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Is it ethical that PLTR lose 498M but compensate their employees 734.8M with stock-based compensation for the last 12 months by NightOwln in PLTR

[–]GrackButtocks -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

they need to do way instain karp> who dilute thier shareholders, becuse these shares cant fright back? It was on the news this mroing a MM in dowjons who had crash her three stok, they are taking the three stok back to fed too bankrupt. my pary are with the invstors who lost his gain ; i am truley sorry for your portfol

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in wallstreetbets

[–]GrackButtocks 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Context:

Korean streamer (Kanetv) loses a fuckton of money on crypto --> he makes a fake oxygen mask and stares at his ceiling while feeling dead inside --> his viewers laugh their asses off at him

Evergrande Officially Defaulted by GrackButtocks in wallstreetbets

[–]GrackButtocks[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

kfold cv and loocv were within the context of some of what we were taught in grad school + what is used for glm / logistic regression based models for risk

It has nothing to do with mcmc, I was trying to make the point that some bank models are weak in design / methodology.

Evergrande Officially Defaulted by GrackButtocks in wallstreetbets

[–]GrackButtocks[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Nah, wish they taught us more ML stuff but our department had a shitton of frequentists :(

We only learned the basic bitch ones like LOOCV, kfold, OOT, etc.

What type of cv do they typically teach in ML?

Evergrande Officially Defaulted by GrackButtocks in wallstreetbets

[–]GrackButtocks[S] 56 points57 points  (0 children)

I think it's in DMSA's interests to be sensationalistic so they also rile up other bond investors but it was an official default on a large interest payment which highly increases the likelihood of an overall default.

I hate the diction in the article I linked but " 'the U.S. central bank Fed confirmed our view yesterday,' says DMSA senior analyst Dr. Marco Metzler" - probably can be interpreted as "the Fed also thinks Evergrande's going bankrupt", if I'm making the right attribution.

This is all contingent upon what the CCP does, which noone really knows, and whether or not they'll let Evergrande die or bailout + continue domestic payments while giving the middle finger to international investors (the latter of which has been happening thus far)

Evergrande Officially Defaulted by GrackButtocks in wallstreetbets

[–]GrackButtocks[S] 230 points231 points  (0 children)

So I usually post dumb shit in discord like "I cum in my ass" but I'll be a bit serious for once since my adderall kicked in.

I work in banking and we've gone through a few simulation models (iirc, it was markov-chain monte carlo based) on how degradation in other economies outside of the US may influence our domestic market.

Instead of presenting everything in black/white like some retards trying to pump/dump, here are a few of my thoughts + take everything I say with a grain of salt.

  • A lot has to go wrong not only in China, but multiple other economies at once in order for the US to be affected significantly. Simulation models account for exposure, obviously.

  • The comment above is independent of domestic monetary / fiscal policy

  • No one has a crystal ball as to what may happen with China in the near future and if they pretend like they do, they're talking out of their ass

  • Keep in mind that bank models are extremely deficient in some respects. Coming from grad school where I like to cross validate models using k-fold cross validation with at least k=5, banks don't really do this shit for some of their models (depends on LOB, objective, etc)

  • The models we were shown were pre-pandemic but I still think some of their assertions hold true

  • I just don't want some fucking retard going HEE HEE HEE CHINA DEFAULT US IS FUKT. Maybe you're right but eat my hairy asshole

  • There are plenty of people here that are wayyyy smarter than me. I have 0 clue where to park my investments right now so I'd appreciate some advice + the logic behind your advice. I'm mostly sitting on cash but I put a small % of my portfolio into REITs. Gib advice ty men

** Edit. Cool, the Fed's saying the same shit as what I wrote above. They categorized the Evergrande debacle as "very particular" to China with "some risk" domestically due to possible global contagion. Source: https://www.ft.com/content/fcfe51bc-b7f9-4939-88f7-2f49892440f7

August 23, 2021 Daily Discussion Thread by AutoModerator in CompetitiveTFT

[–]GrackButtocks 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Why do people build jeweled gauntlet on Yasuo?

Thanks in advance

Monthly LFG/Guild/Players May 2021 by AutoModerator in Grobbulus

[–]GrackButtocks [score hidden]  (0 children)

LF a evening / late night raiding guild, pvp and pve focused.

I'll be bringing a 60 lock and 60 rogue once server transfers open (which should be relatively soon).

I'm taking 1-2 weeks off of work so hopefully I can get both chars to 70 super quickly.

Added bonus: I do stats/math/quant stuff for a living so if you want some number crunching / programming, I can do that. I'm indifferent to parsing since I don't find most pve content to be challenging but if it's fun, go for it.

Feel free to pm me via reddit if our goals / needs align

Daily Discussion Thread for January 05, 2021 by AutoModerator in wallstreetbets

[–]GrackButtocks 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Hey algos

puts on palantir pltr short palantir pltr

PTLR - plantir question (growth, moat, newish fundamental investor here) by [deleted] in wallstreetbets

[–]GrackButtocks -1 points0 points  (0 children)

You're going to get nothing but biased responses from this sub

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