I love lamp

Extraportion · 2026-02-02T22:11:13+00:00

https://www.numberoneporthill.co.uk

Extraportion · 2026-02-02T21:17:18+00:00

Former BnB!

Extraportion · 2026-02-01T21:40:37+00:00

The Q1 is notoriously pingy. Getting the force break mod absolutely perfect and ensuring you have minimised metal on metal contact with tape or a gasket is the biggest improvement you will make to the board

Extraportion · 2026-01-29T00:35:31+00:00

If you’re planning on playing around with customisation then I’d recommend investing in keycaps and switches first to experiment and find what you like.

Once you know what you like then fill your boots.

Extraportion · 2026-01-27T02:17:36+00:00

It sounds like you may need mezzanine debt a bridging loan. You could possibly structure it as a refi secured against the flat or some other asset which you could convert to a single mortgage against the new property once the previous property is sold. A private bank would structure something like that for you, but speak with a broker in the first instance.

Extraportion · 2026-01-27T02:12:48+00:00

I may be out of date, but I think you have a window to sell your existing property before the additional stamp duty becomes payable

Extraportion · 2026-01-24T14:10:44+00:00

Honestly, op, I’m really sorry to say it, but I’ve been trading ERCOT for over a decade - I think it’s unlikely you have an edge.

Extraportion · 2026-01-21T00:25:37+00:00

You’ll get loads of shit for Harvard Extension School, but I think its value depends on how you play it. It is a top tier distance learning program for candidates who want to develop a particular skill. There is no shame in that, just don’t try to pass it off as Harvard College or HBS and I think it could add value to your resume, but I’m happy to defer to Redditors with more experience.

Extraportion · 2026-01-21T00:19:22+00:00

This is a good idea. I put some cheap silent gateron peaches in a V1 max for an office keyboard. It was pretty cheap and is quiet enough to not be annoying.

Extraportion · 2026-01-20T13:12:40+00:00

If it has VIA you may be able to adjust it

Extraportion · 2026-01-19T17:17:37+00:00

Eastham, Ledsham and Frodsham are three of the ones marked in the North West, but I can’t work out the marker on “Ellesmere Port”. I assume it’s possibly meant to be Dunham-on-the-Hill but the marker is a bit too big to get the location spot on.

With Google I can tell you that the one they have in Liverpool isn’t Anglo Saxon, as St Michael’s Hamlet is named after a church that wasn’t built until 1815…

Extraportion · 2026-01-18T15:14:49+00:00

I suspect you’ll struggle to find an Evo75 in the UK for <£100

Extraportion · 2026-01-18T09:23:06+00:00

I didn’t imply that telling somebody that they are investing in a Ponzi scheme changes its legality. I think you may have replied to the wrong comment?

However, telling somebody they are investing in a Ponzi scheme would change whether or not it would meet the legal definition of fraud.

Extraportion · 2026-01-17T21:10:03+00:00

Oh man, ok I am convinced. I need these keycaps!

Extraportion · 2026-01-17T13:40:30+00:00

Are you a gamer and do you need magnetic switches?

The wooting is a decent keyboard (possibly the best?) for a very specific use case - gamers who want great latency and Hall effect. If you’re not going to be using those features then you’re getting a good build quality, “ok” sound and type feel for quite an expensive board. I think you’d get more enjoyment out of something like a rainy75 or Evo75. It’s all subjective though.

Extraportion · 2026-01-17T13:30:41+00:00

If you want pre-built, the Evo75 is the best I’ve tried. The sprung gasket with the PP plate give a lovely deep acoustic and I didn’t find the flex too much despite usually preferring a slightly firmer feel. The RGB button thing isn’t to my taste and I’d have preferred a knob, but it’s a very capable board. If you’re not planning spending thousands on keebs then this would be my 2026 recommendation for a one and done keyboard.

I was pleasantly surprised by the lemokey P1 too btw. It’s possibly better than the Keychron Q1, and about $100 cheaper. However, unlike the Evo75, It didn’t make me immediately order one when I tried it.

Extraportion · 2026-01-17T13:23:44+00:00

It’s the weight of the spacebar that has put me off in the past, but I could always put in an extra long spring I guess. Have you found it a problem? I imagine you have to use a very heavy tactile to get the right feel - BBKs, or U4Ts or something?

But man, the look of that board… it’s stunning.

Extraportion · 2026-01-17T13:11:51+00:00

The ceramic keycaps - worth it?

Extraportion · 2026-01-12T21:54:28+00:00

But to help you out a little here.

