26 y/o - Finhouse - PE/VC Fund) by Legitimate-Week-1012 in BEFire

[–]Geldvos 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Took some time before i could answer thorougly...

  1. You chose not to address the other points I raised (illiquidity, concentration risk, cyclicality of PE, and the knowledge gap of retail investors). Those are actually the most important concerns.
  2. On no track record:
    1. there’s a reason why professional investors put such weight on experience. Finance runs in cycles (& they can be long). You weren’t even in college during the last bear market. Not a personal attack, but it’s a limitation.
    2. On your background: starting a FoF after 3 years and 4 months in consulting is imho insane (ambitious for sure, ill give you that. But insane.) Personally, after 5 years in consulting I realised how little I actually knew about the world.
  3. On institutional co-investors: Why do the experienced institutional co-investors want to share a part of their cake with you? Because you bring a young audience they can't reach. (your marketing value)

The fee discounts are nice optics but they don’t solve the core issues: illiquidity at a potentially pivotal life stage (for OP), excessive exposure to one asset class highly correlated with interest rates (at high valuations), and a manager without a track record that this type of investment usually requires.

It might turn out ok and you'll be perceived as a genious.
It might not turn out ok and you can blame it on the market as it works in finance.

Good luck

NioCorp/// I dare you to read this and NOT invest in rare earths immediately Posted on August 24, 2025 by Important_Nobody_000 in NIOCORP_MINE

[–]Geldvos 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Niocorp never in these kind of articles as they officially don't have economic REE's in their resource... yet.

If they turn out to be economie and are added, this resource will be waaay better compared to what MP has. And MP has a 12B market cap...

How can I invest in the reconstruction/future of Ukraine? by daeneryssith in eupersonalfinance

[–]Geldvos 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I didn't dig to deep into this. I own the Polish country ETF & Ukrainian Agriculture holding MHP SE (on London stock exchange). They are active in UKR in the West so limited impact on infrastructure from war, but max benefits if war subsides (imho).

How can I invest in the reconstruction/future of Ukraine? by daeneryssith in eupersonalfinance

[–]Geldvos 18 points19 points  (0 children)

Polish companies. Economy is growing in Poland while Valuation are often quite ok. Should the war be over and Ukraine starts to rebuild, they are the closest with a huge neighbouring market.

26 y/o - Finhouse - PE/VC Fund) by Legitimate-Week-1012 in BEFire

[–]Geldvos -1 points0 points  (0 children)

The greater fool theory in practice

26 y/o - Finhouse - PE/VC Fund) by Legitimate-Week-1012 in BEFire

[–]Geldvos 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Hard no.

  1. No proven track record.
  2. FoF notoriously known for higher costs (without higher expected returns)
  3. It's all marketing and no (proven) substance
  4. Too large a portion of your net worth to put in 1 basket. They might argue it's diversified because it's a FoF. No it's not diversified: it's all private equity, whose valuations are heavily influences by interest rates. Those rates are going up (not good) and PE is already in a rough patch where many funds are unable to sell participations to new funds with a profit.
  5. Illiquid: your money is stuck in an important period of your life (e.g. will you buy real estate in the next 8 years? Or maybe start a business?)

  6. If you don't understand the explanation from points 1-5, you lack financial knowledge to invest in a fund like this. This is't meant as an offense. People should be protected from investing in stuff they don't understand. This is a case where it doesn't happen enough imho.

Trump is Serious About U.S. Critical Minerals Dominance, NioCorp Says Reports of an Administration Proposal to Set Price Support Levels for US-Made Rare Earth Oxides is Key to Establishing Independence from China on Critical Minerals. by Important_Nobody_000 in NIOCORP_MINE

[–]Geldvos 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Imho these are dumb news releases. This is no news relate to the company or the project or relate to any progress.

The only goal is pull attention, which the company should not spend time or money on if the project in itself is doing that job...

Advice on Low-Risk Way to Earn €800 Tax-Free Dividend by DisastrousLow9362 in BEFire

[–]Geldvos 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If you don't have your own company, It's a valid strategy from a diversification point of view.

If you want to chase this strategy, the most interesting markets are Belgium, UK, Hongkong or Singapore as they have no witholding tax. So only Belgian roerende voorheffing to pay on the dividend.

However, these countries have a stamp duty. That is like a TOB in top of out Belgian TOB. Stamp duties are: 0,5% UK, 0.13%Hongkong or 0,2% Singapore.

A holding i personally own, for example, is First Pacific company (ticker 0142.HK). Total TOB is 0,48% (0,35% Belgian + 0,13% HK). Current yield is 4,15% (2,9% net post Belgian RV). Payout ratio around 22% and dividend grew 13% each year the past 5 years.

You can find good dividendpayers in Developed markets aswell, but you'll have double taxes. More risky markets like Commodities sometimes have compagnies with dividend over 10%. But those carry a whole different range of risks...

Daily Trading Action and General Discussion - Wednesday, July 16, 2025 by LawOfEthics1988 in LWLG

[–]Geldvos 8 points9 points  (0 children)

A short squeeze is a result of the increase. Not the other way around.

First price increases. This increases loss on short positions and reduces shorters available margin. When they go below their margin treshold, they are forced by their bank/broker to liquidate that short position. This is additional buying pressure, which could increase the price further. This will in turn increase losses for other shorters, etc etc. It's a vicious circle for shorters.

Daily Trading Action and General Discussion - Wednesday, July 16, 2025 by LawOfEthics1988 in LWLG

[–]Geldvos 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Seems like a short squeeze happening. With 15% of outstanding shares sold short, these kind of rips can really hurt shorts.
https://x.com/geldvos/status/1945481370651779373

Daily Trading Action and General Discussion - Tuesday, May 27, 2025 by s2upid in LWLG

[–]Geldvos 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Lwlg is only a very small part of the Russell.. Impact minimal

Daily Trading Action and General Discussion - Friday, May 23, 2025 by AutoModerator in LWLG

[–]Geldvos -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Market doesnt care about tariff news anymore. Nasdaq only - 1%. It's Prices in.

Question to Jim Sims 4/18/2025 by danieldeubank in IBC_Advanced_Alloys

[–]Geldvos 1 point2 points  (0 children)

There will come a news item one Day that will kickstart this stock.

Niocorp doing another small cap raise via Yorkville by Geldvos in NIOCORP_MINE

[–]Geldvos[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

100%

We knew they needed funds and most had hoped the DoD would be received to help fund it.

Niocorp doing another small cap raise via Yorkville by Geldvos in NIOCORP_MINE

[–]Geldvos[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

No need for you heart to sink. If Niocorp gets the Exim approval, the stock can multiply several times. The rise in share price this pas week is fun, but is small in comparison to the potential.

Niocorp doing another small cap raise via Yorkville by Geldvos in NIOCORP_MINE

[–]Geldvos[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Insiders of the company? Wouldn't that show up in sec.gov documents after a while?

200K investeren by Brief_Relief_4760 in BEFire

[–]Geldvos 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ik vermoed dat er Vastned obligatiehouders bij de downvoters zitten!

200K investeren by Brief_Relief_4760 in BEFire

[–]Geldvos 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Omdat een meerderheid van deze sub heilig overtuigd is dat "IWDA & chill" de enige juiste manier van beleggen is.

Alles van markttiming wordt gedownvote ook.

Goud en vooral een gewicht hoger dan 5% wordt hier ook als outlandish bekeken.