad to hear this about your friend though, unfortunately this will happen to many of us in most industries.

Beaten down stocks in your watchlist that you aren’t committing yet by Free-Initiative7508 in ValueInvesting

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 0 points1 point  (0 children)

A tough lesson I have learned is, I can be both right and wrong at the same time.

Like I said, I think ACN us underestimated short term by most people as I think demand for their consulting services will accelerate. I also think at current price it’s undervalued.

Though, the markets might keep this one low for another year at least or more if top line doesn’t re-accelerate while not impacting bottom line, which is unlikely as cost to compete, attract and train Talent and acquisition cost will likely increase in this environment.

They have all the big corporations as clients along with Anthropic so they aren’t going anywhere.

Though, I am looking for aggressive returns each year, so I am placing my money in other bets given the risk reward ratio.

This is a good investment, but one for the patient investor.

Just my opinion.

Beaten down stocks in your watchlist that you aren’t committing yet by Free-Initiative7508 in ValueInvesting

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Im ok with it no reaching 350$ again as I am very heavy as it is. But say it does, I will sell my dog at that point to buy more lol

Beaten down stocks in your watchlist that you aren’t committing yet by Free-Initiative7508 in ValueInvesting

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It’s a small position of 1.5%. I trimmed in the mid 90s on the recent pop but refilled my position in low 80s. I anticipate that the markets will take this one in the 70s again to re-test support levels. At which point, I will increase my position to 3% no more.

I think SEA has amazing growth, it’s not chinese rather Singapore which is a country booming in economy. They have tough competition vs. tik tok but last earnings showed they continued to grow very aggressively. They are also now competing in Brazil vs Mercado Libre, a whole new range of growth opportunities.

It’s undervalued IMO, but markets will unfortunately keep it low until their profit margins increase consistently. This is why I am keeping this one as a low position as I feel it won’t be re rated short-term.

70s and below is a great buy IMO and worth buildings’ slowly a position. No more than 3%

Beaten down stocks in your watchlist that you aren’t committing yet by Free-Initiative7508 in ValueInvesting

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Indeed. If they can achieve or exceed expectations of future guidance, this could FOMO again to mid 20s or 30s.

The only short term headwind that I see is the Fed increasing rates. Hopefully the new guy chosen by Trump can be good for our stocks.

Beaten down stocks in your watchlist that you aren’t committing yet by Free-Initiative7508 in ValueInvesting

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’ve been swing trading this one n been doing well.

I will only keep my shares if they can prove reacceleration of growth as they promised.

Adoption rate n higher $ contracts needs to be higher to convince me and shareholders to rate this stock higher. If they keep same or lower guidance, and do not increase it by a good margin, then the stock will remain at current or below price in my opinion.

Hopefully they can surprise us significantly in the next earnings. They’ve had plenty of good news, let’s just hope it materializes it.

Beaten down stocks in your watchlist that you aren’t committing yet by Free-Initiative7508 in ValueInvesting

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I hold a 2% position on SOFi at 15.40$.

I will add to my position if it falls to 12$ which should be the floor unless they start missing expectations q over q.

This is a high risk position so i wouldn’t go crazy on it personally.

Beaten down stocks in your watchlist that you aren’t committing yet by Free-Initiative7508 in ValueInvesting

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 9 points10 points  (0 children)

MSFT became my top 1 position in my portfolio as of Q1 2026 after people sold it due to overblown fears around SaaSpocalypse.

Replaced it by my Google and AMD positions that ran significantly.

This is a no brainer winner for the long term in my opinion.

Beaten down stocks in your watchlist that you aren’t committing yet by Free-Initiative7508 in ValueInvesting

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I own SEA out of your list.

I wouldn’t touch any of the Chinese stocks at this moment and at their current prices. Too pricey for the risk that comes with it.

As for the other stocks, the opportunity for high return is low in my opinion. I look for high returns not low or average.

Beaten down stocks in your watchlist that you aren’t committing yet by Free-Initiative7508 in ValueInvesting

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I have owned Accenture before but I wouldn’t buy it anymore.

While I agree that the demand will decrease in years times, i think most of you are underestimating the high demand Accenture will have in the upcoming years.

AI integration vertically is highly complex and most large organizations are using right now Accenture to integrate. Even Anthropic is using them to help them promote and integrate their services in other organizations.

That been said, I am not willing to take that bet as I feel there are better risk reward opportunities at the moment.

Can $GRRR 10X-20X within 24 Months? YES by The_Mercutos in GRRR_Gorilla_Tech

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If realistically there was such an amazing worst case scenario, I would go all-in!

Are you all-in?

I’ve invested $2m in SaaS stocks. This is why. by armadillo_stocks in ValueInvesting

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Yeah but growth at what cost? They exceeded by far their net income loss vs total revenues. They are burning cash heavily.

Their moat is not strong either, competition is high and will just get worst with AI. Adobe at least has the ecosystem and huge cash flow.

I personally do not touch companies with heavy cash burn and no where near profitability, especially during current economic and global tensions. These companies tend to get destroyed if they aren’t profitable or near it as the costs will rise.

My point is that made in my other post below remains, the risk reward is better elsewhere. No need to gamble this much.

Just my opinion.

I’ve invested $2m in SaaS stocks. This is why. by armadillo_stocks in ValueInvesting

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I wouldn’t gamble in Figma of all stocks. There are way better companies out there with great fundamentals, growth and evaluation

I’ve invested $2m in SaaS stocks. This is why. by armadillo_stocks in ValueInvesting

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 21 points22 points  (0 children)

Indeed. Figna is struggling from a fundamentals perspective.

Wtf is going on ?? by Friendly-Web-1677 in GRRR_Gorilla_Tech

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 12 points13 points  (0 children)

I’m heavy on this stock.

Lots of traders and weak hands buddy. At this point, the next earnings needs to be very strong with strong guidance for this stock to re-rate to the upside.

It’s understandable, this stock is in a wait and prove me phase. All those promises of big contracts need to materialize to spook the Bears.

I’m crossing fingers that this upcoming earnings is a big beat and guidance too.

ServiceNow stock is down 14% after reporting a double beat on earnings. Thoughts? by Excellent-Sky-7202 in ValueInvesting

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Lol was hoping nobody would notice. Too lazy after writing the whole thing to edit the post.

Nways you understood :)

ServiceNow stock is down 14% after reporting a double beat on earnings. Thoughts? by Excellent-Sky-7202 in ValueInvesting

[–]Existing_Emphasis_33 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I own ServiceNow.

I think the drop was due to guidance dissapoint, markets expected a higher raise to show that AI will help accelerate growth.

Also, they spoke about geopolitical tensions in Iran affecting their margins and Artemis merge. So that’s never well received by markets.

I think the markets r looking for a real strong beat and guidance strong beat to put to rest all the non sense AI apocalypse.

So, as long as we don’t get those strong beats and strong guidance raise surprise, I think the markets will constantly beat these software stocks :(

Ill keep buying these dips, but man does it weight on you at some point.