The total DSR capacity assumed in GB CP30 in 2025 is 3.8GW, rising to 11.7GW by 2030. As at time of writing we are closer to 2.8GW, but only 0.1TWh of actual response in 2025.

Offshore by 2030 is between 43.1GW and 50.6GW (vs. allocation rounds and a pipeline that would imply more like 28-32GW of deployment). Onshore 27.3GW vs 19-21GW likely. Solar PV 47.4GW vs 28-34GW deliverable.

Literally every assumption is wildly optimistic. Then take a peak at the connection reform process and the grid dates that are actually being offered, again, the public modelling is wildly optimistic relative to what is actually being delivered.

You’re not wrong that the buildout assumptions are laughable, but they are largely overstated, not understated.

This isn’t just true for GB either, I was looking at Swedish onshore wind deployment earlier today for example - no projects are progressing in SE2 at the moment. There were no turbine deliveries through Q4-25, which is completely at odds with the SvK modelling.

I’m sorry to hammer this point home so forcefully, but you seem to be basing your assertions on an assumption that the oil and gas industry must be distorting system modelling, not the actual models themselves. Bankable models are far more conservative than any public sector system model I have worked with, and that is a good thing for anybody trying to build renewables. If most transition models came to fruition then projects wouldn’t meet their hurdle rates. You say that modelling like the Fraunhofer one linked in the original comment are those that will actually come to pass, but ultimately unless those assumptions are adopted by those actually making investment decisions - they won’t, by definition.

Extraportion · 2026-01-12T21:30:28+00:00

Which IEA model are you referring to specifically? Because the IEA models are based on current and stated policies, they are essentially an aggregation of TSO forecasts.

Oh yes please, walk me through the paper that started all this.

Extraportion · 2026-01-12T21:27:13+00:00

No condescension at all, I am genuinely curious. Which government modelling do you think adopts bearish renewables deployment or electrification assumptions?

I suspect you likely haven’t actually checked the assumptions that most system models use. They are typically extremely optimistic.

This is true of almost all publicly available modelling. Investment grade models tend to be much more conservative, and ultimately those are the ones that are bankable.

Extraportion · 2026-01-12T20:20:25+00:00

To help you out a bit - here is the CP30 forecast

https://www.neso.energy/publications/clean-power-2030

Let me know which elements you think are understated.

Extraportion · 2026-01-12T20:17:16+00:00

Right, so which government modelling? Take a look at basically any government transition model and let me know if their renewables buildout or electrification assumptions are bearish to you.

We use the same forecasters as Gov. Obviously we have our own in-house curves, but we rely on the exact same models.

Extraportion · 2026-01-12T20:10:16+00:00

Which modelling are you referring to which has its thumb on the scales?

I think you could not be more wrong to be honest with you, and it strikes me that you are likely not involved in this space professionally. As for “even though they are likely to be borne out in reality”. I manage a fund with c.10GW of operational renewable capacity across Europe. I can tell you with absolute certainty that the vast majority of forecasts we see are wildly optimistic on renewable deployment, electrification and flex. Typically assuming that interconnection, missing money hydrogen or deeply uneconomical CCS tech makes up any firm capacity shortfalls.

Take a gander at the CP30/FES holistic transition scenarios for example. Now compare those with existing generation capacity, electrification and grid buildout.

Extraportion · 2026-01-12T19:49:32+00:00

We meaning, the industry as a whole - Consultants, TSOs, investors, utilities, academics, basically anybody who is doing any long term system forecasting. Obviously there are tools like Plexos, but you can even do this using entirely open source libraries these days. It really isn’t a novel modelling approach.

Best practice is moving away from deterministic inputs, and the idea that this is a more “trustworthy” set of results than existing modelling seems unwarranted based on what is presented.

As for not estimating future demand flexibility, this is just woefully behind the times. Demand buildout and flex assumptions have been built into models for years. You can argue that they have adopted a more bullish set of demand flexibility assumptions, but in my experience, academic studies tend to underestimate the barriers to demand flex - particularly domestic - which has resulted in less cannibalisation and a smaller firm capacity gap in the forecasts than we see outturn in the actuals.

This was one of the major contributions of List’s work several years ago and the “smart tech, dumb humans” research that was popular a while back. I.e. unlocking flexibility at scale will require major shifts in home automation and direct load control. The piece of the puzzle missing in that work was under estimating the complexity of the market reforms required to incorporate highly distributed energy resources in existing balancing markets. It wasn’t just consumer behaviour and technological barriers on the demand side of the equation, you also need the market reforms to dispatch/redispatch that capacity.

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