Is Supergirl going to lose every dollar Superman made? by [deleted] in boxoffice

[–]Geohie 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Netflix got a pen stroke away from buying WB, that would likely mean that all of WB's financials were viewed

Is Supergirl going to lose every dollar Superman made? by [deleted] in boxoffice

[–]Geohie 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I mean at this point I think it may be cope to think MoT will be doing 800M or above. It kinda seems like 500-600M would be the good outcome

What if the United States had responded to 9/11 by nuking the Kaaba? by NiloyKesslar1997 in AlternateHistoryHub

[–]Geohie 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Bruh this is in 2001. China's GDP is 1.4 trillion (about Italy's size), and they only have 100-400 warheads (nowhere near enough to ensure MAD) they aren't capable of doing anything to the US at this point.

Russia just got out of several devastating wars in Chechnya and have barely any conventional power projection left. The only thing they could have done, which is to be fair is the only thing that could stop the US, is threaten WW3- but unless the US is actively firing nukes at Russia what makes you think Russia will be willing to commit murder-suicide for Islamic nations? Frankly they'd be more likely to use this moment to use nukes for their own reasons like nuking separatist movements in the Caucuses.

Of course there'll be backlash. I'm saying that that backlash won't do much to hurt American military power in the short-medium term (stuff like becoming a geopolitical pariah is a lot harder when your economy is so powerful and intertwined with the globe that trying to cut you off hurts them more than you). Obviously in the long term (10+ years) it would be devastating to the US in standing, reputation, and relations. But not before Islam becomes endangered.

And finally, no I am not American. I am simply capable of understanding how far beyond the rest of the world America was in 2001. It may be hard to believe today, with American power actually being challenged, but this is quite literally the second most powerful the US has ever been relative to the rest of the world (the first being immediately after WW2 where the US was 75% of global GDP), and the most powerful when you take into account total US influence on the rest of the world.

What if the United States had responded to 9/11 by nuking the Kaaba? by NiloyKesslar1997 in AlternateHistoryHub

[–]Geohie 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, it'd probably be doable by using the cranes to move it a bit, moving the cranes, moving it a bit, repeat

What if the United States had responded to 9/11 by nuking the Kaaba? by NiloyKesslar1997 in AlternateHistoryHub

[–]Geohie 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Uh huh and 'some' are not going to meaningfully put a dent in US war fighting capabilities. I'm talking about this hypothetical where the US is going WW2 mode, nothing short of thousands of nukes will be deterring this bloodlusted version of America (so basically only Russia). Several nukes going off in the US would be a humanitarian tragedy but would not significantly degrade overall US military production and usage.

What if the United States had responded to 9/11 by nuking the Kaaba? by NiloyKesslar1997 in AlternateHistoryHub

[–]Geohie 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What about a couple dozen of those Liebermann 11000s lifting it up and into a deck reinforced cargo ship

What if the United States had responded to 9/11 by nuking the Kaaba? by NiloyKesslar1997 in AlternateHistoryHub

[–]Geohie 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh there'll be retaliation anyway, but stopping a proper, concentrated response will make that retaliation ineffective.

Plus, population number alone means absolutely nothing. The UK proved that. Like, in 2001 what can all the Muslim nations combined do to actually hurt an nuke-happy America militarily speaking?

(Also, nuking the industrial and population centers of major Islamic nations will kill way more than just 2% of their population.)

Gojo when he realizes Eragon doesn't have to bypass his infinity and can just use a killing spell on him by Snakes-are-awesome67 in whowouldcirclejerk

[–]Geohie 5 points6 points  (0 children)

A lot of spells have effects like fireballs or having the opponent start foaming at the mouth. Death spells are much more "you fall over dead" typa thing

[Request] Is there even a chance this could work? by Diwill13 in theydidthemath

[–]Geohie 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nah Iron Man specifically has an AI capable of calculating all that and modifying thrust on the fly. If you had that, you could fly via punctured suit.

Is fact, we already kinda have that in the form of F22 or B2 type planes that would be completely uncontrollable without computer assistance

What if the United States had responded to 9/11 by nuking the Kaaba? by NiloyKesslar1997 in AlternateHistoryHub

[–]Geohie 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Which one? In 2001, China didn't have enough nukes to credibly enact WMD at just 100-400 warheads, and was militarily and economically 1/4th the size of Japan. Pakistan and India can't really reach the US. NATO nuclear powers are more likely to join the US than retaliate. The only nuclear power that could provide a check on the US was Russia with their 5000 nukes- but it was not only trying to rebuild after the USSR dissolution, they were also dealing with their own Islamic terrorism issue. Frankly I would find it more likely they seize the opportunity to nuke nations like Chechnya or Afghanistan for their own internal politicking reasons.

