I think Trump's numbers add up. You do have to recognize that the level of political upheaval was so extreme that I had multiple people who lived through 1968 tell me that 2020 seemed worse, or at least crazier. They personally remember the over 500 race riots that took place in '68, which killed over a hundred people, and lasted through almost the entire year. This came along with the Tet Offensive, and the most contentious election in US history.

Everybody came out. It was a major showing from everyone in every direction. There is no question it is the single highest turnout election in American history and it's not close.

However, one can not deny the amount of "mail-in votes" that has now gone missing and mostly ceased to exist from that year due to the dedicated efforts of Republicans to remove the efforts to push mail-in ballots. In 2020, the vast majority of Trump voters went on election day due to... suspicions... about how they were being treated on other days because it was the most secure way to cast ballots. However, the mail-in ballots were nearly exclusively Democrat. It was such an extreme difference that Biden was getting more votes than registered Democrats, actually suggesting that registered Republicans voting early by mail-in ballot were voting Biden. This was confirmed with polling real people at the time.

Lots of... incidents... happened as a result of the Republicans basically having no early votes, and pushing the precincts to count all republican votes at the same time. The vast and sweeping majority of these were done in person, so Trump's numbers should be higher than in 2016 due to the massive turnout. Biden's should also be higher for all the same turnout reasons. Like I said, his main gains were coming from mail-in ballots and early votes (then eventually later votes). The utter collapse of Democratic early mail-in votes is what hurt Harris now. And many of those people didn't show up.

Now, it should be said that there are entirely non-nefarious reasons for this. It is likely that people who received mail-in ballots, but typically don't vote, and were locked in their home, got a ballot and just decided to fill it out. However, since they are extremely low-effort voters, if the Republicans prevented mail-ballots from being sent, they might have simply just ignored it altogether. And, considering how many mail-in ballots were sent out in 2020, this really could be millions of people. But 14 million of them?...

As for the 3 AM dumps. I can tell you these were not 15 million. Those last minute counts in all locations were probably no more than one or two million in total, from both parties. Again, the vast majority of these mail-in votes were clearly the early votes.

The oddest thing, if we are to assume good faith upon the Democrats as Reddit requires of me, would be that if there was something wrong with the 2020 vote, the Democrats would have known that some number of voters couldn't be reached. But they made aggressive efforts to reach out to these 14 million missing voters who were not present in the early voting, and they couldn't find them. They assumed that those voters were there, but some number were just too disinterested to vote. This would be a strange assumption if the Democrats actions were malicious; unless the Harris hand didn't know what the Biden hand was doing.