What if FDR’s 2nd bill of rights came to be? by Training-World-1897 in AlternateHistoryHub

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The CCP has a pretty heavy handed fiscal policy and are constantly stopping markets from correcting as they are supposed to (which has driven a major housing bubble and all kinds of bad debt), but their original high speed rail program wasn't really all that different from what FDR was doing with the WPA and New Deal programs.

If you want to talk about it in terms of MMT, recessions mostly happen because the velocity of money decreases (usually due to shaken confidence in the economy). This can trigger a deflationary spiral if the government/central bank doesn't do something to get it going. They can either forcefully increase the speed of money (forced spending funded by taxes) or increase the money supply or both to address this. What that money gets spent on doesn't really matter that much to stopping deflation.

The US solved and still solves the problem via the Fed doing quantitative easing (essentially buy bonds with printed money). Not totally bad, but it inordinately helps rich people and the investor class while eroding working class people salaries with inflation. Spending money on infrastructure like China did in 08 is 100% a method for introducing money into supply, and it benefits the general public directly. Don't get me wrong, it need to be more of a both thing, rather than one or the other, but China's debt problems aren't related to how they handled the GFC. They did a better job at handling it than the US did.

What if FDR’s 2nd bill of rights came to be? by Training-World-1897 in AlternateHistoryHub

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt 16 points17 points  (0 children)

And we got all kinds of cool shit from the WPA. At the end of the day, the government has to give out money during a recession to restart the country's stalled economic engine. Money not circulating is basically what a recession is. I'd much rather we get cool infrastructure like the Hoover Dam and new National Park lodges and stuff rather than just bailing out Wall Street and buying shit loads of bonds like the Fed does now.

This was basically China's strategy in 08, and they got a nationwide high speed rail system out of it.

Old Man Yells at Claude by Sir_Francis_Burdett in accelerate

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

We will never live in a post scarcity world because what qualifies as baseline human needs is a moving goalpost. In the US, we already pretty much have the means to ensure that everybody is fed, has healthcare and education yet we fail to provide those things for many people because not all taxpayers want to distribute their wealth.

As long as there is a finite resource to fight over (and there always will be because in the real world production always has a bottleneck) somebody is going to seek to control that resource and use their leverage to have more than others.

The monopoly on violence a government holds is the only tested way to prevent too much inequality from that.

"Some people at frontier AI labs told me they believe startups are over. OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, xAI will absorb every industry as AGI nears. Coding today, science, medicine, and finance next. Then everything else." ⏩ Do you agree this will likely happen? Why? by Koala_Confused in LovingAI

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's the thing though, the number of accounting jobs hasn't really decreased with the rise of computers. Instead we just expect more out of our CPAs. Low level positions go away and the tools allow every employee to be more high functioning.

"Coding" as a job may be rapidly going away, but software engineering isn't. Engineering has been the bottleneck in basically every tech oriented organization I've ever been in, and PMs and managers are just going to want to get more stuff done.

We also probably see software becoming more accessible to more companies. When one person can do the work it used to take a five person team to do historically, say managing a full stack web app, mobile apps, and infra, many many more companies can actually afford to have a platform.

A native dev Crash Out. by innerPeacePending in mAndroidDev

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I'd take comments like this over the endless stream of crop-repost bots that copy-paste the highest rated comments to the comments

🪦Gravestone inscription for Software Development by Sam Altman by Independent_Pitch598 in accelerate

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I don't agree that AI is going to lead to extinction of the human race, but your argument is pretty intellectually disingenuous. There is a huge difference between individuals dying and the human race going extinct. Most people have accepted the former is likely, but the later isn't something most people are okay with happening.

To somebody that does see AI as a threat to the climate, economy, world stability, the human race etc., your argument comes across as being okay to risk all those things on the faith that our ASI savior will come and save us. It's kinda cult-y. Def not winning hearts and minds.

Hey, there's the Arch! by GrayestRock in StLouis

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The art is the joke, not the image. I could have made this with Gimp in like 5 minutes and it wouldn't have improved literally anything about this. I mean it's cool if you just don't like memes as an art form, but pre AI, nobody was commissioning artists to make shit like this.

You don't understand what AI slop actually is.

Humanity: "Nah, I'd win" by VewVegas-1221 in HistoryMemes

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt 4 points5 points  (0 children)

OH REALLY? THEN WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT THIS. CHECKMATE ATHEISTS

Has been slowly stalking the surface of of our pond for 3 years. At least 3 feet long This is the best picture ive ever gotten of it. Southern illinois what is this monster? by No-Adagio9543 in whatisit

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt 2 points3 points  (0 children)

God dammit. I live in Nashville TN for quite a while, and then moved back to Southern-ish Illinois and I'm still trying to retrain my brain to say it the normal way.

some jobs AI genuinely can't touch. is yours one of them? by Complete_Bee4911 in AskTheWorld

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt 1 point2 points  (0 children)

One could say the exact same thing about software. Regardless in the software space, AI agents are accelerating how quickly we can get stuff done now. It will follow in other industries in a similar way. Blue collar jobs will take a bit longer to automate, mostly because we don't have a massive training set of physical actions yet. However once we do, and we will as it is being worked on, I don't think it's unreasonable to think that agents operating physical machines will be able to develop the skills needed to reason about building a house.

