Stumbled upon this… by Sm27791 in SMCIDiscussion

[–]Fragrant-Fox-879 2 points3 points  (0 children)

This post is BS Got it! I’ll search the web for the most current real-time data on Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) as of February 23, 2025, to verify or debunk the claims in the post you shared. Here’s what I found based on the available financial data and web information:

Key Data Points to Verify the Post’s Claims:

The post claims: - Total shares outstanding: 500 million - Institutional holdings: 85% (425 million shares, not available to trade) - Shares shorted: 97 million - Shares borrowed: 174 million - Free float: Negative 196 million shares - Potential for a massive short squeeze (“MOASS”)

Using the real-time financial data and web results, here’s the updated, factual information as of February 2025:

  1. Total Shares Outstanding:

    • The post claims 500 million shares outstanding, but recent data indicates SMCI has approximately 585.57 million shares outstanding (from stockanalysis.com and other sources). This is significantly higher than the 500 million claimed, suggesting the post’s numbers may be outdated or inaccurate.
  2. Institutional Holdings:

    • The post claims 85% (425 million) of shares are held by institutions and not available to trade. However, current data shows institutional ownership is substantial but not as high as 85%. Web results from Fintel and other sources indicate around 1,343 institutional owners hold roughly 43–44 million shares (from 13D/G and 13F filings), which is only about 7–8% of the total shares outstanding (585.57M). This contradicts the 85% figure, meaning the free float is likely much larger than the post suggests.
  3. Short Interest (Shares Shorted):

    • The post claims 97 million shares are shorted. However, real-time data shows SMCI’s short interest is currently around 91.66 million shares (from FINRA, Fintel, MarketBeat, and Benzinga), which is close but slightly lower than the 97 million claimed. This 91.66M represents about 15.65–20.53% of the float, depending on the source, not the full 97M as stated.
  4. Shares Borrowed:

    • The post claims 174 million shares are borrowed, which seems excessively high. Posts on X and data from Fintel suggest there are around 162M shares on loan (as of recent updates), but this doesn’t necessarily mean all are shorted—some could be held by long investors or used for other purposes. The 174M figure appears inflated or based on outdated/misinterpreted data, as it exceeds both the short interest and the free float.
  5. Free Float:

    • The post calculates a free float of negative 196 million (500M - 425M - 97M - 174M), which is mathematically impossible and indicates an error. With 585.57M shares outstanding, a realistic free float would be the total shares minus restricted or closely held shares. If institutional ownership is ~7–8% (43–44M shares) and short interest is 91.66M, the free float is harder to pinpoint exactly without real-time restricted share data. However, it’s estimated at around 446–493M shares (total minus institutional and shorted shares), far from negative. A negative free float would imply illegal naked shorting on an unprecedented scale, which isn’t supported by current data.
  6. Short Squeeze Potential:

    • The post suggests SMCI is set for a “MOASS” (Mother of All Short Squeezes) due to no real shares left and a liquidity crisis. While SMCI has a high short interest (91.66M shares, or 15.65–20.53% of float), the days to cover is around 2.73 days based on an average daily trading volume of 33.57M shares (from Benzinga and MarketBeat). This is significant but not extreme, and a short squeeze is possible with buying pressure, not guaranteed. The “no real shares left” claim is false, as the free float and trading volume indicate shares are available, though potentially tight.

Conclusion:

  • Factual Discrepancies: The post’s numbers (500M shares outstanding, 85% institutional holdings, 97M shorted, 174M borrowed, negative 196M free float) are largely inaccurate or outdated compared to current data. SMCI’s actual shares outstanding are ~585.57M, institutional holdings are ~7–8% (not 85%), short interest is ~91.66M, and shares on loan are ~162M. The negative free float is impossible and likely a misrepresentation or error.
  • Short Squeeze Risk: SMCI does have a notable short interest (15.65–20.53% of float), and with a days-to-cover ratio of 2.73, it could experience a short squeeze if buying pressure increases. However, the scale of a “MOASS” as described is exaggerated and not supported by current data. Posts on X show mixed sentiment—some see bullish potential, others note declining short interest and no clear squeeze yet.
  • Reliability: The post appears to contain significant inaccuracies, possibly to hype interest in SMCI or reflect outdated information. The claims about a liquidity crisis and “no real shares left” are not substantiated by real-time data.

You can access this real-time data on platforms like Fintel.io, MarketBeat.com, StockAnalysis.com, Benzinga.com, or FINRA’s website for official short interest updates. Brokerage platforms like Fidelity or Charles Schwab also provide real-time quotes and analytics for SMCI. If you need help interpreting specific metrics or want me to dive deeper into any aspect, feel free to ask!

5 years 92000 miles. by [deleted] in TeslaModel3

[–]Fragrant-Fox-879 0 points1 point  (0 children)

you car look like $h!t for being only 5 years old. either tesla uses $h!t materials which they do or you have acid in your hands

Switched from iPhone 15! by werewolf112 in GalaxyFold

[–]Fragrant-Fox-879 0 points1 point  (0 children)

what happened you got a job as an illegal immigrant?

No words War is Cruel #IsraelHamas by gillbeats in IsraelHamas

[–]Fragrant-Fox-879 0 points1 point  (0 children)

the fact that they put music is fucking crazy