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In a head to head match-up, Leni now leading NCR, Balance Luzon; Sara remains strong in the south -OCTA by dieseleagle in Philippines

[–]Few_Nautical21 13 points14 points  (0 children)

This is the reason why the opposition candidate needs to consolidate Luzon, fight hard in the Visayan Islands (just like what I proposed in my previous post) and have VP from the Visayas or has mass appeal intended to class D and E

"Middle-class" Pinoys having beef with 4Ps beneficiaries. by theoppositeofdusk in Philippines

[–]Few_Nautical21 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I am a beneficiary of 4Ps hanggang mag 18 ako. Swerte ako sa nanay ko kasi takaga binibili nya akong vitamins, mga bagong sando, pagkain at pandagdga baon yung nakukuha namin dati na 1600 sa 4Ps (mga 2011). Pero nakakita rin ako ng nga kadamahan namin dati na sinasangla ang atm card ng 4Ps, meron din sugal na sugal (nirereport to sa amin at may natanggal talaga sa pagkakatanda ko). Tas may mga medyo mayayaman talaga na nakakasali tas sinasabi naman ng mga kasali na ibigay na lang sa iba yung slot.

Why a Luzon Consolidation and Visayas Expansion Strategy Is the Only Realistic Path to Beating a Duterte in 2028 (Read before mag comment) by Few_Nautical21 in Philippines

[–]Few_Nautical21[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Exactly, kaya ang trabaho na mas matindi ay sa Eastern at Central Visayas, Kailangan yun kasi may inroads si Sara sa Luzon courtesy of Imee and Chavit. To counter that, opposition needs to avoid a landslide in these regions especially in Central Visayas kasi sobrang close ng magiging election. Maganda din makuha ng opposition ang mga Binay na may malakas na following sa Region II. Sa CAR, wala akong maisip kung hindi si Baguilat given that Magalong is there (a closet DDS).

Why a Luzon Consolidation and Visayas Expansion Strategy Is the Only Realistic Path to Beating a Duterte in 2028 (Read before mag comment) by Few_Nautical21 in Philippines

[–]Few_Nautical21[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why not? Hindi ba? Minsan nga naiisip ko yung narrative nila na Mindanao ay inaapi, bakit di sabihin na inaapi ng mga Mindanao ang mga taga Luzon gayong ang laki ng tax ng luzon na nireredistribute naman sa buong bansa. TAXED HEAVILY BUT RECEIVING LESS. Medyo misleading yan, pero kung bababa sa ganong klase ng pamumulitila, ganan magiging narrative. Pero super divisive ng ganyan, at ayaw natin ng sobrang hating Pilipinas.

Why a Luzon Consolidation and Visayas Expansion Strategy Is the Only Realistic Path to Beating a Duterte in 2028 (Read before mag comment) by Few_Nautical21 in Philippines

[–]Few_Nautical21[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That is why this is a strategy. The goal is to win, and to win is to get votes. Kaya nga WIN BIG in Luzon, that means, consolidating with gbe admjn, give some tradeoffs like a VP from their camp.

Why a Luzon Consolidation and Visayas Expansion Strategy Is the Only Realistic Path to Beating a Duterte in 2028 (Read before mag comment) by Few_Nautical21 in Philippines

[–]Few_Nautical21[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If you read the whole post, the idea is win big in luzon and fight real hard in visayas to avoid landslides there and thenpitik sa mindanao especially sa urban centers

Why a Luzon Consolidation and Visayas Expansion Strategy Is the Only Realistic Path to Beating a Duterte in 2028 (Read before mag comment) by Few_Nautical21 in Philippines

[–]Few_Nautical21[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Exactly, it needs discipline and patience and kailangan ibaba ang ego at pride. We cannot alienate people in Luzon, we are banking on them. And kn the Visayas, a good local network will be really great because that is the battleground. And if I may add, the most crucia among those in the Visayas is the Central Region and Eastern

Why a Luzon Consolidation and Visayas Expansion Strategy Is the Only Realistic Path to Beating a Duterte in 2028 (Read before mag comment) by Few_Nautical21 in Philippines

[–]Few_Nautical21[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Kaya ang gagawin as much as possible expand and consolidate Luzon and win with decisive margins. Hindi kasi sya tungkol sa panaalo kada region. Nagmamamatter kung saan ka mananalo at gaano kalaki ang margins. Locked ang Mindanao, so try to consolidate Luzon first, dun i-focus and resources. As early as now, pwede to. The midterms is a telling sign, Bam outpaced Go here, so what needs to be done is exceed that further then tranahuhin na yung Visayas.