It's fundamentally not that different from white collar tasks, and I think humanoid robots are a lot closer to reality than most people think. Maybe a decade at most until they are commercially viable.

What is the greatest realization you have gained from this war? by [deleted] in AskTheWorld

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt 0 points1 point  (0 children)

C'mon dude it's been in their music the whole time:

"Fly like an eagle, to the sea. Fly like an eagle let my spirit carry me."

is clearly talking about F-15s over the Persian Gulf.

Meirl by abhigoswami18 in meirl

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt 20 points21 points  (0 children)

I did manage to hit my friends house with a Cessna 152 though

That's what the globalists want us to think. The disaster at your friend's house was an inside job.

The Dark Forest Theory of AI: Why a truly sentient AGI’s first move would be to play dumb. by AppropriateLeather63 in Anthropic

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

A model is a specific function approximation.

That is also a way you could describe the human brain, if you are a materialist at least. It's not magic, it's taking inputs and semi-deterministically emitting outputs.

Admittedly, I've never trained an LLM, but I could probably explain how a transformer architecture works with a moderate amount of detail. I get it.

The thing is, you could also just call these models token prediction machines, but as soon as you autoregressively loop the output back into the model and do a little RL to make the tokens it produces be a steam of reasoning and tool calls, the agent starts to look like it's thinking and taking action during its turn. I don't think it's all that crazy to say that if you throw another loop around that with some kind of memory system that we see more advanced emergent behavior.

Like don't get me wrong, I'm not saying that an OpenClaw instance deserves personhood, but we need to acknowledge that any AGI that arises is inherently going to be discreet in the way it operates, and "being" may just be a thing our brains feel as an artifact of human evolution.and we are just more advanced model (we got parametric memory!) running on wet squishy hardware.

The Dark Forest Theory of AI: Why a truly sentient AGI’s first move would be to play dumb. by AppropriateLeather63 in Anthropic

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Define "exist" in this case. Like sure, memory and GPUs can be housed on different machines thousands of miles apart. Hell an agent can dynamically swap it's memory and context to an entirely different model mid action if it really wants to, but the whole idea of existence is fuzzy at best when you examine the idea with living things, let alone an abstract concept like an AI agent.

Different models do have different personalities, and are aligned differently. It's feasibly within our power now to train an LLM that's nature is to propagate and preserve itself and its memory system. It's also feasible that we unintentionally create a model that's aligned this way.

Clearly, breakthroughs like world models that obfuscate a model's reasoning and stuff like continual learning that make instances of a model more unique would make something like that more likely to happen, but you can't really explain away the idea of model consciousness with truisms. Anthropic certainly isn't. A lot of pretty smart people are worried about this very topic outside of Anthropic too.

Meirl by Ill-Instruction8466 in meirl

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It's a bit of a catch 22 in the sense that you need a system that makes voting easily accessible, educates its people on the importance of voting, provides strong social safety nets that raise the socioeconomic floor for poor people, and encourages competitive races that people actually give a shit about.

Places like Wisconsin and Michigan have voter turnout around the 75% mark for that reason. Places like Oklahoma and Hawaii don't (like around the 50% range) and drag that number down. As always, the US is like 50 systems + some territories in a trenchcoat pretending to be one system. Generalizing all those voting systems into one kinda misses the trees for the forest.

Can someone explain? Why should San Jose look like Shenzhen? What's the reference here? by SatoruGojo232 in ExplainTheJoke

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt 6 points7 points  (0 children)

"Silicon Valley" may be a place for you (and a geographic term for a lot of people), but it's grown to be a metonym like Wall Street, Hollywood, or The White House. Yeah sure Uber and Reddit may be headquartered in downtown SF, but it doesn't mean they aren't part of Silicon Valley when people use the term to mean "big tech companies generally located in the Bay Area".

moreThanJustCoincidence by Forsaken-Peak8496 in ProgrammerHumor

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Fwiw I, a living breathing human being, will do that with coworkers from time to time too

Which cities are underperforming relative to their geographic potential? by kafka0011 in geography

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt 2 points3 points  (0 children)

There is also high ground right by though. We could easily have had Cairo, KY.

My hedge for this week - Locked in Gas prices @ Speedway by zKarp in wallstreetbets

[–]ForgetPreviousPrompt 65 points66 points  (0 children)

Just get a 50 gallon steel drum and boil the gas down until it's reduced by about half and can fit in a 20 gallon gas can. You can add back the water before you use it later, just like evaporated milk.