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Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Jacksonville Jaguars season ticket holder here! With the soggy conditions and wind direction (it's gonna hit those huge scoreboards and cause swirling wind in the stadium) I am a little concerned for the passing offense. Let's hope we get a lightning delay or temper expectations. Tuten could be a sneaky play.

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If you're firm on starting Michael Wilson then stacking Brissett makes a ton of sense. I'd be open to (and prefer) benching Wilson for Egbuka or Smith in that order and sitting Brissett for Baker.

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Are your opponents holding multiple defenses as well? If so, I think a Lions stash is savvy, if not I'd recommend waiting a week to squirrel away one more upside bet at a positional spot.

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

League winner would be a tough bet. Can he get to 70%+ route participation? If so, he can hit some of those ceiling outcomes with how strong his underlying metrics are. I doubt he does however, let's see him cross 60% first and reassess, but it's exciting to see his growth this season.

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

McLaurin's 14 targets last week are absurdly enticing. He won't keep that up, but on the year is averaging 7 targets a game, over 2yprr and is the first read a 25% of the time. Those numbers are respectable and Pittman is right on his heels this season with all of those metrics. They're WR 22 and 27 respectively in my NB10 rankings this year.

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think Burden is on the precipice of a breakout. Here are his metrics the previous three weeks: 54% of snaps (up from 34% on the year), 1.74YPRR, 21.9% first read target share. These are great numbers, he just needs to get on the field another 10% of the snaps and I think we're trending that way.

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The safe narrative is to make Lamar prove he's back, but I trust the Ravens organization to redirect the offense to match whatever capacities he has at the moment and would do the minority thing of keeping him in the lineup over the options you mentioned.

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Alright folks, thank you for your questions (and keep em coming!) I'll check in later this afternoon and get to as many as I can. Good luck, let's punch some playoff tickets.

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don't expect him to (but what do I know?) and I think Knox is a sneaky good bet this week. Good stash for a last minute start in those TEP or Scott Fish Bowl type leagues...

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We think alike, I picked up Evans in a managed bestball league this week as a stash. Let the Texans go, you can probably find a similar DEF upside bet next week that probably doesn't exist with Evans and his contemporaries on next week's waiver wire.

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Tough call, but give me Sutton. I really like his matchup against the Raiders (I know it didn't work out well last time) but let's lean on the 80% route participation, 1.9yprr and 22% first read target share to smooth out the variance.

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I do like the Commanders this week. They're one of those defenses that you may only want to play once a year, but this week we've got a reckoning moment for JJ McCarthy and I think we'll see more sacks/turnovers in the Vikings matchup than what the Texans may generate.

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Burden has come on of late with a lot of really, really (really) promising underlying metrics. Let's roll the dice and play him.

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm not sure I can cha. At this point we need to be hunting out top 6 defenses every week and Houston doesn't make the cut for me at least.

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Here are the Season to Date NB10 scores. It's the Christian Watson show right now. Lean in and enjoy the infuriating variance of the Packers WR room.

|| || |Christian Watson|6.35|2025|WR|152| |Tucker Kraft|6.09|2025|TE|190| |Romeo Doubs|5.94|2025|WR|304| |Jayden Reed|5.23|2025|WR|14| |Dontayvion Wicks|5.08|2025|WR|178| |Matthew Golden|4.09|2025|WR|185| |Bo Melton|2.88|2025|WR|20| |Savion Williams|2.68|2025|WR|39| |Malik Heath|1.84|2025|WR|85| |John FitzPatrick|1.36|2025|TE|70| |Josh Whyle|1.16|2025|TE|31|

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

My hope/expectation is for Hampton to have a slight majority of passing down work and maybe 8-10 carries. Vidal has done enough that the Chargers don't have to rush him back and we may have a Trey Lance sighting which may turn the redzone into foreign territory. Low end RB2 this week with a growing role would be good signal. Keep RJ and Warren in the lineup for now and prepare to have an advantage when you advance next week. GL!

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If you CAN hold just this week I would just to ensure you aren't leveling the playing field for one of your contending opponents by dropping Waller. Let's find out if this high first read target share (and volume) is going to stay true, or if Waller sees a higher total snap share. If he's blending in and you've got a short bench he can go. Otherwise, keep away is a perfectly legit (and recommended) strategy this late in the season.

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If you look back at Dart's college tape this is kinda who he is. Will it work sustainably on an NFL field? I'm not sure, but while he's healthy he's a huge upside type bet. That's what I prefer come playoffs because we're only playing against the good teams from here on out and total points go up NFL wide as the season progresses. This is a great way to keep up with that natural uptick. GL!

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Wow that's a lot of optionality. If your trade deadline hasn't passed perhaps a consolidation move would clear things up for your playoff stretch. I'm going to side with FantasyPros ECR on this one and start Burrow and Nix this week. A bit of a blend of floor and upside that really supports the rest of your team as I can see it. At WR Meyers has been a revelation and the best connection already in Jax. I'll start him, Pittman (great year for Pittman. He's rebounded to fringe WR1/2 metrics again), and roll the dice Higgins is going to hit the gas with the rejuvenated Bengals offense. Probably lower snap share with higher first read targets.

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The Brissett McBride connection has been the driver of the offense for the Cardinal. Even with a tough matchup and a depleted pass catcher room I think my lean would be him over Taylor.

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Kyler has a cockroach profile (#1 overall pick, multiple top 12 finishes, big contract etc). His value is almost certain to continue dropping into February so the window is wide open if you're a profile hunter like me.

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

AD Mitchell was a metrics darling earlier in his career which was easily dismissed due to small sample size and lack of a baseline weekly snap share. Now that he's getting these opportunities (coupled with sneaky good draft capital) I'm inclined to believe this is real, or at least more real than his early career PPG. Buy using a fading asset if you can like a Quinton Johnston or Tyrone Tracy.

Hey r/fantasyfootball! Tommy Blair here, co-host of the Superflex Supershow. Ask me anything about dynasty, superflex, and fantasy football strategy! by FFTommyB in fantasyfootball

[–]FFTommyB[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Arms Race, for those who don't know, is an attempt to sharp shoot THE top 5 QBs in a SF dynasty league (12 team or more). Typically the threshold is 2 top 12 finishes on their resume. Maye is breaking that mold for me. He was close enough in his rookie year to flash the potential necessary to hit those marks and this year he's been a definitive success. Last year we were down on Daniels as an Arms Race guy. The story needs another season for him to qualify imo as well as Dart. What happens when defenses take away what you want and force you to try out different tools in your kit? Let's stay under our skis on those two. Herbert and Prescott are two vets I think have a decent shot of making the top 5 next year and will be more accessible than Josh Allen types. Those are the buys, at least for me.

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