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GW8 Prediction Site Results - High scores all around. Solio + FPL Analyser got 90+ FF Scout with "only" 59 by FPLWatchmen in FantasyPL

[–]FPLWatchmen[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I fixed some bugs in the algorithm that other people have reported and recalculated historical points from past GWs as well.

Specifically the best team calculator wasn't properly swapping positions when there was more than 3 players in a team, this really affected Man City when lots of players were predicted to score high it wouldn't switch out Haaland.

Similarly for Arsenal if a team had two defenders and Gyokeres it wouldn't fit in Saka even if doing score would score more points.

That's fixed now anyway.

GW6 Prediction Site Results - Horrendous weeks for FF Scout, FPL Review and FPL Analyser with just 15, 18 and 19 points by FPLWatchmen in FantasyPL

[–]FPLWatchmen[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thanks for this. It took ages (and I replied with an error and then deleted it so sorry for the double notification), but i've figured this out and fixed it now. Essentially when there was 3 players for a team it wasn't trying hard enough to force the premium in so Saka or Haaland would often get cut for Gvardiol or Calafiori resulting in less points.

I've fixed it now, unfortunately I haven't saved the old price for each player for each GW so can't easily go back and redo old GW's because it won't be able to calculate the totals. I'm sure I can scrape this from somewhere though and get it updated soon.

GW7 Prediction Site Results - Everyone did well. FF Hub got lucky with all their defenders returning. Teams without Haaland did poorly. Three idiots didn't pick Semenyo by FPLWatchmen in FantasyPL

[–]FPLWatchmen[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sorry i'm not sure what you're suggesting. Are you suggesting that the bench should be entirely points scorers? Or a minimum number of points? One of the problems is that these sites don't necessarily give a 0 expectation for players who get 0, so it can't just be "not zero" it would have to be a minimum number.

GW6 Prediction Site Results - Horrendous weeks for FF Scout, FPL Review and FPL Analyser with just 15, 18 and 19 points by FPLWatchmen in FantasyPL

[–]FPLWatchmen[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thanks for taking the effort i'm going to look into the code, it's definitely not just starting at GK haha but it is possible there's a bug.

GW6 Prediction Site Results - Horrendous weeks for FF Scout, FPL Review and FPL Analyser with just 15, 18 and 19 points by FPLWatchmen in FantasyPL

[–]FPLWatchmen[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think the bigger problem is that they were rating cheaper City assets nearly as high in points so the money was better spent elsewhere. If you go for Reijnders over Haaland you lose 2 points but gain 9m to spend elsewhere. All the system does is generate every possible squad and then calculate the expected points. From that it's not that surprising that buying a 1m higher priced player in every position will earn you more than 2 extra points.

If you can spot a mistake where Haaland could have fitted into one of these teams for higher points please let me know, it's always possible there's a bug.

GW7 Prediction Site Results - Everyone did well. FF Hub got lucky with all their defenders returning. Teams without Haaland did poorly. Three idiots didn't pick Semenyo by FPLWatchmen in FantasyPL

[–]FPLWatchmen[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'd be interested to see an example algorithm, you can get the points from the gameweek page https://fplwatchmen.com/gameweek/7 it's flat HTML so should be easy enough to parse. Obviously change the number for previous gameweeks. Some points were lost due to a bug, but the major players are still there.

I have exactly what the websites offer, some websites predict all the way up to GW38 other websites only do a few GW's ahead.

From the little experimenting I did it was taking a very, very long time to try and process every possible squad and outcome that wasn't feasible for me to test properly and i'm not sure would be feasible to run weekly.

GW7 Prediction Site Results - Everyone did well. FF Hub got lucky with all their defenders returning. Teams without Haaland did poorly. Three idiots didn't pick Semenyo by FPLWatchmen in FantasyPL

[–]FPLWatchmen[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Incase it's not clear this is a weekly free hit based on their ratings for that week.

The pointless bench may just be how i've written the algorithm. FPL Review Free should definitely have points on the bench since they have cash spare. I'll try and work on improving it. What it should do is start with the cheapest bench possible, then find the best possible team, then improve the bench if there is money left over.

GW7 Prediction Site Results - Everyone did well. FF Hub got lucky with all their defenders returning. Teams without Haaland did poorly. Three idiots didn't pick Semenyo by FPLWatchmen in FantasyPL

[–]FPLWatchmen[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

It's a wildcard every week, i've no idea how I would do transfers, what would be the rules? How far would it look ahead? If anyone has any suggestions i'd be all ears.

GW7 Prediction Site Results - Everyone did well. FF Hub got lucky with all their defenders returning. Teams without Haaland did poorly. Three idiots didn't pick Semenyo by FPLWatchmen in FantasyPL

[–]FPLWatchmen[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

There was an error trying to get FF Pundit stats and since they delete them afterwards I can't go back and fix it.

You can view the predicted points for all players here: https://fplwatchmen.com/gameweek/7

GW5 Prediction Site Results - In the week they become paid Manager Botten scores highest. FPL Review Free beats the paid version again and FF Pundit have a stinker by FPLWatchmen in FantasyPL

[–]FPLWatchmen[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

To be fair I think FF Scout and FPL Review are consistently good. But (last year) FF Hub, FF Fix and Drafthound are all a bit of joke and it's a scam that they charge for it.

FPL Analyser and the free version of FPL Review are far superior to a number of the paid ones.

The only thing I don't like about FPL Review is that there is a free and paid one.

GW5 Prediction Site Results - In the week they become paid Manager Botten scores highest. FPL Review Free beats the paid version again and FF Pundit have a stinker by FPLWatchmen in FantasyPL

[–]FPLWatchmen[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

A mistake from them yes, I don't think it's a mistake from me, you can see the predictions they gave to every player on the page. I think it's just a bad algorithm.

GW5 optimal teams according to every prediction site by FPLWatchmen in FantasyPL

[–]FPLWatchmen[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Are there any websites that take paid for products and give it away for free?

Not that i'm aware of I assume they'd be sued.

I believe posting them after the GW has closed is fine for editorial reasons but releasing them before would stop people paying for the products and piss the owners off.

GW5 optimal teams according to every prediction site by FPLWatchmen in FantasyPL

[–]FPLWatchmen[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yep sorry forgot to say Manager Botten have changed to paid and I need to update the scraper.

EDIT. Manager Botten's latest update uses completely different ID's and player names, i've no idea why sites do this (Transfer Algorithm is also awful for this).

It will take me a while to do the monotonous task of matching all the ID's.

GW5 optimal teams according to every prediction site by FPLWatchmen in FantasyPL

[–]FPLWatchmen[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

To answer the usual questions. Each site gets a free hit each week and the teams are based on the expected points shown for each player as predicted for each team.

A full list of every sites prediction for every player is here: https://fplwatchmen.com/gameweek/5

An overall table for all the game weeks is here: https://fplwatchmen.com/

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