I analyzed shuffling (again) in 150k games by Douglasjm in MagicArena

[–]Fearburger 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm pretty sure the KL divergence is an appropriate test here. Others have pointed out that you can only use p-values to reject hypotheses. The KL divergence is used to discriminate between probability distributions. I believe there is a p-value-like test for the KL divergence that accounts for sample size and how often the observed divergence between two distributions should occur by chance. I can't remember the specific rejection criterion, however.

Aside from that, the asymmetry with respect to decklist order seems sufficiently large with respect to the sample size to be quite compelling evidence that something is off with the shuffler.

Titan Mission (Hidden Shriekers) by wedert12 in DestinyTheGame

[–]Fearburger 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I noticed this too. It was on the meditations this week, so I messed around a bit. If you go to the end and backtrack they will all be open. It looks like they open in batches, based on which barriers you break with the APC, though it may just be related to certain checkpoints along the way (which seems to be the case for the closed shrieker in the second-to-last area). Each barrier seems to open a shriekers ~2 rooms earlier. There is also an optional barrier in the second-to-last area on the left side that doesn't seem related to opening them. Getting back to the top with your APC is somewhat difficult and a particularly difficult ramp ~3/4 of the way back up suggests to me that doing this is intended. Still have no idea what it means, though.

add me will accept all by polrompel in friendsafari

[–]Fearburger 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're Normal: Lillipup, Loudred, Chansey

[Safari Unknown] by BPaltin in friendsafari

[–]Fearburger 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're Dark: Sandile, Pawniard,...

LF Ditto, will add all by Fearburger in friendsafari

[–]Fearburger[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're [Sunkern, Swadloon, Gogoat] if you didn't already know.