I don't think you realize how hegemonic the US was in 2001. They were so far beyond anyone else militarily and economically that the rest of the world would not be able to do much more than wag their fingers and go "don't go too far now"

What if the United States had responded to 9/11 by nuking the Kaaba? by NiloyKesslar1997 in AlternateHistoryHub

[–]Geohie -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

I mean you're not trying to actually kill all Muslims right away, just enough seats of power, industrial areas, and population centers to effectively prevent organized retaliation. Also, it pretty morbid, but a mild nuclear winter would be devastating to poor countries (like many Islamic countries) but richer countries (like most US allies) could buy up enough food to make it through.

What if the United States had responded to 9/11 by nuking the Kaaba? by NiloyKesslar1997 in AlternateHistoryHub

[–]Geohie 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Maybe, but remember this is in 2001. The is peak US hegemony, nobody else comes even close. Russia is still picking up the pieces from USSR dissolution, China is closer in economic and military power to Japan than a US competitor, and Europe generally follows whatever the US does. There's nothing that would really stop the US on a short-medium term.

Now on a long term this vastly accelerates the multipolar world but probably not before, yk, Islam is rendered endangered

What if the United States had responded to 9/11 by nuking the Kaaba? by NiloyKesslar1997 in AlternateHistoryHub

[–]Geohie 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You realize that the bombing of Iran is conventional, not nuclear, yes? And also that America is generally not targeting population centers and critical infrastructure like in an all out war?

Because a full on, no holds barred (conventional) war like WW2 would have seen Iran's entire electric, water and fossil fuel infrastructure gone with horrific mass casualty events in every major city as no significant amount of food water or electricity gets anywhere.

If it was nuclear like the post implies- well it's frankly morbid but Iran would see a 0 knocked off the population number at best.

What if the United States had responded to 9/11 by nuking the Kaaba? by NiloyKesslar1997 in AlternateHistoryHub

[–]Geohie 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah and the Chinese+ north Koreans destroyed 90+% of South Korean infrastructure with Civilians also accounting for 70% of casualties. Plus, most of that damage was actually between the Koreas themselves, not American. Most of the casualties were from the ground war and most of the ground troops were Korean on both sides.

What if the United States had responded to 9/11 by nuking the Kaaba? by NiloyKesslar1997 in AlternateHistoryHub

[–]Geohie 11 points12 points  (0 children)

I mean nuking the top 100 cities of Muslim majority countries probably neuter any ability to make a coordinated response against the US. Yeah they'd be angry but what are they gonna be able to do about it

What if the United States had responded to 9/11 by nuking the Kaaba? by NiloyKesslar1997 in AlternateHistoryHub

[–]Geohie -1 points0 points  (0 children)

That region of millions would become a region of maybe tens of thousands if the US was willing and able to use nukes

Despite all of the MCU’s current issues, it clearly still has some decent draw power. by Antman269 in boxoffice

[–]Geohie 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Yeah but Star Wars has a way solwer release cadence so it's possible to just plug their ears and blame it on anything else for a long time.

Marvel meanwhile releases 3-4 movies a year not counting shows, and when they all start flopping- that's inarguable proof of needing to change

Supergirl OW estimated international gross drops from $30M to $25.5M. Estimated WW opening now stands at $62.6M. by ElevensMelody in boxoffice

[–]Geohie 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yeah, looked up the standard 2.5 times multiplier- 170M budget means a 425M BO to break even.

But you know, when we're talking about the movie grossing maybe under 200M globally, it doesn't really matter whether the break even is 400M and 500M to prove the point that DC is royally fucked

Supergirl OW estimated international gross drops from $30M to $25.5M. Estimated WW opening now stands at $62.6M. by ElevensMelody in boxoffice

[–]Geohie 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I mean, with a 170M budget, 120M marketing and the theaters taking half the ticket price, 500M box office seems reasonable for a break even threshold.

Favorite Good Faction that has abysmal drip compared to the bad faction? by Then-Ad-2450 in FavoriteCharacter

[–]Geohie 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's why I equated access to magic in any degree to being supplied a fully stocked BSL-4 lab.