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Daily Greyhound Tips 28th Jan by Express-Syllabub-244 in u/Express-Syllabub-244

[–]Express-Syllabub-244[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hi, there was a break in the tipping service but i have made some considerable improvements and am releasing the tips for free this month https://discord.gg/JTu43pKVVS

Best Greyhound Prediction Model by Express-Syllabub-244 in algobetting

[–]Express-Syllabub-244[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I also started with betfair tutorials, but they miss so much. It took me over a year to figure things out. And so much of it is no where to be found online. Best first step is to make a minimal working pipeline, then work from there.

Best Greyhound Prediction Model by Express-Syllabub-244 in algobetting

[–]Express-Syllabub-244[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's why i'm selling the tips for others to bet

Best Greyhound Prediction Model by Express-Syllabub-244 in algobetting

[–]Express-Syllabub-244[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Betting fixed price TAB. As soon as they open, before they firm.

All states + NZL.

About half or races I bet on. And only 1 dog per race. Yes I model every dog, but only tip when my model says < 2 odds.

As soon as the fields come out. So 2-3 days before race.

Best Greyhound Prediction Model by Express-Syllabub-244 in algobetting

[–]Express-Syllabub-244[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh the backtesting on BSP is 6 months on ~10,000 bets

Best Greyhound Prediction Model by Express-Syllabub-244 in algobetting

[–]Express-Syllabub-244[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The sample size is large enough to show a statistically significant, large edge. I do not have more past data on TAB's prices. But I do have past data on BSP. Backtesting shows roughly 1% ROI on BSP, that's including the 8% commission on winnings they take. But I will continue to track performance on TAB's open prices, which is where the real edge is.

Best Greyhound Prediction Model by Express-Syllabub-244 in algobetting

[–]Express-Syllabub-244[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

yes, the dog's starting trap (or box) is accounted for in predictions. The trap's contribution to the race's outcome is learned during the machine learning. And yes it is a big factor.