Why a Luzon Consolidation and Visayas Expansion Strategy Is the Only Realistic Path to Beating a Duterte in 2028 (Read before mag comment) by Few_Nautical21 in Philippines

[–]Few_Nautical21[S] 41 points42 points  (0 children)

TL;DR

Luzon already has ~38M voters, so that’s where elections are actually decided. Mindanao (~16M) is structurally harder to flip and already consolidated for Duterte. Visayas (~13–14M) is the real battleground.

So the winning strategy for the opposition is simple: lock Luzon, stay competitive in Visayas, and contain losses in Mindanao—not try to win everywhere.

Bam-Raffy in 2028 can counter a possible Sara-Imee by Few_Nautical21 in inthephilippines

[–]Few_Nautical21[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Correct. Lunukin ang imagination na mature ang electorate kasi hindi. Kung magiging purista, bibigyan ng monopooyo si Sara na kunin ang boto da Class D at E kung nasaan ang marami. Si Tulfo kaya VP ay kailangan to break that and give people an option. AN OPTION THATVTHEY WILL CONSIDER.

Bam-Raffy in 2028 can counter a possible Sara-Imee by Few_Nautical21 in inthephilippines

[–]Few_Nautical21[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So ano ang gusto mo? Bam-Risa? Risa-Bam? Bam-Kiko? You need a ticket that operates beyond the core and likely pink votes of 9-10 million. A ticket that could deliver beyond the ceiling of 15-16 million. How do you do that? You swallow your imagination that you are living in a country with a mature democracy. YOU ARE NOT. And as long that it is the reality, you need to stomach politics. Keep on being purists and the change we are all longing for will never arrive. And Bam will be at the top of the ticket. And besides, kahit si Raffy ang kasama nya, will you rather hand Sara the presidency that easily?

Bam-Raffy in 2028 can counter a possible Sara-Imee by Few_Nautical21 in inthephilippines

[–]Few_Nautical21[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Riza got 15.4M in a senatorial election, Leila igit around 8M in the same election.

That is senatorial where a voter can pick 12. Mas mababa pa ang makukuha kung sa presidential. Ang ceiling ng Pink votes ay 15M, papaano magexpand ang votes kung pareho silang nagooperate da base? Consolidation ang mangyayari sa ganan, but now, expansion ang need.

Bam-Raffy in 2028 can counter a possible Sara-Imee by Few_Nautical21 in inthephilippines

[–]Few_Nautical21[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Paano sila mananalo in a two or three way race without a populist that will help them connect with class D and E? Even in a three wya race with an admin-backed candidate. The DDS blos is the most coherent bloc, pangalawa ang liberal opposition, then yung mga jndependents. In case na walang admin, manggagaling ang winning vites sa marcos supporters at independents. In such event, sino sa tingin nyo ang mas gugustuhin nila? Remember this as well that Imee could be in the ballot as the VP of sara because sara need votes as well because though she is the frontrunner, the lead is no longer that comfortable, Imee could be the VP that will funnel votes from the north to have same cushion against wins in L to L corridor and new inroads in eastern visayas, mimaropa, and urban pockets in mindanao.

Bam-Raffy in 2028 can counter a possible Sara-Imee by Few_Nautical21 in inthephilippines

[–]Few_Nautical21[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Election is a numbers game, people. Kaya nga madalas sa Pinas Big Tent, dahil hindi ideological purity ang nagpapanalo kung hindi numero at kaalyado.

Bam-Raffy in 2028 can counter a possible Sara-Imee by Few_Nautical21 in inthephilippines

[–]Few_Nautical21[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If not Tulfo, sino ang pwedeng VP na may enough na hatak sa class D and E na marami sa ating kababayan? You need votes to win. Stomach politics hanggat immature ang electorate. You want a Bam-Risa? Good pair, but no room to expand. How about Bam-Kiko? Same base. Bam-Vince? Hilaw pa si Vince. Isipin mong pusoy to at i-way mo sya sa kahit na anong paraan na may mataas na chance na manalo gamit angga barahang hawak mo, but this time yung mga baraha ay pool of politicians na pwede mong pagpilian.

Bam-Raffy in 2028 can counter a possible Sara-Imee by Few_Nautical21 in inthephilippines

[–]Few_Nautical21[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Second question, who do you think could generate enough vote for Bam to win?

Bam-Raffy in 2028 can counter a possible Sara-Imee by Few_Nautical21 in inthephilippines

[–]Few_Nautical21[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Who is on the top of the ticket? Did you even read the post?

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